The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Canterbury Downs
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CBY-1   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1 2 0 $4.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-1-5 3 0 $6.70 -3.00
CBY-2   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.80 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 0 $12.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-6-2 3 0 $15.90 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-1 2 0 $6.80 -9.00
CBY-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 1 $31.80 $31.80 25.80
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-2-5 3 0 $198.10 -3.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-3 2 0 $15.50 -9.00
CBY-4   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (1/4/7)-(1/4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 0 $54.00 -9.00
    Trifecta (1/4/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-6-3 3 0 $112.70 -9.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-7 2 1 $23.40 $23.40 14.40
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(2/3/6)-(1/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-3-7 3 0 $93.90 -27.00
CBY-5   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
    Exacta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-2 2 1 $17.80 $17.80 5.80
    Trifecta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-2-3 3 0 $47.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-5 2 1 $47.50 $47.50 35.50
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-6 2 0 $5.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(1/4/7)-(2/4/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-7-5 3 1 $96.30 $96.30 60.30
CBY-6   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $17.60 $17.60 11.60
    Exacta (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4 2 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60
    Trifecta (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-4-6 3 0 $84.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/8)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $49.50 $49.50 37.50
    Pick Three (1/4/7)-(2/4/5/8)-(3/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 7-5-3 3 1 $158.80 $158.80 122.80

Simulator Race results

 
CBY-1   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 M/F PT- 6:05
:223 :454 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNT MATCH 6 3 1nk 1½   14 110¼ (rengstorf tony)MURRAY M 124 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 W
MIGHTY MADI 1 4 45 6   69 210¼ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 4.70  
STEPH'S TOP NICK 5 2 5 3   37 311¾ (robertson mclean)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 17% 4.80 3.70 S
NATIVE DOLL 3 6 6 5   58 412¾ (rengstorf tony)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 17.70  
HAUTE CHARLOTTE 4 5 34 4   4513¼ (riecken bruce)GLASS DERBE 114 15.00 50.80  
I'M BLEU TOO 2 1 2nk 2½   24 614½ (robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 2.00 33% 2.00 3.20  
 
CBY-2   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
:211 :44       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROCODILEHUNTER 1 4 1½ 11   11(padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 2.40  
WITHSTANDTHESTORM 6 2 32 3   22(bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 2.50 10% 9.00 3.20 P
SAINT CHARLES 2 5 53 4   43 33 (richard chris)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 1.90  
SCATAMARAN 3 1 4 5   34(ri)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 119 10.00 24.80  
SAM SEZ 4 3 2½ 21   54 57 (biehler mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 5.00 36% 1.80 12.20  
MIDNIGHT ROYAL 5 6 6 6   66 6(berndt joel)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.40  
 
CBY-3   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
:22 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUGLER 3 5 32 2½   1nk 1½ (kenney r)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 1.80 27% 2.70 2.70 W
RUNTODAY 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2½ (richard chris)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 6.00 19% 4.20 7.70 P
RUN LEA RUN 5 2 6 6   435 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 36.10  
BIRDIE MACHINE 4 1 2½ 4   34 4(berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50 5.60  
AMERICAN REFUGEE 6 4 5 5   65(silva jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.00  
MONGOLIAN BEE 1 6 42 32   56(rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 117 4.00 2.10  
 
CBY-4   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
:234 :471 1:111 1:233   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGE'S SERMON 7 4 5 6   51(biehler micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.50 2.50 W
GHOST STRATEGY 6 7 75 3   2nk 2(mcdaniel bri)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 15.50  
RIDING THE TRAIN 3 1 2½ 21   32 3(spencer robin)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 9.00  
SEEKING SPLENDOR 5 6 4 52   43 4(silva mi)NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00 10.10  
FEEDING FRENZY 4 5 65 73   64 5(be)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.40  
OUR VALLEY 1 3 1½ 11   1nk 6(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
GRUNDER 2 2 3 42   776 (rengstorf to)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 18.60  
 
CBY-5   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
:23 :454 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAOFLITTLEFAITH 5 1 1nk 12   16 1(robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 W
WILD TIME 7 2 43 45   32(robertson mclean)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.50 7% 14.00 3.00 DQ↓6
SILENT SAILOR 2 3 31 32   26 38 (biehler michael)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 8% 11.90 2.60 P
STUN GUN 3 6 56 510   411½ 416 (miller david )CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00 19.50  
SCARYATCANTERBURY 1 7 2nk 22   511½ 516¾ (silva mi)NAVA ALFREDO 124 12.00 8.70  
HALO'S LADDIE 6 5 67 614   626½ 637¾ (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 32.80  
RED CENTS 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (berndt joel)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 4.50 41% 1.50 2.10  
SCR  HARMON KILLER BREW               (rengstor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00    
 
CBY-6   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:231 :453 1:094 1:221   1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S MAGIC 2 1 1 1   11 1(vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 8% 11.40 7.80 W
STAGECOACH BOYS 3 5 47 35   32(berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.80 68% 0.50 0.60 P
WISE VERDICT 5 2 2 2   21 3(rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 18.90  
BAYOU COLONEL 6 4 6 5   44(scherer gary)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
BENS MALICE 4 6 57 45   5510¼ (vanwinkle d)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50 4.70  
SPEITFUL SAM 1 3 36 6   610½ 624½ (robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 8.60  
SCR  SKIPPY'S STRIKE               (be)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 5.00    
SCR  THOUGHT               (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.