Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/8/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $19.40 $9.40 94%
    EXA (3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-3 $53.20 $33.20 166%
    TRI (3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-3-1 $242.50 $212.50 708%
LAD-2   DD (3/8/1/10/11)-(5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00  11-5 $18.20 $8.20 82%
LAD-3   PK3 (3/8/1/10/11)-(5/6)-(4/5/8/12/11) 50 $0.50 $25.00  11-5-5 $41.65 $16.65 67%
LAD-4   SFT (2/4/3/10)-(2/4/3/10/6)-(2/4/3/10/6)-(2/4/3/10/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-4-10-3 $13.82 $4.22 44%
LAD-7   EXA (3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-5 $22.70 $2.70 14%
    TRI (3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-5-3 $34.15 $4.15 14%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:12 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BATES COURT 10 3 3.2 3.2 1nk 12 1¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 8.70 W
TONTERIA 3 12 1110¼ 11 5 22 2¼ (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 3.50 41% 1.50 3.50 P
CROSSING IRIS 1 10 10 10 10 75 3 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00 8% 12.00 12.40 S
RICKY RIGHT 5 6 5 4¾ 2nk 3 4 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 15.00 10.50  
RUN ON ACES 6 8 6 6 31 4 5 (perron gerard)STOKES A 122 12.00 4.50  
13  KINGPRIN 12 5 7 8 6 65 6 (romero gerald )BURNINGHAM J 120 25.00 34.20  
10  THISGUYCANFLY 9 9 8 7 9 86 76 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00 6% 14.60 10.70  
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 8 4 4 5 4 5 87 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00 7.60  
12  SHANKINSTINE 11 7 9 9 11 10 911½ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00 46.10  
BUCK'S GLORY 2 11 1212¼ 1211¼ 12 1110 1012¼ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00 21.00  
HAIL THE CAT 4 1 1nk 1nk 7 99 1112½ (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 25.00 22.00  
WIN WON DOBBS 7 2 2nk 2nk 8 1213 1216¾ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 19% 4.30 4.00  
SCR  AMBASSADOR HOUSE               (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 122 30.00    
SCR  MUCHO BUENO               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
 
LAD-2   09/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAWN'S SOLVING 4 1 11 11   11 1 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 19% 4.20 0.70 DQ↓2
MYGLORYBEE 3 3 21 21   21 2 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.20 W
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON 2 2 3 36   38 324¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 6.30  
SLEW CITY HENRY 1 4 4 412   411 425 (jarvis robert)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 28.10  
SCR  ASTRONEER               (garcia lu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY               (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE ACE               (klanfer alan)ROSIER R 120 8.00    
 
LAD-3   09/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:214 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAIL STATE 5 7 7 7   5 11 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 5.00 18% 4.40 2.20 W
TIZ THE BIG ONE 2 4 4 42   31 21 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00 6.30  
FIREINTHESTORM 4 3 11 1nk   2nk 3 (courville ri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 27% 2.70 4.90 S
HALF AGAIN 8 2 5 5   4 4 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 10.00 18% 4.50 9.00  
PESO IN MY POCKET 9 1 21 2nk   1nk 5 (munoz yo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 6.10  
HEZA PRIORITY 7 11 1110¾ 1113¼   7 6 (husak j)MAGNON H 121 15.00 43.20  
12  SPECIAL BREED 12 6 6 6   6 7 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 124 6.00 7% 12.70 15.10  
10  YES BAB 10 8 8 8   8 8 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00 89.90  
TELLING THYME 3 10 10 1011¼   10 95 (hatcher nath)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 30.00 98.50  
OCEOLA 1 12 1211¾ 1213¾   11 105 (schultz d)BOREL H 121 25.00 14.50  
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 6 9 9 9   9 11 (vincent jarvis)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 21.00  
11  FULL IMPACT 11 5 31 3½   12 1211¼ (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00 6% 16.50 6.00  
SCR  MEN OF KYLE               (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 3.50    
 
LAD-4   09/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA FORCE 2 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 53% 0.90 0.30 W
MARKETBOOK 4 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2½ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.00 20% 4.10 9.00 P
10  REVERENT 10 3 4 42   32 32 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
WEIRD YEAR 3 5 6 6   5 45 (rossi j)VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 18.50 9.60  
NEVER OVER ME 1 8 5 7   75 56 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 74.40  
SAVANNAH'S HERE 9 2 3.2 31   4 6 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 84.90  
MORO'S BULL CREEK 8 7 7 54   6 7 (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 52.10  
INSPECTOR ED 7 9 8 8   87 8 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 12.70  
UNITEDAPPEAL 5 6 10 10   98 9 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00 28.70  
11  DEPUTY KNIGHT 11 10 9 9   109 1012¼ (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 94.60  
COUNTRY CUT 6 11 1110¾ 1110¼   1112 1115¾ (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.50 24.80  
 
LAD-5   09/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:123 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA VILLANA 2 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 11 1nk (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00 12.10  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MUJAAZY by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
WARRIOR'S RETURN 4 2 7 7 5 42 2nk (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 12% 7.20 5.20 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
CHARMING LEAH 3 5 6 5 4 21 31 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 7.80  
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL 5 6 41 4 3½ 3 4 (cruz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90 1.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
MARMO MOON 1 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 5 5 (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 35% 1.80 2.40  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
RON'S LAVENDER 6 9 9 9 8 6 69 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 89.50  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
10  SASSY SPRY 8 8 5 6 6 7 711½ (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 12.00 9.10  
  (by SASSICAIA out of SPRY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
11  GRAY PEARL 9 7 83 8 9 8 816¾ (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00 39.90  
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of WHITTLE by SILVER GHOST)
PINCHING PENNIES 7 1 3½ 3 7 9 918¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 8% 11.30 12.10  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
SCR  BABY LOCKOUT               (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00    
  (by LOCKOUT out of MACY MY BABY by MEACHAM)
SCR  SWEETASBAILY               (husak j)SMITH R 124 15.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of OOPS TIMES TWO by BADGE OF SILVER)
 
LAD-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME RUTA 8 4 5 4   1nk 19 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.30 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME PRAYER by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  MAX IS G MONEY 10 5 7 7   5 29 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 12% 7.10 9.60 P
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
MR. SHORTY 4 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 310 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 4.00 21% 3.70 2.70 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
YES JACK 5 2 3½ 1nk   3½ 412¼ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 47.40  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of YES BETH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
PAPA FLEW BOMBERS 6 9 9 8   7 515 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 15.00 41.30  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
13  DREAM TIME 12 7 4 5   6 616½ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 13.50  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of TIZ DA BIZ by TIZWAY)
EL PAJARO LOCO 3 3 2nk 3½   4 719½ (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 20.00 8% 11.70 30.80  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SUNDY SUNFLOWER by SUNDARBAN)
10  WINONESOON 9 8 8 9   8 827¼ (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 12.00 61.00  
  (by ATTEMPTED HUMOR out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
MYTURNTODEAL 7 10 1011¾ 1015½   9 928¾ (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00 74.30  
  (by LUNARPAL out of I'M DEALING by DEVILS PULPIT)
12  SIXTEEN DEGREES 11 6 6 6   1011¾ 1035¼ (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 30.00 83.60  
  (by DAAHER out of NURSE EMMIELLE by PRIVATE VOW)
MOR MOR MUSIC 1 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 5.00 10% 9.20 3.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
NOT LIKELY 2 12 12100 12100   12100 12100 (zenon charle)MAGNON H 116 25.00 ######  
  (by STAGE STREET out of DIAMONDS FOR GI GI by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  FUNNYFLAME               (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
LAD-7   09/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:25   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  WIN WORTHY 12 10 10 8 4 1½ 1 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 124 20.00 5% 18.20 3.20 W
OVERANALYTICAL 5 2 4 4 1nk 2½ 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 10% 8.70 2.20 P
MO TAP 3 5 5 5 7 7 36 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 44% 1.30 2.20 S
OPTIMAL TRIP 4 12 1210¾ 11 9 5 46 (rossi j)BOREL H 124 15.00 9.90  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 2 6 9 9 5 6 5 (gomez a)FUSILIER C 124 6.00 27.60  
11  PARTY LITTLE BOY 11 11 11 128 10 8 6 (pennino frank)STOKES J 121 8.00 48.50  
PINCH HITTER 7 4 3.2 2nk 2nk 3 7 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 18% 4.60 11.50  
GOLDBRIDGE 8 7 7 7 8 9 811 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
VALDINA DREAMS 1 1 2nk 3.2 3.2 4 911¼ (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 45.30  
BORDEAUX RED 6 3 1nk 1nk 6 10 1013 (brinkman brett)MELANCON G 124 15.00 28.20  
10  INFINITESIMAL 10 9 8 10 11 11 1114¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 25.00 64.30  
GOD'S GOLD 9 8 6 6 128 1219½ 1225¼ (martin james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 25.00 59.00  
SCR  BIGTIME TEGRIDY               (jackson rich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  COCAL               (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 121 25.00    
 
LAD-8   09/12/2023 7920ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:143 1:401 2:053 2:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BATTLE 1 10 1011¼ 10 9 42 1¾ (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 115 15.00 15.80  
ONE TIME GEM 3 32 4 4 5 21 2¾ (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 6.50  
WHEN'S TEE TIME 7 8 7 5 2nk 11 31 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 23% 3.30 5.90 S
MORE ICE 4 6 5 3 4¾ 3 4 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.90  
11  HALEYS SAILOR 11 7 8 7 6 63 5 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
12  VINYL 12 9 9 8 7 7 6 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 17.30  
EASTER SNAP 5 11 1 1½ 1nk 52 7 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 4.20  
10  LIARS CLUB 10 42 2 2½ 3½ 8 8 (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 12.00 51.20  
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 9 21 3 6 8 9 910¼ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00 7.40  
FABLED RULER 6 1212¼ 1220¼ 1216¼ 1018½ 10 1014 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00 70.70  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 2 1110¼ 1116¼ 1116¼ 1133½ 1124¾ 1135½ (hirdes john)STOKES J 120 15.00 38.70  
LI MU BAI (IRE) 8 5 6 9 1238½ 1244¾ 1292 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 11% 7.90 16.40  
SCR  EGO               (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.