Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(1/6/2)-(4/1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/1/6/7)-(7/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7)-(7/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7)-(7/3/1/4)-(6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/4)-(6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(6/2/7)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(5/3/6)-(7/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/5/3)-(9/10/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(9/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(9/10/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/3)-(9/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/3)-(9/10/4/3)-(9/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE PRINCESS Sep03 Jul22       (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  CINCO GAL Oct11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 May30 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
SCR  NICEPROBLEMTOHAVE         (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
  (by MADD EXCHANGE out of BANK STAR by STAR PROGRAMMER)
4  MARIAH (CHI) Jul22 Jul08       (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
5  WARM FUZZIES         (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RADIANT BEAUTY by ORB)
6  MISS BECCA         (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MISS ISELLA by SILVER CHARM)
7  OVER DOER         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of DAD'SSILVERPITCHER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  HIGHLY GRAND Aug14         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by HIGH CASCADE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
 
DED-2   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRI Sep15 Aug26 Jul02 Jun12 May11 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  CAJUN ACES Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 Jun10 May20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  BETISON Jul27 May27 Apr12 Feb22 Aug06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 5.00    
4  EMMAS RULER Aug26 Jun19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec22 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
5  ANN'S STORM Oct07 Aug26 Jul07 Jun10 May04 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00    
6  MEAN AMERICAN Aug21 Aug05 Jul07 May26 Apr22 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.80 16% 5.20    
7  BEYOND D'ORO Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 May27 May18 (simon lester)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
 
DED-3   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA SPEED         (blanchet chr)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 7% 13.40    
2  FLAT OUT RUNNER         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
3  POUND OUT A DEAL Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 Jun05 May11 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
4  TOP PRIORITY         (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  NATIVE REQUITE Sep09 Aug19       (duhon o)BOREL H 120 8.00    
6  SECRET ROAD         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 7% 13.40    
7  FRENETIC DAY         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
8  GATSBY'S FORTUNE Oct06         (landry ray)STOKES A 120 5.00    
9  HYMN FOR CARLOS Oct06 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03   (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 120 3.00    
SCR  WHATTA LIFE         (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER IS HOT Jul15 Jun30 May27 May08 Feb17 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  PREACH IT GIRL Oct12 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00    
3  TENNESSEE MOON Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul08 Jun18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 1.80 27% 2.60    
4  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Sep09 Aug10 Jul29 Jun24 May06 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  IVY ABAD GIRL Sep23 Sep17 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
6  I'M ALL MIXED UP Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec16 Oct06 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00    
7  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Oct11 Jul29 Jun25 Jun02 May12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 32% 2.20    
8  CHEER UP Sep09 Aug26 Jul28 Jul09 Jun19 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00    
9  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Sep25 Sep10 Aug20 Nov04 Sep01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 12.00    
 
DED-5   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE Sep11 Aug06 Jul04 Jun17   (northrop debra)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
2  BRIARTOWN Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  ROCKY BOY Sep09 Aug27       (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
4  SHAWN'S SOLVING Sep12 Aug10 Jun24     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 3.00    
5  NEPHI Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May20 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 5.00    
6  CHENTI Jun10 May20 May05 Apr22 Mar26 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  BEAUDEAN Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May18 Apr29 (granger randall)STOKES A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMERCIAL FLASH Jul01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Jan16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50    
2  JAZZ BRUNCH Sep17 Aug12 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00    
3  JULIARD HONOR Oct11 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BET ON BOURBON Mar26 Feb24 Jan16 Jan05 Dec18 (alfortish s)SANTIAGO EDWARD 109 10.00    
5  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Aug06 Jul04 May05 Mar04 Jan25 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Aug06 Jul24 Jul01 May29 May07 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 114 6.00 11% 8.40    
7  LOTS OF GOLD Aug12 Jul04 Apr28 Apr22 Mar31 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
 
DED-7   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRED UP TIGER Aug19 Jul21 May13 Dec09 Nov12 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
2  IZATIZ Aug27 Jul23 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00    
3  CLAY'S MOON STONE Aug13 Jun26 Jun09 Jun02 Apr07 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 2.00 19% 4.40    
4  EILEEN ALEXANDRA Oct06 Mar15 Feb24 Feb04 Dec29 (ward ronnie)MAGNON H 114 10.00    
5  ANOTHER HOT MESS Jul01 Jun10 Apr07 Feb24 Jan28 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Sep13 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00    
7  ROSE PALACE Jul21 Jun24 Apr27 Mar26 Feb23 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
DED-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTIE MO May18 May04 Feb04 Jan25 Dec29 (landry ray)STOKES A 117 4.50    
2  MI LIA Apr15 Mar26 Aug13 Jul14 Jun10 (courville )MARQUEZ L 117 10.00    
3  FOLLOW THE SAINT Jul29 Jun29 May21 Feb24 Feb11 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  I BEAR ARMS Jul27 Jun03 May12 Apr19 Feb24 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  RUN NATALIE RUN Aug26 Jul02 Jun12 May22 May04 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
6  GIRL THIRSTY Sep03 Aug05 Jul01 May21 Feb11 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
7  OUR LITTLE GIRL Jul01 May21 May05 Apr08 Mar15 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
SCR  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Jul29 Jun23 May11 Apr15 Mar10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
9  ALLIACEOUS Jul27 Jul01 May13 Mar17 Jan22 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
10  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Aug26 Jun19 Jun03 Apr13 Mar15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  WORLD WAR Aug20 Jul27 Jun16 May04 Mar26 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Aug29 Jun23 Jun06 May02 Apr22 (bryant )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
 
DED-9   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET WITT GONE Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 Apr14 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 10.00    
2  CHARMING CHARLIE Sep03 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
3  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Aug21 Jul08 Jun22 May20 May03 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00 7% 14.10    
4  ELIOT NESS Sep18 Jul15 Jun19 May28 Dec28 (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 8.00 9% 9.80    
5  IZZY'S BABY BOY Aug11 Aug03 Jul22 Jul01 May19 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00    
6  FOOLISH STEVE Aug19 Jul13 Jun10 May13 Jan07 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  EISENSTAEDT Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
8  VIM AND VIGOR Sep02 Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 Apr01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
9  MAMACALLMEBOO Sep02 Jul30 Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.