Handicappers' Race Results

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
LAD-2   Win (8/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
LAD-3   Win (2/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
LAD-4   Win (4/11/3/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $8.00  
LAD-5   Win (5/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
LAD-6   Win (5/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
LAD-7   Win (9/1/4/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 5.60

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144     1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ALIBI 1 1 11 12 15 15 1 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 23% 3.40 2.30 W
10  DANCIN N THEPULPIT 7 3 21 22 25 25 2 (cates al)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 4.70  
SHEZ OUR ARCH 5 4 54 4 59 59 311½ (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 44% 1.20 2.60 S
IRON BANNER 4 5 32 3 47 47 411½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50 13.70  
MSCHITCHATTOUR 3 7 78 79 713 610½ 514½ (zenon she)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.50  
GUEST IN MY HEART 6 6 67 67 36 37 615¾ (altamira)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 9% 10.10 7.50  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 2 2 4 56 611 711 720½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 4.60  
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL               (schmidt denise)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE SUMMER               (morrell cy)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION               (schwandt emile)STOKES J 119 8.00    
SCR  ZEEROCK               (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 119 20.00    
 
LAD-2   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:231 :48       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LOOK ETHEL 5 5 6 42   31 1¾ (ward r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 8% 10.80 5.90 W
LONG SHOT LOUISE 3 6 3 21   2½ 2¾ (dodson cliffor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.00 3.90 P
E R'S MIREYA 8 3 4 3   1½ 3¾ (ramirez julio)RAMIREZ JULIO 119 2.50 26% 2.80 0.90 S
TENSAS CLEAR 4 8 87 6   6 4 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 22.60  
HOLIDAY FLOWERS 2 2 21 5   5 54 (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 22.90  
SHARE THE DOE 1 7 11 11   4 6 (zenon she)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00 39.80  
SPARKLE CITY 9 4 7 8   7 7 (zeno benjami)ALBERT S 119 8.00 9.10  
CALCITE 7 1 53 75   8 8 (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 26% 2.80 10.10  
DON'T BLINK TWICE 6 9 913 9   9 9 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.00 18.40  
 
LAD-3   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:224 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET OUT TONIGHT 2 2 11 1½   11 1¾ (jacks kare)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21% 3.90 5.10 W
THE NEXT BIG BLING 1 1 21 3   31 2¾ (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 2.10  
VALLEJO 3 7 7 76   5 3 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 8.10  
10  MISS JAMIE 8 3 32 2½   21 4 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 3.50 19% 4.40 4.70  
PREACH IT GIRL 4 6 44 43   43 5 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00 9% 10.70 15.00  
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW 6 4 54 53   6 68 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 6.90  
ALYS EPISODE 7 5 6 64   7 710 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00 41.70  
GETONOUTTAHERE 5 8 87 8   8 815½ (rossi j)BOREL H 122 4.50 20% 3.90 3.40  
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY               (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  HOT PATOOTIE               (ney john)BARRERA J 114 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA               (thomas lee)ALBERT S 114 4.00    
 
LAD-4   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROSTORM 9 6 31 1   13 12 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 3.00  
NICE LIKE MICHELLE 5 7 54 32   4 22 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00 23.70  
HAY HAY GIRL 3 5 610 7   78 35 (jeansonne justin)SUAREZ ANGEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 S
GOOD BY FAITH 6 1 1½ 2   55 4 (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 118 4.50 11.30  
11  QUITEGIRL 11 3 42 5   23 58 (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 115 6.00 14% 6.20 6.50  
10  STORMY COUNTRY DAY 10 2 1020 4   34 6 (jeansonne justin)GREEN AUBRIE 115 12.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
LITTLE ELLIE 8 9 710½ 89   8 712 (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 4.00 12.10  
CINCO GAL 4 4 2½ 6   6 813½ (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 40% 1.50 2.30  
LEXI'S FURY 1 8 919½ 911   1012½ 914½ (duhon o)BARRERA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
THE LADY BULLS EYE 2 10 814½ 1012   912 1020½ (hodges jam)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00 51.90  
DREAMRUNNER 7 11 1120½ 1117   1114½ 1128½ (duke steven)ALBERT S 113 20.00 18.80  
 
LAD-5   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:143 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR 4 2 3 31 3 11 1 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 49% 1.00 3.40 W
PARTY LITTLE BOY 7 6 7 7 6 34 2 (pennino frank)STOKES J 124 8.00 17.40  
INFINITESIMAL 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 3 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 10% 9.30 8.20 S
KING OF CONTRABAND 8 5 6 53 4 45 414½ (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 15% 5.60 1.10  
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 55 515¾ (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 8.90  
RUN ON ACES 6 8 8 812½ 810½ 610 620¼ (perron gerard)STOKES A 124 4.00 21.40  
HAIL THE CAT 2 7 5 6 7 813 726¼ (gomez rafael )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 6% 16.60 9.90  
REVERENT 5 4 4 42 5 712 827½ (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 7.50  
SCR  PATIO'S PORCH               (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
 
LAD-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON'S SCREEN 5 2 2 11   1 1¼ (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50 42% 1.40 1.00 W
CRYPTO BRAVE 7 3 34 3   2 2¼ (zenon shelton)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00 12.00  
PAT HAND GIRL 3 6 5 4   43 3 (hargrave kenne)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 11.10  
BEULAH K 6 7 7 5   5 4 (holloway)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 6.70  
AGGIE DOCTOR 4 1 1 21   3 5 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.40  
FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS 1 8 812½ 77   6 69 (senegal dalt)ALBERT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00 49.30  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 2 5 66 66   7 717¼ (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 55.60  
CRISPY CREED 8 4 45 88   812¾ 826 (johnson b)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 15% 5.90 7.80  
SCR  SADIE'S RANSOM               (gustafson austi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:123 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTLER CABIN 1 5 2nk 2½ 23 11 1 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80 6.80 W
FAR BEYOND 2 6 42 4 34 31 2 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00 32.10  
10  MINT 9 4 1nk 1½ 13 21 33 (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 5% 17.30 2.00 S
FATHER RED 5 2 55 78 57 44 44 (villafranco m)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00 10.70  
11  PAYNT BATTLE 10 8 811¼ 1010 8 6 55 (sanchez c)BARRERA J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
HE GOTS TO GO 6 11 911¾ 910 7 7 6 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 10.00  
KID SHELLEEN 8 7 66 65 47 5 7 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 8.00 45% 1.20 4.40  
TSURIS 3 10 7 54 6 8 812¾ (ducoing sturge)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 38.50  
RUM 'N TONIC 4 1 31 3 9 910½ 915 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 12.00 6% 15.60 7.30  
13  SHAMAYIM 11 9 1011¾ 89 1011¼ 1015½ 1026 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 7.00  
QUICK TO BLAME 7 3 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 17.70  
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE               (rangel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER               (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 25.00    
SCR  WILTON               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.