Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/6/1)-(4/11/9/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-2   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(4/11/9/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(4/11/9/8/3)-(3/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/11/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/9/8/3)-(4/11/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/9/8/3)-(4/11/9/8/3)-(4/11/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/9/8/3)-(3/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/11/9/8/3)-(3/2/6/1)-(6/9/11/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(6/9/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(6/9/11/8)-(8/1/9/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/11/8)-(6/9/10/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/11/8)-(6/9/10/11/8)-(6/9/10/11/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/11/8)-(8/1/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/11/8)-(8/1/9/2/6)-(10/6/12/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (8/1/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/2/6)-(8/1/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/2/6)-(8/1/9/2/6)-(8/1/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/9/2/6)-(10/6/12/8/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (10/6/12/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/12/8/4)-(10/6/12/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/12/8/4)-(10/6/12/8/4)-(10/6/12/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THROWIN' SHADE Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May05 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  HALF A BUCK Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May26 Apr20 (pedigo rand)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00    
3  CHIEFWEAVE Jul29 Jun17 May30 May14 Mar23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
4  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Jul22 May27 Apr14 Mar22 Mar03 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  PERFECT TOM Jul22 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 May20 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50    
6  KINGS WAGER Jul09 Jun25 May30 Apr27 Mar08 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
LAD-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU BEAUX Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 Jun05 Feb09 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
SCR  OJITOS Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 May20 May05 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  LION HEART LEGEND Jun16 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 Jan18 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 116 10.00    
4  FULL IMPACT Jul30 Jul13 Apr08 Feb03 Jan14 (villafranco mar)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
5  FAREWELL TIME Jun30 May12 Apr21 Feb04 Dec27 (gonzalez adr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
6  DAAHERS BULLY Jun24 May07 Apr27 Apr15 Apr02 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Aug04 Jun23 Jun10 May28 May05 (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
8  SMOOTH COLLIERY Jun24 May18 Apr21 Mar15 Feb25 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
LAD-3   08/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Jul01 Jun08 May18 Apr16 Mar31 (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 124 3.50    
2  BODI ODI Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 May28 Apr29 (northrop debra)TORRES HUGO 115 25.00    
3  SALOMEINTHEHOOP Jul02         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWISTED BRADE Jul24 Jan27 Aug15 Jul21 Jun19 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MARK WITH AN E Jul29 Jun19 May14 Jun08 May28 (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
6  RONA VISION Jul23 Jun18       (nixon thomas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 30.00    
SCR  SURREY Jun26 Jun09 May11 Apr08 Feb24 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
8  CHARMONTE Jun12 Mar12 Dec22 Sep05   (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
9  MARMO MOON Jul29 Jun12 Apr08 Mar16 Oct29 (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
10  ACCELERATING BABE Jun08 Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Jun25 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
11  SHEZA SHINING STAR Jul29 Jun08 Sep03 Aug06 Jul04 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
12  DAISY DE ORO Jul20 Jun19 May27 Apr20 Mar18 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 12.00    
SCR  HIGH DONNA Jul13 Jun16 May21 May05 Apr21 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
SCR  LA VILLANA Jun09 May11 Mar24 Mar01   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
 
LAD-4   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LO PROFILE Jun11 May21 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 (rossi j)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 6% 15.00    
2  NEVER WALK ALONE Jul02 Apr19 Jul10 Jun25   (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  LUNCH LADY Jun12 May27 May04 Apr21 Mar30 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  GRAY PEARL May16 Apr26 Dec09 Nov07 Oct22 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
SCR  MISS SINGH ANGEL Jul29         (kanhai joseph)BURNINGHAM J 124 15.00    
6  NICELY UNIFIED Jul29 Jul14 May27 Dec02 Nov05 (ducoing stur)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00 15% 5.50    
7  JERSEY DOLL Jul23 Jun18 Apr29     (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 6.00    
8  BOLD EXAGGERATION Jul24 May29 May12     (tillis jerry)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
 
LAD-5   08/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE THE BAND MAN Jul24 Jul08 May30 Feb02 Jan14 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
2  MUCHO MARVIN Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 May11 Apr21 (courville ri)MAGNON H 122 12.00    
SCR  EASY RUNNER Jul28 Jun09 May11 Apr15 Mar18 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
4  LOUISIANA FLASH May22 May06 Apr07 Feb10 Nov25 (hurley r)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
5  HEZA PRIORITY Aug05 Jun18 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (husak g)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
6  SATURDAY'S GOLD May30 Apr01 Mar12 Jan22 Aug17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  HOSTILE AFLEET Jun24 May20 May08 Apr15 Mar19 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
8  GOLD MERRITT Jun19 May30 May07 Mar18 Mar01 (ellis randy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TOUGH CHARLIE May26 Apr01 Feb15 Jul17 Jun09 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  SIGN OF WAR Apr01 Mar05 Jan21 Nov26 Oct14 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 ★    
11  HALF OURS N STORMY Jul27 Jun15 Feb16 Nov30 Nov10 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Jul17 Jul06 Jun15 May27 Apr29 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  FLASH FREDDIE Jul02 May06 Feb28     (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 10.00 5% 18.00    
3  LIT A SHUCK Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May14 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
4  SKIPPA Jul22 Jun30 May27 Apr08 Feb25 (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
SCR  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Jul29 Jun18 May27 Mar23 Mar08 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  INSPECTOR ED Jul29 Jun15 May10 Apr29 Mar22 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUDGMENTAL Jul22 Jul10 Jun25 May30 May14 (cascio andr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00    
8  CUSTOM CRESCENT May14 Jan12 Nov30     (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
9  JACKIE MOON Jul29 Jul07 Jun02 May19 May05 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 119 4.50 6% 15.10    
10  ETBAUER'S SECRET Jul17 Jul07 Jun02 May04 Feb18 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
 
LAD-7   08/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jul10 Jun10 May27 Apr27 Jan01 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May25 Apr28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
3  GOD'S GOLD Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 May21 (martin b)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
4  RIVER RAFT Jun10 Mar25 Mar02     (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OPTIMAL TRIP May28 Apr27 Apr15 Feb19 Jan28 (rossi j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
6  KID SHELLEEN Jul09 Jun05 Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GOLD PRIZE Jun25 May28 Mar24 Mar04 Nov12 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
8  PINCH HITTER Jul31 Jul01 May06 Nov05 Sep24 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
9  GOLDBRIDGE Jul04 Jun23 May28 May03 Apr10 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
10  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Jun24 Jun04 May18 May06   (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
11  RONIC Jun25 Sep09 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (dupuy allen)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
12  MAZUMA Sep08 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17   (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
SCR  BRAZIL NUT Jun16 Apr30 Mar17 Mar04 Jan20 (rangel ra)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.