Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-4   DD (3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $23.10 $11.10 93%
    PK3 (2/4/3/7/8)-(3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-3-4 $35.15 $5.15 17%
LAD-5   EXA (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-5 $19.10 $3.10 19%
    TRI (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/5/7)-(9/8/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-5-7 $50.55 $26.55 111%
    SFT (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/5/7)-(9/8/4/5/7)-(9/8/4/5/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-5-7-4 $37.27 $27.67 288%
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(9/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-8 $27.20 $11.20 70%
    PK3 (3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1)-(9/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-4-8 $96.50 $72.50 302%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:134 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HIGH DONNA 3 7 74¼ 64 32 11½ 13 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 4.50 4.30  
6  PINCHING PENNIES 5 3 32 21½ 2½ 21½ 23 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.00 39% 1.50 3.20 P
8  LACEY'S STAR 7 6 63¼ 53 63¼ 33 33¼ (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00 13.90  
2  MISS ARKANSAS 2 8 910¼ 96 84¾ 63¾ 46 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50 16% 5.20 5.70  
7  MARK WITH AN E 6 9 87¼ 85 95¼ 74¾ 56¾ (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00 15% 5.70 3.00  
10  POQUITO LADY 9 4 42 42½ 42 43½ 68½ (gelner jayde )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
9  REAUX BINA 8 2 11 11½ 1½ 53½ 710½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 9% 9.70 5.50  
4  ABBEY CAKES 4 1 21 32 53 87¾ 813¼ (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 18.00  
1  LA VALEDORA 1 5 53 74 74¾ 912¾ 915¾ (coats james)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 18.30  
SCR  NICAMINE               (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
 
LAD-2   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WHERE'S AUNT J 7 2 11 1½   13 11 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 12% 7.10 1.40 W
6  GOTTEMINABIND 6 8 85¼ 64½   43½ 21 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 12.00 8.40  
10  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF 10 3 42 32   33 34¼ (martin kevin)MELANCON G 124 5.00 24.20  
2  MOR KISSES 2 5 21 2½   23 45¼ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 28% 2.60 4.20  
4  JULIO CHOICE 4 6 31 53½   55½ 513¼ (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 18% 4.60 8.40  
9  T J'S FIRST 9 10 1116¼ 1010   89¼ 613¾ (mouton patri)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00 23.20  
3  CECE WAVE 3 1 52¼ 85   76¼ 716¼ (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 18% 4.60 3.30  
11  OCEAN FLEET 11 4 63¾ 42½   66 818¾ (avant kelly)ROSIER R 120 8.00 22.90  
8  REINA ACES 8 7 75¼ 75   911¼ 919 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 19.00 69.50  
1  BLESS D'SOUTH 1 9 97¼ 98   1012¼ 1019 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 53.40  
5  COUSIN VICKIE 5 11 1015¼ 1112   1114¼ 1119½ (de a)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00 85.60  
 
LAD-3   08/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:13 1:253   1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BASKET CASE 3 5 33 52½   2½ 12 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 67% 0.50 0.60 W
4  WATCH THIS MUNNY 4 11 106¾ 86¼   54½ 22 (dixon tim)BOREL H 120 4.50 9% 10.00 3.90 P
1  GIRL ON THE GO 1 7 74¾ 74¾   43½ 32¼ (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00 13.50  
9  THE RAGE OF ART 9 3 54½ 41½   31½ 44¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 29.40  
6  KHOZY TAP 6 2 22 21   66 56 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★ 11.40  
2  MALLY'S MONSOON 2 1 12 11   1½ 66¼ (cormier donald)ROSIER R 120 20.00 82.40  
11  CAPETOWN CANDY 11 6 64¾ 64½   89½ 710 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
7  SANTANGELO 7 8 96¼ 97¼   99½ 810¾ (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 ★ 9.60  
5  TIZ MY PLAN 5 4 43 31½   79 911 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00 ######  
8  LAYLA'S SONG 8 9 117¼ 117½   1012½ 1015 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 10.00 36.60  
10  SHEZA CAT 10 10 85¾ 107¼   1112¾ 1115¾ (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 20.30  
 
LAD-4   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOY CHARLIE 4 1 1nk 1nk   12 111½ (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 10% 8.70 3.20 W
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of LADY TAMER by LION TAMER)
5  GRAY DANE 5 3 2nk 2nk   22 211½ (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 124 3.50 3.50  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
7  SUIT OF WANDS 7 4 3.2 31   34 314½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.10 1.20 S
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  GRAND ENCORE 2 7 74¼ 53½   54½ 416¼ (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 54% 0.80 6.30  
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
3  SAUCER EYES 3 6 52¼ 42   44½ 516½ (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 35.10  
  (by COURT VISION out of HAVIN A GOOD TIME by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
6  FLASH N CLASS 6 5 63¼ 74¾   66 619¼ (gomez c)MELANCON G 120 8.00 10.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GRAND FACILE by ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE)
1  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON 1 2 42¼ 64½   78 724 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 6.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ELLE LES YU by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY               (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
 
LAD-5   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:122 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WORLD WAR 8 5 31½ 32 1½ 11 11¾ (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90 W
5  DADDYMADEMEDOIT 5 7 64 63½ 74 31 21¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 ★ 5.40 P
7  GASTOWN 7 9 913 911 95¼ 52¼ 34¼ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
4  WATRUGONNADOKAREN 4 4 74½ 74½ 31 21 44¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 7% 13.80 6.20  
9  QUINN ELLA 9 6 53 43 42 62¾ 55 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00 39% 1.60 9.20  
3  DISCREET SMILE 3 3 2½ 11 2½ 41¼ 66 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 3.00  
2  SWEET PERFECTION 2 2 42½ 53 84¼ 74¾ 77½ (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 18.00  
6  TEXAS BLUEBONNET 6 8 86 86 53½ 86¾ 812½ (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 56.50  
1  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 1 1 1½ 21 63½ 912¾ 921½ (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00 37.20  
 
LAD-6   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:16 1:42   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAJUN ACES 4 6 53½ 41½ 1nk 14 12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 7% 12.70 1.50 W
3  COME WHAT MAE 3 5 31½ 31 41¼ 34 22 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 4.70  
1  STAR'S DREAM 1 3 2½ 11 3.2 24 34½ (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 3.50 11.40  
6  KAPPA HILL 6 4 65 53 52¼ 46 49¼ (journet albe)MAGNON H 122 15.00 29.40  
9  DIALED J 9 8 87 74¾ 62¼ 56½ 510¼ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 8.00 7% 13.30 19.30  
7  THE GREY BEAUTY 7 2 42 63¼ 74¼ 77¾ 610¾ (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 117 8.00 28% 2.60 7.90  
8  I DONT KNOW EITHER 8 10 108 98¾ 99¼ 89¾ 713 (gomez jorge)BENAVIDES D 122 20.00 66.00  
5  CHATAIN'S FLYER 5 1 1½ 21 2nk 67½ 819 (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 87.50  
10  CUSTOM MAIDEN 10 7 76½ 86¾ 86¼ 912¾ 921¼ (washington ri)VARGAS P 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.60  
2  PSEUDOSCIENCE 2 9 98 1012¾ 10100 10100 10100 (duke steve)ALBERT S 113 12.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
 
LAD-7   08/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:221 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STRAIGHT LUCK 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 2.60  
6  TRIPLE RED ACES 6 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 15.00 33.10  
1  AUX ARCS 1 3 63 52½   31 31 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 25.00 21.40  
5  STOMPING HOTROD 5 9 99 84¼   41¼ 42 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
4  IN THE ARCH 4 11 1212¾ 129¼   116 53 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 119 12.00 11% 7.80 14.10  
10  TACTICAL PRIORITY 10 4 41½ 41½   72½ 63½ (thomas lee)ALBERT S 116 4.50 23% 3.30 4.30  
2  COMMANDER SCOTT 2 10 1112½ 118¾   94 73¾ (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00 26.40  
3  DRAG MALIBU 3 6 52½ 62¾   52¼ 84 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 17% 5.00 14.70  
12  SEEKING SAWYER 12 7 77 73¼   83½ 94¾ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 4.90  
8  UPTOWN SOCIAL 8 5 31 31   62¼ 106¼ (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
11  WINGS OF GOLD 11 12 1012 108¼   127 117¼ (foster m)MELANCON G 120 20.00 72.00  
9  WHEELS 9 8 88 94¼   105 127½ (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 14.80  
SCR  AHIMAAZ               (alberto anton)VARGAS P 124 10.00    
SCR  RODEO CHAMP               (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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