Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/2/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/9/10)-(6/2/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/9/10)-(6/2/7/9/10)-(6/2/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/7/9/10)-(2/4/3/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/9/10)-(2/4/3/7/8)-(3/4/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-2   WIN (2/4/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7/8)-(2/4/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7/8)-(2/4/3/7/8)-(2/4/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7/8)-(3/4/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/7/8)-(3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/11)-(3/4/6/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/11)-(3/4/6/7/11)-(3/4/6/7/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/11)-(2/7/4/1)-(9/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(9/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/1)-(9/8/4/7)-(10/7/4/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (9/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/5/7)-(9/8/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/4/7)-(10/7/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/7)-(10/7/4/9/2)-(8/10/3/4/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (10/7/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2)-(10/7/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/4/9/2)-(8/10/3/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/10/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/4/5)-(8/10/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/4/5)-(8/10/3/4/5)-(8/10/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA VALEDORA Jul30 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar24 (coats james)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00    
2  MISS ARKANSAS Jul30 Jul03 May27 May14 Apr28 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  HIGH DONNA Jul13 Jun16 May21 May05 Apr21 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 4.50    
4  ABBEY CAKES Aug07 Jul24 Apr15 Feb24 Jan26 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
SCR  NICAMINE Jul02 Jun18 May29     (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
6  PINCHING PENNIES Jul30 Jun19 Jan26     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  MARK WITH AN E Jul29 Jun19 May14 Jun08 May28 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
8  LACEY'S STAR Jul30 Jun15 May04 Apr20 Feb28 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00    
9  REAUX BINA Jun29 May21 May13 Apr22 Mar30 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 9% 9.70    
10  POQUITO LADY Jul01 Jun03 May12     (gelner jayde )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESS D'SOUTH Jul04 Jun11 Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
2  MOR KISSES Jul06 May29 May11 Apr22 Jan13 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  CECE WAVE Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 May22 May07 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  JULIO CHOICE Jul20 Jun23 May27 May11 Apr27 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
5  COUSIN VICKIE Aug07 Jul03 May29 Feb02 Jan20 (de a)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
6  GOTTEMINABIND Jul28 Jul01 May30 May14 Apr22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 12.00    
7  WHERE'S AUNT J Jul24 Jun12 Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
8  REINA ACES Jul30 Jun23 May11 Apr19 Mar23 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  T J'S FIRST Jul24 Jun25 May29 Mar18 Jan27 (mouton patri)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00    
10  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Jul30 Jun26 Jun10 Apr26 Sep25 (martin kevin)MELANCON G 124 5.00    
11  OCEAN FLEET Jul29 Jul04 Jun02 May03 Apr12 (avant kelly)ROSIER R 120 8.00    
 
LAD-3   08/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL ON THE GO Jun11 May20 Apr16 Mar31 Feb19 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00    
2  MALLY'S MONSOON Jul29 Jun18 May10 Mar18 Feb09 (cormier donald)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
3  BASKET CASE Jul02 Jun17 May18 Apr07 Feb18 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 67% 0.50    
4  WATCH THIS MUNNY Jul02 May21 Apr07 Mar19 Feb26 (dixon tim)BOREL H 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
5  TIZ MY PLAN Apr07 Sep03 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00    
6  KHOZY TAP Aug03 Jun12 Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
7  SANTANGELO Aug03 Apr21 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
8  LAYLA'S SONG Aug07 Jul08 May14 Mar09 Feb09 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 10.00    
9  THE RAGE OF ART Jul02 May12 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
10  SHEZA CAT Aug03 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May13 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
11  CAPETOWN CANDY Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   08/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Aug05 Jun24       (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ELLE LES YU by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  GRAND ENCORE Jun12         (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
3  SAUCER EYES Aug05         (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of HAVIN A GOOD TIME by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
4  BOY CHARLIE         (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of LADY TAMER by LION TAMER)
5  GRAY DANE Aug10 May04 Apr08 Mar08 Jan28 (senegal dalt)MAGNON H 124 3.50    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
6  FLASH N CLASS Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 Nov30   (gomez c)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GRAND FACILE by ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE)
7  SUIT OF WANDS Feb02 Jan05       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY         (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
 
LAD-5   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Jun10 May20 Jan28 Sep27 Sep11 (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
2  SWEET PERFECTION Jun25 Feb12 Jan13 Jul23 Jun18 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
3  DISCREET SMILE Jul01 Jun03 May11 Apr16 Mar12 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
4  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Jul03 Jan13 Sep27 Aug05 May28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 7% 13.80    
5  DADDYMADEMEDOIT Jun23 Jun10 May11 Jul10 May19 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 ★    
6  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Jul03 Jun10 May04 Mar26 Dec22 (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
7  GASTOWN Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 Apr13 Apr01 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WORLD WAR Jul27 Jun16 May04 Mar26 Feb16 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
9  QUINN ELLA Jul27 Jun23 Jun10 May29 Apr16 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
LAD-6   08/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR'S DREAM Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 Mar05 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 3.50    
2  PSEUDOSCIENCE Jul10 Jun16 May25 Apr26 Mar05 (duke steve)ALBERT S 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COME WHAT MAE Jul21 Jun08 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
4  CAJUN ACES Jul17 Jun10 May20 May08 Apr12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 7% 12.70    
5  CHATAIN'S FLYER Jul03 Sep20 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
6  KAPPA HILL Jul06 May11 Apr20 Jul28 Jul01 (journet albe)MAGNON H 122 15.00    
7  THE GREY BEAUTY Jul15 Jun17 May26 May11 Apr20 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 117 8.00 28% 2.60    
8  I DONT KNOW EITHER Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 Mar05 (gomez jorge)BENAVIDES D 122 20.00    
9  DIALED J Jul02 Jun12       (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 8.00 7% 13.30    
10  CUSTOM MAIDEN Jul02 May22 May14 Feb15 Jan28 (washington ri)VARGAS P 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
LAD-7   08/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUX ARCS Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 May05 Apr07 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 25.00    
2  COMMANDER SCOTT Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 Jun22 (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
3  DRAG MALIBU Jul31 Jul13 Jun11 May28 May15 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  IN THE ARCH Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 May18 Apr21 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
5  STOMPING HOTROD Jun17 May30 May05 Apr23 Mar23 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIPLE RED ACES Jul21 Jun17 May25 Apr28 Feb23 (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
7  STRAIGHT LUCK Jun11 May12 Apr16 Feb19 Jan20 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50    
8  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jul31 Jun26 May30 Apr16 Mar23 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
9  WHEELS Jun04 May21 May07 Feb10   (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
10  TACTICAL PRIORITY Jul27 Jun15 May26 Apr14 Mar15 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 116 4.50 23% 3.30    
11  WINGS OF GOLD Jun04 Mar19 Jan21 Nov05 Oct06 (foster m)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
12  SEEKING SAWYER Jun04 Mar24 Feb05     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  RODEO CHAMP Jun16 May05 Mar11 Feb05 Dec07 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 25.00    
SCR  AHIMAAZ Jul22 Jun22 Jun04 May14 Feb15 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.