Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/9)-(8/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/9)-(8/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9)-(8/7/3/5)-(2/6/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (8/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/5)-(2/6/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/5)-(2/6/10/5)-(4/11/1/3/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/5)-(2/6/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/5)-(2/6/10/5)-(2/6/10/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/10/5)-(4/11/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/10/5)-(4/11/1/3/10)-(5/9/3/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/11/1/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/1/3/10)-(4/11/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/1/3/10)-(4/11/1/3/10)-(4/11/1/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/1/3/10)-(5/9/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/11/1/3/10)-(5/9/3/2)-(5/4/9/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2)-(5/9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/2)-(5/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/2)-(5/4/9/1)-(9/1/4/10/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1)-(5/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/9/1)-(9/1/4/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (9/1/4/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/10/11)-(9/1/4/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/10/11)-(9/1/4/10/11)-(9/1/4/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ALIBI Aug14 Jul17 May21 Mar15 Sep25 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CHEROKEE SUMMER Jun15 Apr30 Sep15 Aug27 Jun10 (morrell )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Sep25 Aug16 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
4  TEXAS TIDELANDS Jul17 Jun25 Jun15 May20 Apr30 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
5  MSCHITCHATTOUR Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May26 Apr15 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  ZEEROCK Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 119 20.00    
7  IRON BANNER Jul14 Jun16 May11 Apr22 Dec23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50    
8  SHEZ OUR ARCH Aug14 Jul27 May20 Apr24 Apr04 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 44% 1.20    
9  GUEST IN MY HEART Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
10  DANCIN N THEPULPIT Aug07 Jun04 May04 Apr14 Mar16 (cates al)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
SCR  TARGET VISION Aug11 Apr22 Feb20 Jan29 Sep10 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 119 8.00    
 
LAD-2   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARE THE DOE Aug12 Mar18 Feb11     (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
2  HOLIDAY FLOWERS Jun19 May28       (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
3  LONG SHOT LOUISE Jul09 Jun04 May14 Apr15 Mar18 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
4  TENSAS CLEAR Jul31 Jul23       (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
5  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Aug06 Jun25 May30 Apr19 Feb18 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
6  DON'T BLINK TWICE Jul23 Jun11 May07 Feb22 Jan20 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.00    
7  CALCITE Aug06 Jul29 Jul13 May19 Apr15 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
8  E R'S MIREYA Aug06 Jul09 Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 (ramirez julio)RAMIREZ JULIO 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
9  SPARKLE CITY Aug12 Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 May30 (zeno benja)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
 
LAD-3   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE NEXT BIG BLING Jun11 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00    
2  GET OUT TONIGHT Jun03 May13 Mar10 Feb05 Nov04 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
3  VALLEJO Jul01 Feb23 Jan06 Dec07 Mar02 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY Jul27 Jul08 Jul11 Jun07 May14 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
5  PREACH IT GIRL Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun17 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00 9% 10.70    
6  GETONOUTTAHERE Aug14 Jul30 Jun18 Feb20 Feb05 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  HOT PATOOTIE Jul15 May19 Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 (ney john)BARRERA J 114 20.00    
8  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 Apr27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
9  ALYS EPISODE Jul01 May21 Feb22 Feb09 Dec16 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00    
10  MISS JAMIE Jul01 Jun11 Feb03 Dec29 Dec03 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 Jun11 Jun02 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 114 4.00    
 
LAD-4   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXI'S FURY         (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE LADY BULLS EYE Aug06         (hodges j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
3  HAY HAY GIRL         (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CINCO GAL Aug14 Jul24 May30     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  NICE LIKE MICHELLE         (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00    
6  GOOD BY FAITH Aug14 Jun11       (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 4.50    
7  DREAMRUNNER         (duke steve)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
8  LITTLE ELLIE Jul24 Jul08 Jun16 May28   (rangel raul)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 4.00    
9  EUROSTORM         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
10  STORMY COUNTRY DAY         (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  QUITEGIRL         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 115 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
LAD-5   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Jul31 Feb09 Jan15 Dec08 Sep27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
2  HAIL THE CAT Aug05         (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 6% 16.60    
3  INFINITESIMAL Aug05 Jun25 Mar24 Mar09 Mar01 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  PATIO'S PORCH Aug05 Jul03 May27     (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
5  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 Jun17 May26 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  REVERENT Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May22 May06 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00    
7  RUN ON ACES Aug05 Jun24 Jun09 May13 Apr20 (perron gerard)STOKES A 124 4.00    
8  PARTY LITTLE BOY Aug05 Jun29 Jun02 May18 Apr28 (pennino frank)STOKES J 124 8.00    
9  KING OF CONTRABAND Jul01 May22 Feb28 Feb18 Jan20 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
LAD-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Jul06 Jun16 May26 Feb26 Jan12 (senegal da)ALBERT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHATAIN'S FLYER Aug20 Jul03 Sep20 Jul11 Jun18 (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
3  PAT HAND GIRL Jul30 Jun10 May14 Mar23 Feb26 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
4  AGGIE DOCTOR Jul27 Jul08 May13 May03 Apr07 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  MADISON'S SCREEN Jul14 Jun29 May25 Apr21 Mar16 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  SADIE'S RANSOM Jul27 Jun18 May13 Mar10 Feb23 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
7  BEULAH K Aug07 Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr22 (hollow)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
8  CRYPTO BRAVE Aug12 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
9  CRISPY CREED         (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
LAD-7   08/28/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTLER CABIN Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May25 Apr28 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  FAR BEYOND Jun17 May22 May07 Apr29 Feb17 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00    
3  TSURIS Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 May06 Apr21 (ducoing stur)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
4  RUM 'N TONIC Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 May27 May06 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 12.00 6% 15.60    
5  FATHER RED Aug12 Jul20 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
SCR  WILTON Jul31 Jun03 Mar31 Jan22 Jan08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 25.00    
7  HE GOTS TO GO Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 May27 May10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
8  QUICK TO BLAME Jul09 Jun11 May08 Apr29 Mar31 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
9  KID SHELLEEN Aug13 Jul09 Jun05 Apr16 Apr02 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 8.00 45% 1.20    
10  MINT Jul30 Jul09 May29 May15 Feb17 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 5% 17.30    
11  PAYNT BATTLE Aug04 Jul07 Jun19 May28 May03 (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE Aug19 Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr22 (rang)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
13  SHAMAYIM Jul22 Jun05 May05 Feb20 Feb03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER Apr12 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.