Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CBY-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/3/2)-(4/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-4   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(4/5/2/8)-(4/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-5   WIN (4/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/8)-(4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-6   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADI Jul15 Jun24 Jan11 Dec03 Oct23 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CAMBRIA SUNSET by GIO PONTI)
2  I'M BLEU TOO Jul30         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ROCKIN THE BLEU'S by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  NATIVE DOLL Jul30         (rengstorf tony)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  HAUTE CHARLOTTE Jul30         (riecken bruce)GLASS DERBE 114 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of HAUTE JANE by WESTERN OUTLAW)
5  STEPH'S TOP NICK         (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STEPHANGJESS by YONAGUSKA)
6  BURNT MATCH Jul30 Nov24 Aug10     (rengstorf tony)MURRAY M 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CBY-2   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROCODILEHUNTER Jul15 Jun18 May28 Apr12   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
2  SAINT CHARLES Aug05 Jul09 Jun28 Jun10 May12 (richard chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
3  SCATAMARAN Jul26 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr07 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 10.00    
4  SAM SEZ Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 May27 Oct28 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
5  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 May27 May04 (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  WITHSTANDTHESTORM Jul27 Jun17 May28 Apr01 Sep10 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 2.50 10% 9.00    
 
CBY-3   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN BEE Aug02 Jul20 Jul02 Jun07 May11 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 117 4.00    
2  RUNTODAY Jul16 Apr28 Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 (richard chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  BUGLER Jul22 Jun17 May05 Jan02 Dec13 (kenney)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 1.80 27% 2.70    
4  BIRDIE MACHINE Jul27 Jun28 May27 May14 Apr27 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50    
5  RUN LEA RUN Aug03 Jul08 Jun11 Apr28 Apr12 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
6  AMERICAN REFUGEE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Mar27 Mar11 (silva jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
CBY-4   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR VALLEY Jul22 Jul02 Jun03 May06 Apr12 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRUNDER Jul26 Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 May27 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
3  RIDING THE TRAIN Aug05 Jun03 Mar19 Dec10 Nov25 (spencer robin)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
4  FEEDING FRENZY Aug02 Jul09 Jun28 May27 Apr30 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
5  SEEKING SPLENDOR Aug03 Jul08 Jun11 May07 Mar18 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00 ★    
6  GHOST STRATEGY Jul08 Jun17 May08 Apr24 Apr12 (mcdaniel b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
7  SARGE'S SERMON Jul27 Jul08 Jun17 May28 May05 (biehler mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
CBY-5   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARYATCANTERBURY Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Mar11 Feb16 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 12.00    
2  SILENT SAILOR Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 May28 (biehler micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 8% 11.90    
3  STUN GUN Jul26 Jul08 Jun25 Dec04 Nov12 (miller davi)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00    
4  RED CENTS Jul09 Jun24 Sep30 Aug28   (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 4.50 41% 1.50    
5  LEAOFLITTLEFAITH Jul23 Jun28 Jun04 Sep10   (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  HARMON KILLER BREW Aug06 Jul13 Jun25 Apr21 Nov04 (rengst)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00    
7  HALO'S LADDIE Jul26 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 May27 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
8  WILD TIME Jul23 Aug25       (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.50 7% 14.00    
 
CBY-6   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEITFUL SAM Jul16 May20 Apr16 Mar09 Jan02 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  THOUGHT Jul27 Jun25 May29 May08 Mar21 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00    
3  ANGEL'S MAGIC Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 Mar22 Mar03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 8% 11.40    
4  STAGECOACH BOYS Jul27 Jul15 Jun21 Jun03 Sep08 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
5  BENS MALICE Jul20 Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 (vanwinkle)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50    
6  WISE VERDICT Jul29 Jul12 Jun25 Jun10 May11 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  SKIPPY'S STRIKE Jul29 Jul12 Jun24 Jun18 May18 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 5.00    
8  BAYOU COLONEL Jul15 Jun11 Oct02 Sep17 Aug31 (scherer gar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.