Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-4   SFT (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-7-1-4 $10.68 $8.28 345%
DED-5   EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-7 $6.80 $0.80 13%
DED-7   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-5 $23.50 $17.50 292%
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-5-3 $37.45 $34.45 1148%
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-7 $14.60 $5.60 62%
DED-8   WIN (9/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $21.40 $13.40 168%
    EXA (9/10/4/3)-(9/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-9 $25.40 $13.40 112%
    DD (7/5/3)-(9/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $45.00 $33.00 275%
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/5/3)-(9/10/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-7-3 $55.45 $37.45 208%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE PRINCESS 1 6 1½ 11   12 1 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.60 31% 2.20 0.70 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
MISS BECCA 5 1 31 31   22 2 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00 9.90  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MISS ISELLA by SILVER CHARM)
MARIAH (CHI) 3 3 41 42   3 34 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 12.00 56.70  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
OVER DOER 6 7 77 7   5 44 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 2.90  
  (by UPSTART out of DAD'SSILVERPITCHER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
WARM FUZZIES 4 4 2½ 21   4 5 (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 120 6.00 7.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
HIGHLY GRAND 7 2 5 5   6 6 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 23% 3.40 7.40  
  (by HIGH CASCADE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
CINCO GAL 2 5 63 6   7 7 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 14% 6.30 51.30  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
SCR  NICEPROBLEMTOHAVE               (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
  (by MADD EXCHANGE out of BANK STAR by STAR PROGRAMMER)
 
DED-2   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN AMERICAN 6 4 21 21   1nk 1nk (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.80 16% 5.20 0.90 W
BETISON 3 1 11 11   2nk 2nk (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 5.00 3.50  
ANN'S STORM 5 7 6 5   34 36 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 6.60  
BEYOND D'ORO 7 5 31 33   45 4 (simon lester)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 32.20  
BRI 1 3 7 7   57 5 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 40% 1.50 4.20  
EMMAS RULER 4 6 42 6   7 610¼ (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 32.40  
CAJUN ACES 2 2 5 43   69 718¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 13% 6.50 9.60  
 
DED-3   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT RUNNER 2 8 99 67   42 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00 3.50  
SECRET ROAD 6 7 65 55   31 2 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 7% 13.40 11.10 P
GATSBY'S FORTUNE 8 1 2nk 1nk   11 3 (landry ray)STOKES A 120 5.00 3.50  
HYMN FOR CARLOS 9 2 1nk 2nk   21 45 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 120 3.00 3.40  
TOP PRIORITY 4 3 32 32   54 5 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 47% 1.10 2.80  
POUND OUT A DEAL 3 5 4 43   66 611¼ (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 19.50  
NATIVE REQUITE 5 4 53 78   710 714 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 11.00  
MAGNOLIA SPEED 1 9 87 810   812 815¾ (blanchet chr)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 7% 13.40 33.20  
FRENETIC DAY 7 6 76 911   914 919¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 7% 13.40 22.70  
SCR  WHATTA LIFE               (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:221 :46       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 3 6 21 21   2½ 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 1.80 27% 2.60 0.90 W
LIL MISS SUNSHINE 7 1 11 11   1½ 2¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 32% 2.20 1.70 P
SUMMER IS HOT 1 8 9 8   4 3 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 6.00 19% 4.30 13.50 S
FINISHWHATUSTARTED 4 2 32 33   3 44 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
CHEER UP 8 4 55 46   5 5 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 10.70  
PIPPA'S PROSPECT 9 5 67 79   6 6 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 12.00 20.90  
PREACH IT GIRL 2 9 77 58   79 711¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00 64.50  
I'M ALL MIXED UP 6 7 8 910½   812 815 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00 ######  
IVY ABAD GIRL 5 3 44 6   912½ 915¾ (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 18.40  
 
DED-5   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:134 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIARTOWN 2 2 32 33 1nk 16 117 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 0.60 W
BEAUDEAN 7 1 2nk 21 2nk 26 217 (granger randall)STOKES A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE 1 5 4 44 4 410 318¼ (northrop debra)ROSIER R 120 15.00 ######  
CHENTI 6 7 7 5 5 511 418¼ (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 123 3.50 43% 1.30 6.70  
NEPHI 5 6 5 6 6 613 522½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 5.00 26.00  
SHAWN'S SOLVING 4 3 1nk 11 3.2 39 628¼ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 2.90  
ROCKY BOY 3 4 6 710½ 714¼ 728 774¼ (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 26.60  
 
DED-6   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:221 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYFRIENDSAWINNER 4 4 4 32   3.2 1nk (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 3.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
COMMERCIAL FLASH 1 6 52 53   4¼ 2nk (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50 11.50  
JULIARD HONOR 3 1 1nk 2½   2nk 3 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 16% 5.10 3.40 S
JAZZ BRUNCH 2 2 2nk 1½   1nk 4 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 4.90  
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 5 3 31 43   5 5 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 114 6.00 11% 8.40 3.80  
LOTS OF GOLD 6 5 6 65   6 611 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 17.50  
SCR  BET ON BOURBON               (alfortish s)SANTIAGO EDWARD 109 10.00    
 
DED-7   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE PALACE 7 4 21 2nk   13 1 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.50 31% 2.30 4.00 W
ANOTHER HOT MESS 5 1 4 4   23 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60 P
CLAY'S MOON STONE 3 2 64 5   4 3 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 2.00 19% 4.40 2.50 S
FIRED UP TIGER 1 3 11 1nk   3 4 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 117 6.00 4.00  
IZATIZ 2 6 31 31   5 510¾ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00 10.70  
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 6 5 5 6   78 612 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 8.40  
EILEEN ALEXANDRA 4 7 76 7   6 714¼ (ward ronnie)MAGNON H 114 10.00 14.50  
 
DED-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW THE SAINT 3 2 21 1nk   13 11 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
ALLIACEOUS 7 6 7 53   3 21 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 2.50 46% 1.20 1.10 P
LUTIE MO 1 8 6 31   23 35 (landry ray)STOKES A 117 4.50 5.90  
I BEAR ARMS 4 4 42 65   4 4 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 15% 5.70 3.30  
GIRL THIRSTY 5 5 5 7   59 59 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 16.10  
OUR LITTLE GIRL 6 7 8 8   611 610¾ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 25.30  
MI LIA 2 1 31 4   811½ 714¼ (courville )MARQUEZ L 117 10.00 36.80  
10  SHES A LUCKY REBEL 8 3 11 2nk   711½ 815¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 16% 5.30 5.60  
SCR  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
SCR  RUN NATALIE RUN               (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (bryant )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
SCR  WORLD WAR               (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 3.50    
 
DED-9   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY 5 1 31 31   1nk 12 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 3.00  
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 22 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00 7% 14.10 5.70 P
FOOLISH STEVE 6 4 6 5   3.2 32 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 24% 3.10 4.80 S
CHARMING CHARLIE 2 5 52 6   4 4 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 20.40  
GET WITT GONE 1 9 8 7   6 5 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00 19.50  
EISENSTAEDT 7 6 41 4   7 613¾ (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 1.80 40% 1.50 1.20  
VIM AND VIGOR 8 8 9 913¾   8 714¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 36.50  
ELIOT NESS 4 2 1½ 2nk   5 816 (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 8.00 9% 9.80 16.20  
MAMACALLMEBOO 9 7 7 811¾   914½ 932¾ (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 117 15.00 48.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.