Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.60 $0.60 10%
LAD-2   WIN (8/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $25.10 $13.10 109%
    TRI (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-3-8 $26.70 $14.70 123%
LAD-3   WIN (2/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    DD (2/6/10/5)-(2/6/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-2 $34.30 $18.30 114%
LAD-5   WIN (5/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    DD (5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  9-5 $24.30 $8.30 52%
    PK3 (5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  2-9-5 $85.90 $53.90 168%
LAD-7   WIN (9/1/4/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.60 $5.60 56%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ALIBI   (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 23% 3.40 2.30 W
10  DANCIN N THEPULPIT   (cates al)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 4.70  
SHEZ OUR ARCH   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 44% 1.20 2.60 S
IRON BANNER   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50 13.70  
MSCHITCHATTOUR   (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.50  
GUEST IN MY HEART   (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 9% 10.10 7.50  
TEXAS TIDELANDS   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 4.60  
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL   (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE SUMMER   (morrell )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION   (schwandt emile)STOKES J 119 8.00    
SCR  ZEEROCK   (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 119 20.00    
 
LAD-2   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LOOK ETHEL   (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 8% 10.80 5.90 W
LONG SHOT LOUISE   (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.00 3.90 P
E R'S MIREYA   (ramirez julio)RAMIREZ JULIO 119 2.50 26% 2.80 0.90 S
TENSAS CLEAR   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 22.60  
HOLIDAY FLOWERS   (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 22.90  
SHARE THE DOE   (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00 39.80  
SPARKLE CITY   (zeno benja)ALBERT S 119 8.00 9.10  
CALCITE   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 26% 2.80 10.10  
DON'T BLINK TWICE   (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.00 18.40  
 
LAD-3   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET OUT TONIGHT   (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21% 3.90 5.10 W
THE NEXT BIG BLING   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 2.10  
VALLEJO   (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 8.10  
10  MISS JAMIE   (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 3.50 19% 4.40 4.70  
PREACH IT GIRL   (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00 9% 10.70 15.00  
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 6.90  
ALYS EPISODE   (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00 41.70  
GETONOUTTAHERE   (rossi j)BOREL H 122 4.50 20% 3.90 3.40  
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY   (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  HOT PATOOTIE   (ney john)BARRERA J 114 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA   (thomas lee)ALBERT S 114 4.00    
 
LAD-4   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROSTORM   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 3.00  
NICE LIKE MICHELLE   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00 23.70  
HAY HAY GIRL   (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 S
GOOD BY FAITH   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 4.50 11.30  
11  QUITEGIRL   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 115 6.00 14% 6.20 6.50  
10  STORMY COUNTRY DAY   (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 115 12.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
LITTLE ELLIE   (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 4.00 12.10  
CINCO GAL   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 40% 1.50 2.30  
LEXI'S FURY   (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
THE LADY BULLS EYE   (hodges j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00 51.90  
DREAMRUNNER   (duke steve)ALBERT S 113 20.00 18.80  
 
LAD-5   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 49% 1.00 3.40 W
PARTY LITTLE BOY   (pennino frank)STOKES J 124 8.00 17.40  
INFINITESIMAL   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 10% 9.30 8.20 S
KING OF CONTRABAND   (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 15% 5.60 1.10  
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 8.90  
RUN ON ACES   (perron gerard)STOKES A 124 4.00 21.40  
HAIL THE CAT   (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 6% 16.60 9.90  
REVERENT   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 7.50  
SCR  PATIO'S PORCH   (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
 
LAD-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON'S SCREEN   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50 42% 1.40 1.00 W
CRYPTO BRAVE   (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00 12.00  
PAT HAND GIRL   (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 11.10  
BEULAH K   (hollow)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 6.70  
AGGIE DOCTOR   (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.40  
FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS   (senegal da)ALBERT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00 49.30  
CHATAIN'S FLYER   (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 55.60  
CRISPY CREED   (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 15% 5.90 7.80  
SCR  SADIE'S RANSOM   (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTLER CABIN   (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80 6.80 W
FAR BEYOND   (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00 32.10  
10  MINT   (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 5% 17.30 2.00 S
FATHER RED   (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00 10.70  
11  PAYNT BATTLE   (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
HE GOTS TO GO   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 10.00  
KID SHELLEEN   (borel renay)BOREL H 124 8.00 45% 1.20 4.40  
TSURIS   (ducoing stur)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 38.50  
RUM 'N TONIC   (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 12.00 6% 15.60 7.30  
13  SHAMAYIM   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 7.00  
QUICK TO BLAME   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 17.70  
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE   (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER   (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 25.00    
SCR  WILTON   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.