Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-7-3 $5.25 $2.25 75%
LAD-2   WIN (7/3/10/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $20.20 $10.20 102%
LAD-3   WIN (1/3/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $23.00 $13.00 130%
    DD (7/3/10/9/8)-(1/3/10/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-1 $88.00 $63.00 252%
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(7/3/10/9/8)-(1/3/10/7/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50  6-7-1 $108.20 $70.70 189%
LAD-5   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $19.90 $13.90 232%
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-7-4 $20.30 $17.30 577%
LAD-6   DD (7/4/3)-(7/3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $22.90 $10.90 91%
LAD-7   EXA (4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-6 $26.80 $6.80 34%
    TRI (4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-6-1 $63.70 $33.70 112%
    SFT (4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6)-(4/1/14/5/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-6-1-14 $71.05 $59.05 492%
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(7/3/1/10)-(4/1/14/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-1-4 $40.15 $10.15 34%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A THOUSAND DOLLARS 6 1 1nk 1   12 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 20% 4.00 0.60 W
  (by REQUITE out of A THOUSAND TEARS by SAINT AFLEET)
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN 7 2 2nk 2   22 2 (martin kevin)MELANCON G 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.50 P
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
HANDSOME HAROLD 3 4 6 4   3 3 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50 37% 1.70 3.40 S
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of MIND BLOWING by FRIENDS LAKE)
ALLONANITA'SLUCK 1 6 4 5   56 49 (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00 43.50  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ANITA'S SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
NATIVE REQUITE 4 3 33 3   4 510 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 25.00  
  (by REQUITE out of NATIVE TRINKET by DOVE HUNT)
CAJUN MISCHIEF 2 5 5 67   69 617 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 15.30  
  (by ONE LINER out of Z FEME FEME FEME by ZARBYEV)
CANAL ST. CUPID 5 7 710¾ 712   714 723 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 119 10.00 8.00  
  (by CUPID out of BRONZE ABE by TWO PUNCH)
 
LAD-2   09/09/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:58         :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRUTTIN APRIORITY 7 7 8 6   4 1¾ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 25% 3.00 9.10 W
EL GABRIELO 6 1 2½ 2nk   11 2¾ (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 7.20  
CHARLIE'S PARADE 4 5 3 31   21 3 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 3.00 3.00  
TASK 9 8 108 10   7 4 (witt ii)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 8% 11.20 24.60  
G'S MILLION 5 6 75 8   6 54 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 15.00 2.00  
GROSSE TETE IAN 8 4 4 42   5 64 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
EGOR OTAY 3 2 1½ 1nk   3 7 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 24% 3.20 5.10  
ROCKY BOY 2 10 97 9   8 8 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 15.00 23.10  
10  PUNCHIE 10 3 5 7   9 9 (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.50 16% 5.20 17.50  
NATIVE MOONSHINE 1 9 64 53   10 1011 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 23.60  
 
LAD-3   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY LASSIE 1 1 11 13   14 1 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 5.00 43% 1.30 10.50 W
GUANAJUATO 2 5 54 5   24 2 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50 2.00  
CHEER UP 6 3 32 34   3 3 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 8.50  
TWN MS MIDSHIP 8 6 65 8   57 410¾ (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 13.40  
JANISTHEBEAUTY 5 2 21 23   4 512¼ (terre david)ROSIER R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
CRISPY CREED 7 10 1110¼ 1112¼   10 613½ (johnson henry)VARGAS P 121 25.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
BLUEBIRD SING 3 9 10 1010¾   8 713½ (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 119 15.00 26% 2.80 5.90  
12  HOT PATOOTIE 12 11 8 7   9 813¾ (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 10.00 15.40  
11  PREACH IT GIRL 11 8 7 6   7 915½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 4.30  
10  FINISHWHATUSTARTED 10 4 42 4   6 1016 (gonzalez adr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
ALYS EPISODE 4 12 1210¾ 1213¼   1113¼ 1120¾ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00 79.70  
QUALITY BOW 9 7 9 9   1215¼ 1228¾ (gonzalez adriel)TORRES HUGO 119 25.00 89.80  
 
LAD-4   09/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:25   1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUEST IN MY HEART 2 9 9 9   5 11 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 6.10  
SWEET SASSICAIA 1 1 23 2½   2½ 21 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 114 6.00 10% 8.80 5.10 P
COINMAKER 5 4 6 6   4 3 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 51% 0.90 3.20 S
NAVAGATIONALBEACON 9 3 34 3½   3 43 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
SIMPLE SUNDAY 6 12 1111¼ 8   7 5 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 25.00 18.00  
GETONOUTTAHERE 3 2 13 1½   1½ 6 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 5.00 4.90  
10  FUNTIMEGIRL 10 10 8 4   8 7 (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
12  SHE'S TAKIN OVER 12 11 1213¼ 1212½   11 8 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 10.00 15.40  
CUSTOM MAIDEN 4 8 55 7   6 9 (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 28.20  
11  HAVE I EVER 11 7 7 10   10 107 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 14% 6.40 14.90  
DANCIN N THEPULPIT 8 6 45 53   9 11 (cates al)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 9.60  
WAIT ON ME 7 5 1010¾ 1110½   1210¼ 12 (hatcher nath)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 25.00 59.70  
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL               (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
 
LAD-5   09/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
START WELL 2 6 6 5 4 3 1nk (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 4.50 14% 6.10 4.60 W
BLESSED ANNA 6 3 3 3 2nk 1½ 2nk (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 P
SEE SASSY RUN 3 2 22 2½ 1nk 2½ 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 16% 5.20 2.30 S
I DONT KNOW EITHER 5 5 58 68 68 56 4 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00 37.30  
AVERI EVER AFTER 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00 6.30  
KITTENOFTHE COURT 1 1 12 1½ 3½ 4 612¾ (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 5.60  
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR               (gomez jorge)BENAVIDES D 122 10.00    
 
LAD-6   09/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:25   1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE TOLD YOU SO 1 8 8 8   4 1¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 7% 13.30 1.50 W
EL CALIENTE LADY 8 3 42 3   3.2 2¾ (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00 20.30  
DIXIE FARMER 6 10 9 9   5 31 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 8.00 11.20 S
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE 5 4 1½ 1½   2nk 4 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00 5.60  
MISS TARGET 3 1 2½ 2½   1nk 5 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 19% 4.20 5.10  
AGAMI 9 6 54 5   7 6 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 29.20  
SCRAPBOOK 4 2 31 4   6 77 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 10.00 12.80  
10  SUPER ET 10 7 7 7   8 8 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00 49.70  
DANCE LIL DARLING 2 9 10 10   108 911¾ (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 12.00 10.90  
GUITAR WOMAN 7 5 6 65   9 1013½ (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 53% 0.90 4.90  
 
LAD-7   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTIRPATOR 4 3 1nk 11   2½ 1¼ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 41% 1.40 2.00 W
ONEMORETIMEAROUND 6 7 31 5   1½ 2¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
SEIZE THE TREASURE 1 4 2nk 21   3 3 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 122 25.00 14% 6.40 4.50 S
14  KID SHELLEEN 11 9 9 9   53 43 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 15.00 10% 8.70 6.80  
WISE ANCHOR 5 2 5 4   4 5 (turner patti)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 10% 9.20 9.10  
DINNER AT CRUMPIES 8 8 6 3   74 6 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 9.10  
IBERIAN RUNNER 3 5 7 8   85 7 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 34.50  
IMA BIG BOPPER 2 11 8 7   64 8 (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00 50.70  
11  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 10 10 11 11   97 9 (pennino frank)VARGAS P 119 6.00 24.40  
10  GET WITT GONE 9 1 4 6   10 1010¾ (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 30.00 42.50  
MOTAWAAFEQ 7 6 10 10   11 1113¼ (escobar alison)MELANCON G 122 5.00 6.90  
SCR  BINDING AGREEMENT               (ducoing stur)MAGNON H 119 4.50    
SCR  MAHOMEY               (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
SCR  RUM 'N TONIC               (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.