Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/1)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/2/9)-(7/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (5/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/9)-(5/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/9)-(5/2/9)-(5/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/9)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9)-(7/4/1)-(2/8/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/2/1)-(7/4/6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/8/3/7)-(10/4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/7)-(2/8/3/12/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/7)-(2/8/3/12/7)-(2/8/3/12/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/3/7)-(10/4/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/7)-(10/4/2/9)-(5/9/3/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (10/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/9)-(10/4/2/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/9)-(10/4/2/7/9)-(10/4/2/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/2/9)-(5/9/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/9/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/4/7)-(5/9/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/4/7)-(5/9/3/4/7)-(5/9/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIMBLE Jul01 Oct29 Sep17 Aug29 Aug20 (ramirez rosa )RAMIREZ JULIO 117 8.00 6% 15.60    
2  RISKTAKER Jul23 Jun26 May22 May06 Mar09 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
3  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Jul21 Jun17 May26 May12 Dec16 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
4  MIZSPELT Jul28 Jun10 May11 Apr08 Mar08 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
5  OSCAR CHOICE Jul23 Jun18 Oct29 Sep17 Aug20 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
6  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Jul13 Jun09 May10 Apr26 Mar16 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 3.50    
7  CARLOS' BLAST Jun09 May25 Apr29 Feb18 Feb01 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 5.00    
8  PRICED RIGHT Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May06 Jan27 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
LAD-2   08/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE'S LITTLE ZING Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 May29 May08 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHE TOLD YOU SO Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 Sep04 Jul19 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★    
3  SHEWASN'TEASY Jul09 Oct27 Oct12     (player fletche)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
4  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 May22 Mar15 (hodges james)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  CERTIFIED GEM Jul02 Jun19 May14 Mar25   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  BROADWAY PEARL Jun19 May30 May07 Feb28 Jan26 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
7  DRIFTING MELODIES Jul27 Jun24 Jun02     (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 10.00    
 
LAD-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT OF HONOR Jun10 Feb09 Nov30 Nov19   (nelson r)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
2  STAR READY Jul24 Jun19 May22 May06 Mar26 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
3  MECKES PRIORITY Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 Jun12 Jun02 (dussette alv)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
SCR  NERVY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  MUCHO BUENO         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  WINE MY PRIORITY Jul21         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
SCR  FOOLISH BOY Oct05 Aug27       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
8  SAINT DADDY Jul01         (cascio andr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
9  ALPHIN Jul30 Jul02 Jun10     (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   08/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREACH IT GIRL Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAVE I EVER Jul17 Jun25 May04 Apr15 Mar04 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 ★    
3  LOVERS NEVER SAY Aug05 Jul10 Jun29 May13 Mar08 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
4  MY ALIBI Jul17 May21 Mar15 Sep25 Aug28 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  C C'S COWGIRL Jul17 Jun25 Sep25 Aug16 Jul25 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
6  SHEZ OUR ARCH Jul27 May20 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 ★    
7  GLITTERARY Jul31 Jun24 Jun11 May29 May07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 61% 0.60    
8  GUEST IN MY HEART Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 Jun03 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
9  GETONOUTTAHERE Jul30 Jun18 Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 12.00    
10  MYLIES STAR Jul20 Jul02 Jun12 May26 May11 (dussette alv)MAGNON H 119 25.00    
SCR  BARBIE WARS Jul14 Jun16 Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
SCR  COINMAKER Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May13 Apr28 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
LAD-5   08/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M GRINNIN         (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of JENNIFER'S AFFAIR by NUREYEV)
2  CINCO GAL Jul24 May30       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
3  GOOD BY FAITH Jun11         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
4  HIGHLY GRAND         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
  (by HIGH CASCADE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
5  BEDOWNTOFOOLAROUND         (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 12.00    
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of BE HUMBLE by AWESOME OF COURSE)
6  STORM GHOST         (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MAREN'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  ANTIFREEZE         (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of QUEEB by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  SIERRA BLANCA Jul08         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ELLA'S DREAMING by FIRST DUDE)
9  CORA'S LEGACY Jul08         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  DULCE AMANECER YG Jul24 Jul02 Jun16 May28   (ortiz ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
11  MARY WHO         (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 10.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
12  NATURAL TOUCH Jul08 Jun04       (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LETTHEGRAYRUNAWAY by HALF OURS)
SCR  MARIAH (CHI) Jul22 Jul08       (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  WARM FUZZIES         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
 
LAD-6   08/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUE APEAL Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 May29 May16 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00    
2  DRIED PEPPER Jul23 Jun19 Feb15 Jan11 Dec15 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  BIG COUNTRY Jul22 Jun23 Jun15 Apr27 Apr08 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.50    
4  POST CLOSE Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 May13 Nov18 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
5  ANICLUDE Jun19 May22 Mar26 Mar05 Jan22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
6  OKUDAH Jun19 May21 Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 (savoie sherman)MELANCON G 124 12.00    
7  MR. FOUR SEVENS Jul01 May30 Mar16 Mar03 Jan20 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50 ★    
8  LEMON KICK Jul09 Jan14 Nov12 Oct26 Sep11 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
9  PHARME'S PHAITH Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 May28 Apr22 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  TIO BLAS Jun19 Apr13 Mar01 Feb16 Jan05 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA Jul30 Jun22 Jun05 May28 Mar22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 25.00    
SCR  FLASHY BOY GOES Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 May25 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
SCR  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jul30 Apr05 Feb13 Jan30 Jan17 (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
SCR  JOEBOY Jul31 May27 May15 Feb18 Jan25 (beavin judy)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 25.00    
 
LAD-7   08/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADIAN PRIDE Jul15 Apr25 Jan06 Nov04 Oct15 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 25.00    
2  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Jul23 Jun18 Apr30 Apr23 Jan20 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
3  LAURI'S WISH Jul30 Jul13 May20 Apr20 Mar25 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00 10% 8.80    
4  MUNQAD Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Apr08 Jan06 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BILOXI Jul29 Jun16 May19 May05 Feb23 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
6  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Jul17 Jun10 May28 May06 Mar27 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
7  BLING'S BELLWETHER Jul30 Jun18 Jun03 May27 May13 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HEZA PICKLE Jul08 Jun08 May08 Mar22 Feb16 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
9  REQUISITION Jun19 May08 Apr08 Mar17 Feb19 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  COUNT DE MONET May22 Apr29 Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 (swearingen t)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY ARTIE Jun17 May06 Apr19 Feb25 Jan27 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 4.50    
12  SPERLE May06 Mar24 Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 25.00    
SCR  AMERICAN CODE Apr19 Feb20 Dec22 Jul22 Jul10 (ruggeri nicole)MELANCON G 122 15.00    
SCR  UNDER THE GUN Jul04 May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar31 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.