Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (11/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-2   Win (7/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-3   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-4   Win (6/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-5   Win (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-6   Win (5/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAFFIC BOSS Aug06 Jun24 May05 Mar26 Feb17 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRATHER Jun09 Apr27 Feb09 Jan16 Nov30 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
ALL IN GOOD TIME Jul08 May29 Apr29 Mar26 Mar10 (martin e)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00    
CRAZY MUGGS Aug06 Jun26       (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
ROCKY BOY         (escobar alison)BARRERA J 115 25.00 11% 8.40    
KILO KEY Aug12 Apr02 Mar18 Nov25   (melancon donald)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
TEXAS ADOPTER Feb17         (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
MO HAWK MAN Aug06 May21 May03 Apr13 Mar18 (mouton patrick)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
SCR  MORO TRENDSETTER Jul04 Jun02 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
10  ASTERN BANKER Aug06 Jul27 Jul14 Jun09 May20 (alberto antoni)MAGNON H 124 4.50    
11  SEA FORCE Aug12 Jun12 May20     (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
12  SACRAMENT Jul08 Jun10 May05 Mar24 Mar12 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
 
LAD-2   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jul28 Jun18 May15 May06 Dec22 (gomez a)FUSILIER C 124 8.00    
THUNDER ROAD Jul31 Jun12 May06 Mar24 Jan15 (dodson cliffor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
BUCK'S GLORY Jul28 Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (landry ray)THORNTON G 117 15.00    
NINEJUANJUAN CALL Jul22 Jun26 Dec02 Nov19 Oct21 (avant kell)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
TEXAS TRILOGY Sep27 Sep19 Aug01 Jul21 Jun19 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
PLENTY OF CENTS Aug04 Jul13 May28 May15 Feb18 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
CHROME RUN Jul31 Jul01 May27 Apr30 Apr16 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
CRAZY RIDGE Aug06 Jul02 Jun10 May28 May07 (rangel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
KINGPRIN Jul10 May30 May07 Sep27 Sep19 (romero gerald)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 25.00    
10  DIRECTIONAL Aug07 Jul30 Jul03 Jan13 Dec02 (altamirano eluete)TORRES HUGO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINCH HITTER Aug13 Jul31 Jul01 May06 Nov05 (romero d)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Aug13 May28 Apr27 Apr15 Feb19 (rossi j)BOREL H 124 12.00    
 
LAD-3   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTFORGETRDREAMS Jul30 Jun26 Jun10 May13 Nov03 (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERIPHERAL VISION Jul29 Jun17 May18 May03 Apr20 (silva walter)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 7% 13.80    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Jul30 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Feb23 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Aug12 Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 May11 (zenon she)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
LIVVY LOU Jan06 Sep25 Sep05 Aug07   (avant kelly)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
GUANAJUATO Jul30 Jul02 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
LAD-4   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL MOMENT Jul09 Jun25 May13 Apr14 Mar05 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
FUHR MEO Aug12 Jul17 Jul08 Jun03 May15 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00    
INDY LOVER Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Feb26 Jan21 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
WAIT ON ME Jul30 Jul17 Jun26 Mar18 Feb23 (hatche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
SCR  MARILYN'S MAGIC Feb01 Jan12 Dec27 Oct26 Oct15 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 124 30.00    
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Jul20 Jul06 May13 Apr21 Feb24 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G null   46% 1.20    
SODDY DAISY Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 Mar16 Feb19 (villafranco m)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
BATTLE OF WITS Jul20 Jun15 May18     (modica oscar)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 May21 May05 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
10  MISS DARLENE Jul10 Jul10 Feb23 Jan22   (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00 28% 2.60    
11  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Jul06 Jun11 May06 Apr21 Mar17 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
 
LAD-5   08/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET RACHEL Jul09 Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
UNFATHOMED Jul22 Jun15 Jun02 Feb17 Jan18 (landry ray)THORNTON G 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
THE THIMBLE Aug14 Jul01 Oct29 Sep17 Aug29 (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 6.00    
MIND ON MY MONEY Jul09 Jun23 May29 May13 Apr26 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
BODEE BODEE Jul31 Jul01 May30 May13 Feb18 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 3.50 8% 11.50    
J B GRAY Jul31 Jun19 May29 May07 Mar26 (balderas alfonso)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 Mar16 Feb21 (savoie sherman)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
INTO WISHING Aug05 Jul17 Jun11 May07 Feb25 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUTIE MO May18 May04 Feb04 Jan25 Dec29 (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
FOR HARPER Jul22 Jun03 May04 Apr19 Mar18 (ducoing sturge)BARRERA J 110 8.00    
EVE'S DELIGHT Aug05 Jul01 Jun22 Jun03 Mar04 (goins garland)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50    
JUST PASSING THRU Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 May04 Apr13 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
NO MAS TEQUILA Jul31 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Mar25 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 68% 0.50    
NORAH G Aug05 Jan21 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 (west patricia )NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 Apr07 Mar17 (wilson shane)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
IZATIZ Jul23 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY JEOPARDY Jul08 Jun10 Mar26 Feb11 Jan12 (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
10  BIRDIE CALL Aug05 Jul23 May28 Sep25 Sep06 (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 9% 10.80    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Jun23 Jun06 May02 Apr22 Mar15 (bryant a)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
12  MONEY WELL SPENT May18 May04 Mar15 Nov25 Sep10 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  TAYLORS TAP Jul03 Apr07 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
SCR  ANOTHER HOT MESS Jul01 Jun10 Apr07 Feb24 Jan28 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
 
LAD-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALCULATED Jul07 Jun23 May06 Mar03 Feb18 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
BIG BOO Jul01 Jun04 May15 Mar26 Mar10 (singh s)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
SONO Jul14 May22 Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 (calhoun william )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
SCOOTERIA Jul14 Mar26 Feb17     (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
VETERANS DAY Jun30 Jun08 May13 Mar26 Mar08 (landry ray)THORNTON G 118 4.00    
BETTABE BOURBON Dec21 Nov25       (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
OCEOLA Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 Jan11 Dec21 (schultz d)BOREL H 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.