Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (7/3/10/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-3   Win (1/3/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-4   Win (5/11/1/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-5   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-6   Win (7/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (4/1/14/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLONANITA'SLUCK Jun05         (washington ri)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00    
CAJUN MISCHIEF         (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
HANDSOME HAROLD Aug19         (wilson sha)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
NATIVE REQUITE Aug19         (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
CANAL ST. CUPID         (delahoussaye glenn)ROSIER R 119 10.00    
A THOUSAND DOLLARS Aug05         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Aug19 Jul04 Jun05     (martin kevin)MELANCON G 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
LAD-2   09/09/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE MOONSHINE Jul24         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
ROCKY BOY Aug27         (escobar alison)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
EGOR OTAY Jul24 Jun24 May15 Dec17 Mar25 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
CHARLIE'S PARADE Aug05 Jun30 Jun08     (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 3.00    
G'S MILLION Jan14 Dec19       (west g)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
EL GABRIELO Aug21 Jun24 May13 Apr26 Apr12 (del er)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
STRUTTIN APRIORITY Aug10 Jul24 Jul01 May28 May06 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
GROSSE TETE IAN Aug03 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02   (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TASK         (witt ii)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
10  PUNCHIE Aug05 Jul01 Jun19 Jan08 Dec16 (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
LAD-3   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY LASSIE Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr30 Mar24 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
GUANAJUATO Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Mar11 Feb23 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50    
BLUEBIRD SING Jul01 Jun11 May21 Feb03 Dec07 (duhon o)BARRERA J 119 15.00 26% 2.80    
ALYS EPISODE Aug28 Jul01 May21 Feb22 Feb09 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
JANISTHEBEAUTY Jul27 Jun29 Mar15 Jul27 Mar23 (terre david)ROSIER R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHEER UP Aug26 Jul28 Jul09 Jun19 May22 (villafranco m)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00    
CRISPY CREED Aug28         (johnson b)VARGAS P 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
TWN MS MIDSHIP Jul01 May29 May14 Feb24 Jan26 (nixon w)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
QUALITY BOW Jul30 Jul06 May19 May05 Apr30 (gonzalez adriel)TORRES HUGO 119 25.00    
10  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Aug10 Jul29 Jun24 May06 Apr07 (gonzalez adrie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  PREACH IT GIRL Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
12  HOT PATOOTIE Jul15 May19 Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 10.00    
 
LAD-4   09/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SASSICAIA Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 Jun11 Jun02 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 114 6.00 10% 8.80    
GUEST IN MY HEART Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 (altamira)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
GETONOUTTAHERE Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jun18 Feb20 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 5.00    
CUSTOM MAIDEN Aug20 Jul02 May22 May14 Feb15 (washington ri)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
COINMAKER Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May13 Apr28 (schwandt emile)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 51% 0.90    
SIMPLE SUNDAY Jul30 May22 Dec20 Nov22 Jul11 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 25.00    
WAIT ON ME Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 Jun26 Mar18 (hatche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 25.00    
DANCIN N THEPULPIT Aug28 Aug07 Jun04 May04 Apr14 (cates al)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00    
NAVAGATIONALBEACON Aug27 Jul06 Jun11 May06 Apr21 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FUNTIMEGIRL Jul04 Jun04 May05 Apr14 Feb26 (prather jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  HAVE I EVER Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 May04 Apr15 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
12  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Aug12 Jul10 May29 May08 Mar26 (johnson b)MELANCON G 119 10.00    
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Sep25 Aug16 (schmidt denise)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
 
LAD-5   09/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTENOFTHE COURT Jun19 Mar17 Feb11 Jan19 Dec08 (hargrave kenne)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR Aug26 Jun10 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (gomez jorge)BENAVIDES D 122 10.00    
START WELL Jul22 Jul06 May27 May04 Apr13 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 117 4.50 14% 6.10    
SEE SASSY RUN Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
AVERI EVER AFTER Aug26 Jul01 Jun10 May21 Mar17 (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00    
I DONT KNOW EITHER Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00    
BLESSED ANNA Aug05 Jun10 May04 Apr13 Mar26 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
LAD-6   09/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE TOLD YOU SO Aug14 Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 Sep04 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 7% 13.30    
DANCE LIL DARLING Aug26 Apr26 Apr08 Jan14 Nov26 (garcia luis)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 12.00    
MISS TARGET Aug26 Jun12 Apr14 Dec17 Nov26 (de al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCRAPBOOK Aug26 Jul17 Feb11 Dec09 Nov04 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 122 10.00    
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Jul04 Jun03 Apr26 Mar24 Mar12 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00    
DIXIE FARMER Jul29 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr26 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 8.00    
GUITAR WOMAN Mar25 Feb25 Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 118 6.00 53% 0.90    
EL CALIENTE LADY Aug12 Jul03 Feb28 Feb15 Jan21 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
AGAMI May26 Apr29 Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
10  SUPER ET Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Sep25 Sep12 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEIZE THE TREASURE Aug07 Jun17 May27 May05 Apr16 (bryant a)LOZADA CARLOS 122 25.00 14% 6.40    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 May06 Aug20 (payne w)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00    
IBERIAN RUNNER Aug04 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
EXTIRPATOR Jul22 Jun24 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
WISE ANCHOR Aug05 Jun25 Jun11 May20 Mar25 (turner patti)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 10% 9.20    
ONEMORETIMEAROUND Jul15         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BINDING AGREEMENT Jul28 Jul15 Jun03 May26 Apr20 (ducoing sturge)MAGNON H 119 4.50    
MOTAWAAFEQ Jul29 Jun16 May06 Apr19 Mar16 (escobar alison)MELANCON G 122 5.00    
DINNER AT CRUMPIES Jul09 May27 May06 Apr15 Feb19 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
10  GET WITT GONE Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 Apr14 Mar31 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 119 30.00    
11  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Jul15 May27 Apr20 Mar19 Mar03 (pennino frank)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
SCR  MAHOMEY Aug19 Jul17 Jun04 May06 Apr07 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
SCR  RUM 'N TONIC Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 May27 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
14  KID SHELLEEN Aug28 Aug13 Jul09 Jun05 Apr16 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.