Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $46.00 $38.00 475%
LAD-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-2-5 $14.10 $5.10 57%
    DD (4/8/3/1)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $56.10 $44.10 368%
LAD-3   PK3 (4/8/3/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-4-5 $71.30 $47.30 197%
LAD-6   WIN (10/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $28.20 $20.20 253%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE THIMBLE 1 6 6 6   4 1 (ramirez rosa )RAMIREZ JULIO 117 8.00 6% 15.60 22.00 W
RISKTAKER 2 1 1nk 4   5 2 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 1.40  
PRICED RIGHT 8 3 4¾ 1nk   11 3 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 22% 3.50 3.80 S
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 6 2 3.2 2nk   3 44 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 3.50 4.80  
MIZSPELT 4 4 2nk 3.2   21 5 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 24% 3.10 5.10  
CARLOS' BLAST 7 5 5 5   6 6 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 5.00 10.10  
OSCAR CHOICE 5 7 7 7   7 712½ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 34.50  
BRYKEN N MITCHELL 3 8 8 8   811½ 817 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 122 10.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
 
LAD-2   08/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE TOLD YOU SO 2 6 7 65 4 2½ 1 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 2.90 DH
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY 4 3 4 32 2 1½ 1 (hodges james)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20 W
CERTIFIED GEM 5 1 1 11 1 3½ 3 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 52% 0.90 4.20 S
BROADWAY PEARL 6 7 6 54 5 4 4 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 4.10  
SUE'S LITTLE ZING 1 5 5 4 64 5 510¼ (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
SHEWASN'TEASY 3 2 2 21 3 6 617 (player fletche)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00 12.90  
DRIFTING MELODIES 7 4 3 77 711 722½ 744½ (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 10.00 29.60  
 
LAD-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:223 :464 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO BUENO 4 3 3½ 3.2   13 1 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 50% 1.00 1.20 W
SAINT DADDY 6 7 4 4   23 2 (cascio andr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 4.50  
MECKES PRIORITY 3 2 2nk 2nk   33 3 (dussette a)ALBERT S 120 12.00 18.70  
WINE MY PRIORITY 5 6 6 6   45 411¾ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 9.20  
STAR READY 2 5 72 7   6 516¼ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 8% 11.60 2.60  
ALPHIN 7 4 5 5   58 618¾ (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
KNIGHT OF HONOR 1 1 1nk 1nk   715½ 744½ (nelson r)ROSIER R 120 15.00 20.50  
SCR  FOOLISH BOY               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
SCR  NERVY               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
LAD-4   08/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:22 :453 1:104 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVERS NEVER SAY 3 2 32 33 34 2 1 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00 23.00  
C C'S COWGIRL 5 8 9 8 7 6 2 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 13.00  
SHEZ OUR ARCH 6 6 6 6 4 3 3 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 4.50 S
GUEST IN MY HEART 8 10 1010¾ 1011¼ 10 4 4 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 51.10  
GETONOUTTAHERE 9 3 1nk 1nk 13 1 5 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 12.00 22.50  
MY ALIBI 4 5 55 45 56 5 6 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 16% 5.40 5.40  
GLITTERARY 7 9 8 7 9 710¾ 713 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 61% 0.60 1.80  
HAVE I EVER 2 4 44 5 67 811¾ 813¾ (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 2.60  
10  MYLIES STAR 10 7 78 910¼ 8 914¾ 916 (dussette a)ALBERT S 119 25.00 36.60  
PREACH IT GIRL 1 1 2nk 2nk 23 1018¾ 1023¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.60  
SCR  BARBIE WARS               (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
SCR  COINMAKER               (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
LAD-5   08/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:23 :463       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDOWNTOFOOLAROUND 5 6 1½ 13   16 1 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 12.00 7.80  
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of BE HUMBLE by AWESOME OF COURSE)
ANTIFREEZE 7 9 11 5   5 2 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.40 P
  (by MITOLE out of QUEEB by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  NATURAL TOUCH 12 4 6 4   4 3 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 6.00 5.20 S
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LETTHEGRAYRUNAWAY by HALF OURS)
HIGHLY GRAND 4 3 4¾ 23   26 47 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00 37.70  
  (by HIGH CASCADE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
10  DULCE AMANECER YG 10 8 85 3   3 5 (ortiz ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 31.80  
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
SIERRA BLANCA 8 12 126 10   812 611½ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50 30% 2.30 6.20  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ELLA'S DREAMING by FIRST DUDE)
CORA'S LEGACY 9 11 105 7   711½ 712 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 9.30  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
STORM GHOST 6 7 73 9   912¼ 812¾ (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00 3.80  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MAREN'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CINCO GAL 2 1 2½ 6   6 915 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 38% 1.60 3.10  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
GOOD BY FAITH 3 2 3½ 8   1015¼ 1021½ (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 5.00 11% 7.80 15.70  
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
I'M GRINNIN 1 5 5 11   1122¼ 1130½ (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00 26.90  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of JENNIFER'S AFFAIR by NUREYEV)
11  MARY WHO 11 10 95 1210¼   1224¼ 1235¼ (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 10.00 48.30  
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  MARIAH (CHI)               (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  WARM FUZZIES               (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
 
LAD-6   08/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:114 1:233   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIED PEPPER 2 1 11 1nk   3½ 1¼ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 9% 10.40 13.10 W
OKUDAH 5 2 21 2nk   1nk 2¼ (savoie sherman)MELANCON G 124 12.00 9.50  
MR. FOUR SEVENS 6 5 4 31   2nk 3 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50 1.30 S
PHARME'S PHAITH 8 9 65 5   42 4 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
10  TIO BLAS 9 8 99 8   7 5 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 49% 1.00 3.40  
ANICLUDE 4 7 5 7   55 6 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 6.90  
DUE APEAL 1 6 77 6   8 7 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00 70.00  
POST CLOSE 3 3 32 42   6 8 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 15% 5.50 8.00  
LEMON KICK 7 4 88 9   9 912½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00 21.30  
SCR  BIG COUNTRY               (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.50    
SCR  FLASHY BOY GOES               (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
SCR  JOEBOY               (beavin judy)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 25.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 25.00    
SCR  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY               (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
 
LAD-7   08/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL 6 4 4¾ 1½   13 1 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 1.60  
DIAL IN FOR LUTE 2 9 6 54   35 2 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 6.80  
BILOXI 5 7 95 64   45 3 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 6.00 34% 2.00 3.50 S
MUNQAD 4 3 3.2 2½   23 45 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
HEZA PICKLE 8 10 1011 98   7 56 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 39.00  
BLING'S BELLWETHER 7 8 7 75   68 6 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
LAURI'S WISH 3 2 2nk 31   57 7 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00 10% 8.80 10.10  
12  SPERLE 10 5 8 86   8 8 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 25.00 33.70  
REQUISITION 9 6 5 10   910¼ 911¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60 3.90  
CANADIAN PRIDE 1 1 1nk 43   1010¾ 1013½ (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 25.00 17.60  
SCR  AMERICAN CODE               (ruggeri nicole)MELANCON G 122 15.00    
SCR  COUNT DE MONET               (swearingen t)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY ARTIE               (landry ray)STOKES J 122 4.50    
SCR  UNDER THE GUN               (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.