Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
DED-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
DED-3   Win (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $9.00  
DED-4   Win (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
DED-5   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
DED-6   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
DED-7   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
DED-8   Win (9/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $21.40 $21.40 13.40
DED-9   Win (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.00  

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE PRINCESS 1 6 1½ 11   12 1 (briley lonnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.60 31% 2.20 0.70 W
MISS BECCA 5 1 31 31   22 2 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00 9.90  
MARIAH (CHI) 3 3 41 42   3 34 (alberto antoni)MAGNON H 120 12.00 56.70  
OVER DOER 6 7 77 7   5 44 (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 2.90  
WARM FUZZIES 4 4 2½ 21   4 5 (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 120 6.00 7.20  
HIGHLY GRAND 7 2 5 5   6 6 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 23% 3.40 7.40  
CINCO GAL 2 5 63 6   7 7 (garza e)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 14% 6.30 51.30  
SCR  NICEPROBLEMTOHAVE               (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
 
DED-2   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN AMERICAN 6 4 21 21   1nk 1nk (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.80 16% 5.20 0.90 W
BETISON 3 1 11 11   2nk 2nk (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 5.00 3.50  
ANN'S STORM 5 7 6 5   34 36 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 6.60  
BEYOND D'ORO 7 5 31 33   45 4 (simon lester)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 32.20  
BRI 1 3 7 7   57 5 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 40% 1.50 4.20  
EMMAS RULER 4 6 42 6   7 610¼ (de al)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 32.40  
CAJUN ACES 2 2 5 43   69 718¾ (wilson m)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 13% 6.50 9.60  
 
DED-3   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT RUNNER 2 8 99 67   42 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 3.50  
SECRET ROAD 6 7 65 55   31 2 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 7% 13.40 11.10 P
GATSBY'S FORTUNE 8 1 2nk 1nk   11 3 (landry ray)STOKES A 120 5.00 3.50  
HYMN FOR CARLOS 9 2 1nk 2nk   21 45 (pomier d)VARGAS P 120 3.00 3.40  
TOP PRIORITY 4 3 32 32   54 5 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 47% 1.10 2.80  
POUND OUT A DEAL 3 5 4 43   66 611¼ (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 19.50  
NATIVE REQUITE 5 4 53 78   710 714 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 11.00  
MAGNOLIA SPEED 1 9 87 810   812 815¾ (blanchet chris)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 7% 13.40 33.20  
FRENETIC DAY 7 6 76 911   914 919¾ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 7% 13.40 22.70  
SCR  WHATTA LIFE               (klanfer alan)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:221 :46       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 3 6 21 21   2½ 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 1.80 27% 2.60 0.90 W
LIL MISS SUNSHINE 7 1 11 11   1½ 2¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 32% 2.20 1.70 P
SUMMER IS HOT 1 8 9 8   4 3 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 6.00 19% 4.30 13.50 S
FINISHWHATUSTARTED 4 2 32 33   3 44 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
CHEER UP 8 4 55 46   5 5 (villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 10.70  
PIPPA'S PROSPECT 9 5 67 79   6 6 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 12.00 20.90  
PREACH IT GIRL 2 9 77 58   79 711¼ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00 64.50  
I'M ALL MIXED UP 6 7 8 910½   812 815 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00 ######  
IVY ABAD GIRL 5 3 44 6   912½ 915¾ (arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 18.40  
 
DED-5   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:134 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIARTOWN 2 2 32 33 1nk 16 117 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 0.60 W
BEAUDEAN 7 1 2nk 21 2nk 26 217 (granger randall)STOKES A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE 1 5 4 44 4 410 318¼ (northrop debra)ROSIER R 120 15.00 ######  
CHENTI 6 7 7 5 5 511 418¼ (escobar aliso)MORALES ROBERTO 123 3.50 43% 1.30 6.70  
NEPHI 5 6 5 6 6 613 522½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 5.00 26.00  
SHAWN'S SOLVING 4 3 1nk 11 3.2 39 628¼ (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 2.90  
ROCKY BOY 3 4 6 710½ 714¼ 728 774¼ (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 26.60  
 
DED-6   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:221 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYFRIENDSAWINNER 4 4 4 32   3.2 1nk (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 3.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
COMMERCIAL FLASH 1 6 52 53   4¼ 2nk (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50 11.50  
JULIARD HONOR 3 1 1nk 2½   2nk 3 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 16% 5.10 3.40 S
JAZZ BRUNCH 2 2 2nk 1½   1nk 4 (arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 4.90  
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 5 3 31 43   5 5 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 114 6.00 11% 8.40 3.80  
LOTS OF GOLD 6 5 6 65   6 611 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 17.50  
SCR  BET ON BOURBON               (alfortish sea)SANTIAGO EDWARD 109 10.00    
 
DED-7   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE PALACE 7 4 21 2nk   13 1 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.50 31% 2.30 4.00 W
ANOTHER HOT MESS 5 1 4 4   23 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60 P
CLAY'S MOON STONE 3 2 64 5   4 3 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 2.00 19% 4.40 2.50 S
FIRED UP TIGER 1 3 11 1nk   3 4 (devereux patric)VARGAS P 117 6.00 4.00  
IZATIZ 2 6 31 31   5 510¾ (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00 10.70  
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 6 5 5 6   78 612 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 8.40  
EILEEN ALEXANDRA 4 7 76 7   6 714¼ (ward ronnie)MAGNON H 114 10.00 14.50  
 
DED-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW THE SAINT 3 2 21 1nk   13 11 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
ALLIACEOUS 7 6 7 53   3 21 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 117 2.50 46% 1.20 1.10 P
LUTIE MO 1 8 6 31   23 35 (landry ray)STOKES A 117 4.50 5.90  
I BEAR ARMS 4 4 42 65   4 4 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 15% 5.70 3.30  
GIRL THIRSTY 5 5 5 7   59 59 (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 16.10  
OUR LITTLE GIRL 6 7 8 8   611 610¾ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 25.30  
MI LIA 2 1 31 4   811½ 714¼ (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 117 10.00 36.80  
10  SHES A LUCKY REBEL 8 3 11 2nk   711½ 815¾ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 16% 5.30 5.60  
SCR  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
SCR  RUN NATALIE RUN               (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
SCR  WORLD WAR               (landry r)MAGNON H 117 3.50    
 
DED-9   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY 5 1 31 31   1nk 12 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 3.00  
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 22 (ramirez eduar)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00 7% 14.10 5.70 P
FOOLISH STEVE 6 4 6 5   3.2 32 (terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 24% 3.10 4.80 S
CHARMING CHARLIE 2 5 52 6   4 4 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 20.40  
GET WITT GONE 1 9 8 7   6 5 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00 19.50  
EISENSTAEDT 7 6 41 4   7 613¾ (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 1.80 40% 1.50 1.20  
VIM AND VIGOR 8 8 9 913¾   8 714¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 36.50  
ELIOT NESS 4 2 1½ 2nk   5 816 (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 8.00 9% 9.80 16.20  
MAMACALLMEBOO 9 7 7 811¾   914½ 932¾ (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 117 15.00 48.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.