Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/10/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (4/10/1/9)-(4/10/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-9 $29.00 $13.00 81%
    TRI (4/10/1/9)-(4/10/1/5/9)-(4/10/1/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-9-1 $49.45 $25.45 106%
DED-5   EXA (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-11 $30.30 $10.30 52%
    TRI (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-11-9 $54.20 $24.20 81%
DED-7   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $18.80 $12.80 213%
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $75.30 $63.30 528%
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/3/9)-(4/2/6/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-6-3 $103.10 $85.10 473%
    DD (9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-2 $32.50 $20.50 171%
    PK3 (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-2-2 $70.20 $40.20 134%
DED-8   DD (4/2/9)-(6/1/9/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-9 $32.80 $17.80 119%
    PK3 (9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9)-(6/1/9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-2-9 $37.85 $7.85 26%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:154 1:30   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SABER STORM 8 4 4 4 32 13 1 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 13% 6.50 5.30 W
INSPECTOR ED 7 3 1nk 1½ 2nk 35 2 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
IDE LIKE HAWAII 1 1 5 54 64 47 3 (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 10% 8.70 3.00 S
TOOCAN DANCE 3 6 31 2½ 1nk 23 410¼ (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00 43.50  
ADMIRAL AFLEET 6 5 7 8 87 78 511 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 120 15.00 10.30  
WHEELS TURNING 5 8 8 77 76 810 614¼ (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 5.40  
K V TARGET 2 7 6 64 43 68 715 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 15.40  
MAKE YOUR DESTINY 4 2 2nk 3 5 5 815¼ (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 2.70  
SCR  PAPIRINGO               (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  PERFECT STRIKE               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00    
SCR  SHANKINSTINE               (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 12.00    
SCR  WILDCARD GOLD               (mojica edith)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
 
DED-2   10/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:224 :35       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREY EMBLEM 6 2 3     3.2 1 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 10.20  
HALF PAGE 5 4 4     4 2 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 114 8.00 7% 12.40 7.30 P
LIGHTNING HART 7 1 2nk     2nk 33 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 2.50  
LIL MISS SUNSHINE 1 3 1nk     1nk 4 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 15% 5.80 6.00  
JULIARD HONOR 2 7 611½     6 5 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 8% 10.90 5.10  
SIX FEET APART 4 5 5     5 67 (scherer gar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 45% 1.20 2.20  
SUMMERJUSTBET HER 3 6 7100     7100 7100 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 8.70  
SCR  CONDESA'S HANDMAID               (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 15.00    
SCR  MAESTRIA               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50    
 
DED-3   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:143 1:284   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MARVINS' POSSE 10 4 4 42 1½ 12 1 (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 115 2.50 69% 0.40 0.60 W
KAT'S SOLDIER 5 9 8 6 4 3 2 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 10.00 27.60  
POPPY T 1 2 3.2 2nk 2½ 22 32 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 11.60  
ALL TOGETHER 6 3 7 9 7 67 4 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 120 6.00 10.50  
ANGOLA VACATION 4 1 2nk 5 5 4 5 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00 13.70  
WHISKEY RED 3 8 6 7 6 5 616 (brinkman brett)MELANCON G 120 4.50 9% 10.50 7.40  
KILO KEY 2 6 5 31 3 78 721¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
UNCLE HUTCH 9 5 1nk 1nk 87 812 825 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 4.00 11.20  
DREWNANIMOUS 7 10 9 8 9 916 928 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00 22.80  
CORTE 8 7 10 10 1015½ 1018 1029 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00 60.50  
 
DED-4   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD VICTORIA 4 3 31 12   12 11 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 14.10  
KATIE'S KARAT 6 5 4 22   22 21 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 37% 1.70 0.70 P
XCARET 3 4 5 53   34 33 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50 32% 2.20 7.00 S
ROYAL BONUS 2 8 7 7   48 4 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
FADED MEMORIES 7 7 8 8   611 514¼ (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 13.50  
SUMMERTIME BANDIT 5 1 2nk 4   510 618 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 112 10.00 26.60  
A WISH FOR MADELYN 8 6 6 65   711 719¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50 6% 16.50 7.40  
DEBBIES PASSAGE 1 2 1nk 3   814 831 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 109 8.00 9.20  
 
DED-5   10/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:223 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF OURS N STORMY 7 1 4 3   2nk 12 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 8.00 16% 5.40 2.60 W
11  SHARP CHARLIE 10 3 1nk 12   1nk 22 (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00 7% 14.20 14.20 P
HARDLY ABLE 8 5 6 43   4 34 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 21% 3.80 2.10 S
LIKE THIS 1 10 5 53   5 4 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 114 4.00 6.40  
BANKROLL 4 8 9 87   6 56 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 112 8.00 16.90  
HARPES HILL 3 6 2nk 22   32 6 (patt jr)ROSIER R 117 20.00 34.60  
LUCAS ZIP IT 6 4 83 7   7 7 (journet alb)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 24.50  
10  ADIEU LE CHAT 9 2 7 65   8 8 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 12.00 41.40  
HOOSIER 5 9 10 9   9 9 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 114 4.50 20% 4.10 3.20  
FIREINTHESTORM 2 7 31 10   1010¾ 1020½ (courville )MARQUEZ L 117 6.00 7% 12.60 28.90  
SCR  ADIEU ACES               (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 20.00    
SCR  DIABLO CAT               (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 20.00    
 
DED-6   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANA'S CORN MUFFIN 2 1 11 1   15 1 (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.10 W
NO COST 5 6 6 32   25 2 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 6.70  
UNLUCKY IN LOVE 1 8 76 5   5 3 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 4.50 12.50  
REAL DEAL RYAN 7 3 4 4   35 4 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 14% 6.10 8.40  
CINCO GAL 6 5 21 2   47 512 (garza joaquin)VARGAS P 120 12.00 12% 7.20 29.50  
SHESACATHOLICGIRL 3 7 89 87   610¼ 615¾ (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 18.60  
COAL DANCER 8 4 32 75   710¼ 716¼ (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 48% 1.10 1.80  
HART'S PRETTY GIRL 4 2 53 65   814¼ 826 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 6.00 6.30  
SCR  TALL TALE               (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
 
DED-7   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:153     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEIRD YEAR 2 3 7 84   32 1 (rossi j)VARGAS P 123 8.00 10% 9.30 8.40 W
KIT KAT KIDD 6 2 1nk 1nk   11 2 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 4.80 P
HEY JACKSON 3 5 97 6   4 3 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 115 3.50 1.40 S
10  OUT MAKING TREBLE 10 10 109 96   7 4 (mason gary )CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00 22.90  
MOSH PIT 8 8 8 73   63 5 (noel dane)ROSIER R 123 20.00 36.00  
MALORIE'S BIG BOY 7 4 3½ 5   8 6 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 15.10  
PLENTY OF CENTS 5 9 5 4¼   21 7 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00 17.30  
RED CENTS 9 6 4¾ 3.2   53 89 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 1 1 2nk 2nk   9 917¼ (zenon shel)ALBERT S 115 20.00 69.40  
MR. CROMWELL 4 7 6 1010   1013¾ 1041 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 65% 0.50 3.00  
SCR  LITTLE JONY               (rangel raul)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
SCR  RED RAIDER XPRESS               (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
 
DED-8   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA MARTINI 9 6 3 3½   1½ 1¾ (landry r)THORNTON G 114 6.00 7% 13.60 1.10 W
FRENCH COMPOSER 3 4 75 5   3 2¾ (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 15.00 10.00  
UXMAL 7 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 114 4.00 13.90  
KID SHELLEEN 1 8 10 9   4 44 (borel renay)BOREL H 117 10.00 25% 3.00 7.70  
OVERANALYTICAL 8 5 5 4   6 5 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 7% 13.60 6.50  
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 5 1 1½ 2nk   5 6 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 10.00  
DONEGAL ARROW 6 10 86 7   7 7 (noel dane)ROSIER R 117 2.50 38% 1.60 4.30  
TARAASHOQ 2 9 98 10   8 814 (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00 67.00  
10  PITCH AND RUN 10 7 6 6   9 914½ (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
F J'S FLACO 4 3 43 88   1014¾ 1024½ (maturin chad)POMPELL L 114 20.00 93.60  
SCR  DONEGAL FACTOR               (noel dane)POMPELL L 114 8.00    
 
DED-9   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:144     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUD WON 5 7 4 33   15 112 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.10 W
MIDNIGHT CROWN 8 6 6 5   25 212 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 8.70 P
WINDTAPPER WIN 4 1 2½ 21   47 319¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.80 S
MECKES PRIORITY 3 2 1½ 11   35 420¼ (dussette a)ALBERT S 112 15.00 58.00  
11  TAPIT TWICE 10 10 810 89   610¼ 523½ (dixon tim)BOREL H 120 8.00 17.50  
LAKESIDE RUMBLE 2 3 3 45   510 623¾ (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 4.50 5% 18.70 16.00  
CAMALEON 7 4 5 6   713¼ 731 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 ######  
ALWAYS HAVE PARIS 6 9 1015¼ 1017   1020¼ 835¼ (wilson melt)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 20.00 ######  
ANOTHER FINAL 1 5 910¼ 912   818¼ 936 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 23.50  
10  WINNING DANCE 9 8 7 78   918¼ 1042 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 43.90  
SCR  RED OCTOBER               (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
SCR  TRAFFIC BOSS               (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.