Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $31.80 $25.80 430%
CBY-4   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $23.40 $14.40 160%
CBY-5   WIN (4/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $17.80 $5.80 48%
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $47.50 $35.50 296%
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-7-5 $96.30 $60.30 168%
CBY-6   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $17.60 $11.60 193%
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $13.60 $7.60 127%
    DD (4/5/2/8)-(4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $49.50 $37.50 313%
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8)-(4/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-5-3 $158.80 $122.80 341%

Simulator Race results

 
CBY-1   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNT MATCH 6 3 1nk 1½   14 110¼ (rengstorf tony)MURRAY M 124 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 W
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MIGHTY MADI 1 4 45 6   69 210¼ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 4.70  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CAMBRIA SUNSET by GIO PONTI)
STEPH'S TOP NICK 5 2 5 3   37 311¾ (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 17% 4.80 3.70 S
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STEPHANGJESS by YONAGUSKA)
NATIVE DOLL 3 6 6 5   58 412¾ (rengstorf tony)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 17.70  
  (by HARD SPUN out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HAUTE CHARLOTTE 4 5 34 4   4 513¼ (riecken bruce)GLASS DERBE 114 15.00 50.80  
  (by FIRING LINE out of HAUTE JANE by WESTERN OUTLAW)
I'M BLEU TOO 2 1 2nk 2½   24 614½ (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 2.00 33% 2.00 3.20  
  (by SKY MESA out of ROCKIN THE BLEU'S by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
CBY-2   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:211 :44       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROCODILEHUNTER 1 4 1½ 11   1 1 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 2.40  
WITHSTANDTHESTORM 6 2 32 3   2 2 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 2.50 10% 9.00 3.20 P
SAINT CHARLES 2 5 53 4   43 33 (richard chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 1.90  
SCATAMARAN 3 1 4 5   3 4 ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 119 10.00 24.80  
SAM SEZ 4 3 2½ 21   54 57 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 5.00 36% 1.80 12.20  
MIDNIGHT ROYAL 5 6 6 6   66 6 (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.40  
 
CBY-3   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUGLER 3 5 32 2½   1nk 1½ (kenney)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 1.80 27% 2.70 2.70 W
RUNTODAY 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2½ (richard chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 6.00 19% 4.20 7.70 P
RUN LEA RUN 5 2 6 6   4 35 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 36.10  
BIRDIE MACHINE 4 1 2½ 4   34 4 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50 5.60  
AMERICAN REFUGEE 6 4 5 5   6 5 (silva jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.00  
MONGOLIAN BEE 1 6 42 32   5 6 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 117 4.00 2.10  
 
CBY-4   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:111 1:233   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGE'S SERMON 7 4 5 6   5 1 (biehler mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.50 2.50 W
GHOST STRATEGY 6 7 75 3   2nk 2 (mcdaniel b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 15.50  
RIDING THE TRAIN 3 1 2½ 21   32 3 (spencer robin)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 9.00  
SEEKING SPLENDOR 5 6 4 52   43 4 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00 10.10  
FEEDING FRENZY 4 5 65 73   64 5 ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.40  
OUR VALLEY 1 3 1½ 11   1nk 6 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
GRUNDER 2 2 3 42   7 76 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 18.60  
 
CBY-5   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAOFLITTLEFAITH 5 1 1nk 12   16 1 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 W
WILD TIME 7 2 43 45   3 2 (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.50 7% 14.00 3.00 DQ↓6
SILENT SAILOR 2 3 31 32   26 38 (biehler micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 8% 11.90 2.60 P
STUN GUN 3 6 56 510   411½ 416 (miller davi)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00 19.50  
SCARYATCANTERBURY 1 7 2nk 22   511½ 516¾ (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 12.00 8.70  
HALO'S LADDIE 6 5 67 614   626½ 637¾ (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 32.80  
RED CENTS 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 4.50 41% 1.50 2.10  
SCR  HARMON KILLER BREW               (rengst)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00    
 
CBY-6   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:094 1:221   1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S MAGIC 2 1 1 1   11 1 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 8% 11.40 7.80 W
STAGECOACH BOYS 3 5 47 35   3 2 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.80 68% 0.50 0.60 P
WISE VERDICT 5 2 2 2   21 3 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 18.90  
BAYOU COLONEL 6 4 6 5   4 4 (scherer gar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
BENS MALICE 4 6 57 45   5 510¼ (vanwinkle)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50 4.70  
SPEITFUL SAM 1 3 36 6   610½ 624½ (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 8.60  
SCR  SKIPPY'S STRIKE               ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 5.00    
SCR  THOUGHT               (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.