Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (10/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/9)-(10/1/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/1/9)-(10/1/5/9)-(10/1/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/1/9)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9)-(4/1/2/5)-(10/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/5)-(10/3/2)-(6/3/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/2)-(10/3/9/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/2)-(10/3/9/7/2)-(10/3/9/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/3/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(9/6/8/2/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2)-(9/6/8/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2)-(9/6/8/2/11)-(9/8/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (9/6/8/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11)-(9/6/8/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/2/11)-(9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/2)-(4/2/9)-(6/1/9/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/6/3/9)-(4/2/6/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/9)-(6/1/9/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9)-(6/1/9/8/10)-(6/3/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/1/9/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/8/10)-(6/1/9/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/8/10)-(6/1/9/8/10)-(6/1/9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/8/10)-(6/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/11/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/11/9/5)-(6/3/11/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDE LIKE HAWAII Aug04 Jul22 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 118 4.00 10% 8.70    
2  K V TARGET Aug19 Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr29 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 10.00    
3  TOOCAN DANCE Aug19 Jun24 May14 Feb01 Jan21 (avant kelly)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO Jul10 Jul01 May15 Feb28 Jan21 (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  MAKE YOUR DESTINY Sep25 May20 May06 Apr22 Mar10 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  PERFECT STRIKE Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 May10 Apr14 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00    
7  WHEELS TURNING Aug04 Jun09 May19 Apr26 Feb22 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00    
8  ADMIRAL AFLEET Aug10 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May25 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
9  INSPECTOR ED Sep12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jun15 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SABER STORM Jul22 Jun15 May10 Apr27 Feb25 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  SHANKINSTINE Sep12 Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr21 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 12.00    
SCR  WILDCARD GOLD Aug04 Jun15 Apr26 Apr13 Feb28 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
 
DED-2   10/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Jul29 Jun25 Jun02 May12 Mar18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  JULIARD HONOR Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jul10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
3  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Jul15 Jun29 Mar12 Jan28 Dec30 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
4  SIX FEET APART Sep13 Aug24 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 (scherer gar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  HALF PAGE Aug12 Jun10 May10 Apr14 Jan06 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 114 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  CONDESA'S HANDMAID Jul15 Jun22 Jun01 May20 May11 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 15.00    
7  FIREY EMBLEM Sep22 Aug18 Aug05 Jun30 May29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
8  LIGHTNING HART Jul09 Jun18 May15 May01 Apr03 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
SCR  MAESTRIA Aug04 Jul04 Apr27 Mar26 Feb26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50    
 
DED-3   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY T Sep05 Jun05 May27     (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
2  KILO KEY Aug27 Aug12 Apr02 Mar18 Nov25 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHISKEY RED Aug03 Jun24 May13     (brinkman brett)MELANCON G 120 4.50 9% 10.50    
4  ANGOLA VACATION Aug29 Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
5  KAT'S SOLDIER Jul28 Jun22 Jun01 May06 Apr19 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 10.00    
6  ALL TOGETHER Sep11 Aug19 Jun15 May19 Apr28 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
7  DREWNANIMOUS Aug05 Apr28 Jan13 Dec26   (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00 ★    
8  CORTE Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00    
9  UNCLE HUTCH Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 May18   (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 4.00 ★    
10  MARVINS' POSSE Aug12 Jul06 May27 Apr27 Mar11 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 2.50 69% 0.40    
 
DED-4   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBBIES PASSAGE Aug06 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May10 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 109 8.00    
2  ROYAL BONUS Sep13 Sep04 Aug03 Jul19 Jul08 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  XCARET Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50 32% 2.20    
4  PROUD VICTORIA Sep05 Aug12 Jul30 May29 May04 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
5  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul27 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 112 10.00    
6  KATIE'S KARAT Sep05 Aug03 Jul06 Apr28 Feb11 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  FADED MEMORIES May21 Apr01 Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
8  A WISH FOR MADELYN Jun25 Apr15 Feb04 Jan14 Dec22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50 6% 16.50    
 
DED-5   10/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE THIS Aug10 Jul06 Jun08 Dec22 Dec04 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 114 4.00    
2  FIREINTHESTORM Sep12 Aug04 Jun22 May26 Sep25 (courville ricky)STOKES J 117 6.00 7% 12.60    
3  HARPES HILL Aug10 Jul15 May12 Apr14 Feb24 (patt jr)ROSIER R 117 20.00    
4  BANKROLL Sep05 Aug04 Jul23 May21 Apr22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 8.00    
SCR  ADIEU ACES Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 Feb22 Feb01 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 20.00    
6  HOOSIER Aug10 Jul01 May22 Apr12 Mar23 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 114 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  LUCAS ZIP IT Jul01 May11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (journet alb)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00    
8  HALF OURS N STORMY Aug13 Jul27 Jun15 Feb16 Nov30 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 8.00 16% 5.40    
9  HARDLY ABLE Aug10 Jul15 Jun08     (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 21% 3.80    
10  ADIEU LE CHAT Aug11 Jul08 Jun10 Feb16 Jan29 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 12.00    
11  SHARP CHARLIE Sep02 Jul24 Jul08 May21 Apr20 (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  DIABLO CAT Sep02 Dec10 Nov30 Nov10 Oct29 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 20.00    
 
DED-6   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLUCKY IN LOVE         (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 4.50    
2  NANA'S CORN MUFFIN         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TALL TALE Sep22         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
4  SHESACATHOLICGIRL         (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
5  HART'S PRETTY GIRL Jul07 Jun16       (landry r)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
6  NO COST Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26   (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
7  CINCO GAL Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 May30   (garza joaquin)VARGAS P 120 12.00 12% 7.20    
8  REAL DEAL RYAN Aug05 Jul14       (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 14% 6.10    
9  COAL DANCER Aug04         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
DED-7   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 Jun02 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
2  WEIRD YEAR Sep12 Feb05 Jan13 Nov19 Nov07 (rossi j)VARGAS P 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
3  HEY JACKSON Aug05 Jul08 May26 Feb23 Feb05 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 3.50 ★    
4  MR. CROMWELL Jul23 Jul01 May27 Apr28 Mar26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  PLENTY OF CENTS Aug27 Aug04 Jul13 May28 May15 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
6  KIT KAT KIDD Jul29 Jun02 May18 Aug06 Jun04 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 ★    
7  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Jun18 May27 May11 Apr30 Apr08 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
8  MOSH PIT Apr26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (noel dane)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
9  RED CENTS Aug26 Aug17 Jul09 Jun24 Sep30 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  OUT MAKING TREBLE Sep03 Aug10 Jun30 May10 Apr13 (mason gary )CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00    
SCR  RED RAIDER XPRESS Aug07 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 May15 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE JONY Sep04 Jul31 Jun19 Mar17 Jan28 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
 
DED-8   10/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID SHELLEEN Sep09 Aug28 Aug13 Jul09 Jun05 (borel renay)BOREL H 117 10.00 25% 3.00    
2  TARAASHOQ Jul29 Jul13 Jun24 May19 Apr01 (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00    
3  FRENCH COMPOSER Apr12 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
4  F J'S FLACO Jul29 Jul15 May25 Apr08 Mar16 (maturin chad)POMPELL L 114 20.00    
5  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 Jul13 Sep17 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
6  DONEGAL ARROW Sep02 Jul22 Feb10 Jan05   (noel dane)ROSIER R 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  UXMAL Sep25 Sep10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 114 4.00    
8  OVERANALYTICAL Sep12 Jul07 Jun04 Apr07 Mar11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 7% 13.60    
9  VODKA MARTINI Jun02         (landry ray)STOKES J 114 6.00 7% 13.60    
10  PITCH AND RUN Aug21 Jul01 May22 Feb09 Jan28 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DONEGAL FACTOR May25 Feb19 Nov26 Oct05 Sep01 (noel dane)POMPELL L 114 8.00    
 
DED-9   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER FINAL Aug10         (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
SCR  RED OCTOBER Sep11 Aug26 Jul13 May20 Apr28 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
3  LAKESIDE RUMBLE Sep02 May05       (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 4.50 5% 18.70    
4  MECKES PRIORITY Aug14 Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 Jun12 (dussette a)ALBERT S 112 15.00    
5  WINDTAPPER WIN Aug19 Jul24 Jul04 Jun26 Jun05 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUD WON Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 Nov02 Oct19 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
7  ALWAYS HAVE PARIS Sep02 Jul24       (wilson melton)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
8  CAMALEON Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 Nov17 Oct17 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
9  MIDNIGHT CROWN Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 ★    
10  WINNING DANCE Sep11 Aug26 Jul24 Jun26 Jun10 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00    
11  TAPIT TWICE Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jun26 May27 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  TRAFFIC BOSS Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 May05 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.