Handicappers' Race Results

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Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
LAD-2   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
LAD-3   Win (4/11/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 0.40
LAD-4   Win (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
LAD-5   Win (6/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
LAD-6   Win (8/1/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $22.00 $22.00 12.00
LAD-7   Win (10/6/12/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:102 1:224   1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITARTUITION PLZZ 4 3 32 22   2nk 1 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.20 W
THROWIN' SHADE 1 5 5 45   32 2 (mojica edi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 15% 5.60 1.10 P
KINGS WAGER 6 4 43 34   43 35 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 117 2.00 28% 2.60 8.90 S
CHIEFWEAVE 3 2 12 12   1nk 4 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 6.00  
PERFECT TOM 5 6 6 68   58 514 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 5.10  
HALF A BUCK 2 1 22 55   610 615 (pedigo randy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00 27.90  
 
LAD-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH COLLIERY 5 5 53 3   11 13 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 121 2.50 56% 0.80 1.60 W
DAAHERS BULLY 4 2 31 4   32 23 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 10% 9.00 18.10 P
FAREWELL TIME 3 1 1½ 1½   21 3 (gonzalez adrie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 6.60  
FULL IMPACT 2 3 2½ 2½   4 4 (villafranco marti)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 1.10  
BAYOU BEAUX 1 4 43 53   5 511¾ (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 9% 9.60 4.30  
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS               (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
SCR  LION HEART LEGEND               (gonzalez adrie)BARRERA J 116 10.00    
SCR  OJITOS               (hewitt michael)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   08/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:123 1:242   1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALOMEINTHEHOOP 2 1 1½ 11   1 12 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
MARMO MOON 6 7 4 4   3 22 (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 13% 6.50 4.30 P
11  SHEZA SHINING STAR 8 2 2½ 21   2 32 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 26% 2.80 1.60 S
12  DAISY DE ORO 9 5 3 3   4 4 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 12.00 8.70  
RONA VISION 4 4 5 9   66 5 (nixon w)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 30.00 30.90  
BODI ODI 1 3 7 75   5 6 (northrop debra)TORRES HUGO 115 25.00 58.70  
CHARMONTE 5 6 9 86   77 710 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00 13% 6.90 8.70  
TWISTED BRADE 3 9 8 5   88 813¾ (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 28% 2.60 6.40  
10  ACCELERATING BABE 7 8 6 63   915 926¼ (pish d)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00 16.50  
SCR  HIGH DONNA               (escobar alison)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
SCR  LA VILLANA               (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E               (del erick)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL               (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 124 3.50    
SCR  SURREY               (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
 
LAD-4   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 :594     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCH LADY 3 1 1nk 12   14 1 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 119 2.50 30% 2.40 3.80 W
GRAY PEARL 4 7 66 5   49 2 (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 14.00  
BOLD EXAGGERATION 7 5 43 45   38 3 (tillis e)MAGNON H 120 8.00 6.70  
LO PROFILE 1 6 7 7   511 4 (rossi j)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 6% 15.00 5.10  
NEVER WALK ALONE 2 2 2nk 22   24 5 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.90  
JERSEY DOLL 6 3 31 35   614 614 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 6.00 8.70  
NICELY UNIFIED 5 4 5 6   716 714 (ducoing sturge)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00 15% 5.50 2.50  
SCR  MISS SINGH ANGEL               (kanhai joseph)BURNINGHAM J 124 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:213 :44       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH CHARLIE 8 2 1nk 12   15 1 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 37% 1.70 2.40 W
11  HALF OURS N STORMY 10 1 31 22   25 2 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 122 12.00 5% 19.00 21.40 P
JAKE THE BAND MAN 1 4 5 5   47 3 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 5.10  
SATURDAY'S GOLD 5 9 9 8   7 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 40% 1.50 2.60  
HEZA PRIORITY 4 10 1011¼ 9   811¼ 5 (husak gar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 39.30  
MUCHO MARVIN 2 8 7 6   6 6 (courville rick)MAGNON H 122 12.00 25.30  
LOUISIANA FLASH 3 5 4 4   5 7 (hurley tina )MARQUEZ L 122 12.00 25.00  
HOSTILE AFLEET 6 7 8 7   911¼ 8 (larrosa ju)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 19.10  
GOLD MERRITT 7 3 2nk 33   37 910¾ (ellis j)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
10  SIGN OF WAR 9 6 6 10   1011½ 1011¾ (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 2.70  
SCR  EASY RUNNER               (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
 
LAD-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE MOON 8 5 43 21   13 1 (gonzalez adrie)BARRERA J 119 4.50 6% 15.10 10.00 W
SKIPPA 4 4 33 53   54 2 (charles jona)ALBERT S 115 15.00 4.00  
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 1 2 21 32   33 3 (thompson kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.10 S
FLASH FREDDIE 2 7 6 7   4 4 (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 10.00 5% 18.00 5.20  
INSPECTOR ED 5 8 7 8   7 5 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
10  ETBAUER'S SECRET 9 6 5 42   65 6 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 15.20  
CUSTOM CRESCENT 7 1 11 11   23 7 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 52% 0.90 4.50  
JUDGMENTAL 6 9 913 6   910¾ 812¾ (cascio andrew)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 13.10  
LIT A SHUCK 3 3 88 9   810¼ 913 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 31.10  
SCR  LIFEASWEKNOWIT               (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
 
LAD-7   08/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:102 1:223   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAZUMA 10 1 1½ 11 1 15 1 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 21% 3.70 1.80 W
KID SHELLEEN 5 8 75 76 8 35 2 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 5.00 25% 3.00 6.00 P
GOLDBRIDGE 7 2 42 43 3 5 3 (tuley rhon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 70.40  
11  RONIC 9 5 2½ 21 2 4 4 (dupuy allen)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 19.50  
FIRST CLASS HARLOW 1 3 3 3 43 25 57 (courville rick)MAGNON H 120 8.00 10.80  
10  MIAMI MOONLIGHT 8 6 54 65 65 7 6 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 26% 2.80 2.40  
PINCH HITTER 6 10 10 10 75 8 78 (romero d)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 6% 16.50 10.50  
OPTIMAL TRIP 4 9 9 9 9 6 8 (rossi j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 11.00  
RIVER RAFT 3 7 64 5 54 98 9 (hargrave kennet)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
GOD'S GOLD 2 4 8 8 10 10 1010¾ (martin b)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00 29.80  
SCR  BRAZIL NUT               (rangel raul)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 20.00    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN               (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
SCR  GOLD PRIZE               (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON               (escobar alison)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.