Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/8/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11)-(3/8/1/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/1/10/11)-(5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/10/11)-(5/6)-(4/5/8/12/11) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/5/8/12/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/5/8/12/11)-(2/4/3/10) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/5/8/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/12/11)-(4/5/8/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/12/11)-(4/5/8/12/11)-(4/5/8/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/12/11)-(2/4/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/12/11)-(2/4/3/10)-(1/6/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/4/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/10)-(2/4/3/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/10)-(2/4/3/10/6)-(2/4/3/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/10)-(1/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/10)-(1/6/5/8)-(9/5/11/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/8)-(9/5/11/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/8)-(9/5/11/2/4)-(3/7/5/12/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (9/5/11/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/11/2/4)-(9/5/11/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/11/2/4)-(9/5/11/2/4)-(9/5/11/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/11/2/4)-(3/7/5/12/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/5/11/2/4)-(3/7/5/12/8)-(4/7/8/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/7/5/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8)-(3/7/5/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/5/12/8)-(4/7/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-8   WIN (4/7/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/11)-(4/7/8/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/11)-(4/7/8/5/11)-(4/7/8/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSING IRIS Jul10 Jun25 May15 Feb05 Dec31 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
2  BUCK'S GLORY Aug27 Jul28 Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
3  TONTERIA Aug19 Jul01       (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  MUCHO BUENO Aug14         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
5  HAIL THE CAT Aug28 Aug05       (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 25.00    
6  RICKY RIGHT Jun25 May22 May06 Apr22 Dec17 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
7  RUN ON ACES Aug28 Aug05 Jun24 Jun09 May13 (perron gerard)STOKES A 122 12.00    
8  WIN WON DOBBS Jun15 May26 May11 Mar31 Mar19 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
9  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Aug28 Jul31 Feb09 Jan15 Dec08 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
10  THISGUYCANFLY Jul10 Jun23 May28 Aug25 Aug07 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
11  BATES COURT Jul31 Aug13       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  SHANKINSTINE Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr21 Jan25 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00    
13  KINGPRIN Aug27 Jul10 May30 May07 Sep27 (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 25.00    
SCR  AMBASSADOR HOUSE Nov02 Oct05 Aug25 Aug03 Jul08 (charles jonathan)ROSIER R 122 30.00    
 
LAD-2   09/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASTRONEER Sep03         (garcia lu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
2  SLEW CITY HENRY Sep03         (jarvis robert)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE ACE         (klanfer alan)ROSIER R 120 8.00    
4  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Aug20 Aug05 Jun24     (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
5  MYGLORYBEE Sep03 Aug05 Jul01 Sep27 Sep13 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  SHAWN'S SOLVING Aug10 Jun24       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY         (wilson shane)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50    
 
LAD-3   09/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEOLA Aug27 Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 Jan11 (schultz d)BOREL H 121 25.00    
2  TIZ THE BIG ONE Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 May12 Feb20 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
3  TELLING THYME Sep04 Aug06 Jul09 Jun02 Apr30 (hatcher nath)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 30.00    
4  FIREINTHESTORM Aug04 Jun22 May26 Sep25 Sep13 (courville ri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  HAIL STATE Jun30 May20 Mar25 Jan27 Dec10 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Aug20 Jun10 May20 Jan28 Sep27 (vincent jarvis)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
7  HEZA PRIORITY Aug13 Aug05 Jun18 Jul20 Jun29 (husak j)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
8  HALF AGAIN Aug05 Jun25 May27 May06 Mar01 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
9  PESO IN MY POCKET Jul30 Jun11 May08 Jan27 Jan07 (munoz yo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
10  YES BAB Sep02 Aug07 Jul08 Jun12 May28 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00    
11  FULL IMPACT Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Apr08 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00 6% 16.50    
12  SPECIAL BREED May14 Apr22 Dec08 Mar19 Feb25 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 124 6.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  MEN OF KYLE Aug19 Jul23 May22 Apr01 Sep15 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 124 3.50    
 
LAD-4   09/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER OVER ME Jun04 May06 Apr22 Mar11 Sep08 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
2  SEA FORCE Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 May20   (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  WEIRD YEAR Feb05 Jan13 Nov19 Nov07 Sep29 (rossi j)VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
4  MARKETBOOK Aug19 Jun04 May14 May06 Feb18 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  UNITEDAPPEAL Aug19 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan21 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  COUNTRY CUT Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 May28 (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.50 ★    
7  INSPECTOR ED Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jun15 May10 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
8  MORO'S BULL CREEK Aug07 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Apr27 (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
9  SAVANNAH'S HERE Aug27 Jul30 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
10  REVERENT Aug28 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  DEPUTY KNIGHT Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 May30 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARMO MOON Aug13 Jul29 Jun12 Apr08 Mar16 (zeringue j)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
2  LA VILLANA Jun09 May11 Mar24 Mar01   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MUJAAZY by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
3  CHARMING LEAH Aug24 Jul01 Jun08 May18 Apr16 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
SCR  BABY LOCKOUT Aug29 Apr08 Feb24 Jan14 Dec09 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00    
  (by LOCKOUT out of MACY MY BABY by MEACHAM)
5  WARRIOR'S RETURN Sep03 Jul29 Jul02     (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
6  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Jul01 Jun08 May18 Apr16 Mar31 (cruz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  RON'S LAVENDER Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 May12 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
8  PINCHING PENNIES Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 Jan26   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
SCR  SWEETASBAILY Sep03 Aug05 Jun30 May18 Mar19 (husak j)SMITH R 124 15.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of OOPS TIMES TWO by BADGE OF SILVER)
10  SASSY SPRY Sep02 Jul21 Feb22     (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 12.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of SPRY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
11  GRAY PEARL Sep03 Aug13 May16 Apr26 Dec09 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of WHITTLE by SILVER GHOST)
 
LAD-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUNNYFLAME Aug29         (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  MOR MOR MUSIC         (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
3  NOT LIKELY Aug29 Aug19       (zenon charle)MAGNON H 116 25.00    
  (by STAGE STREET out of DIAMONDS FOR GI GI by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  EL PAJARO LOCO         (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 20.00 8% 11.70    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SUNDY SUNFLOWER by SUNDARBAN)
5  MR. SHORTY Aug29 Jul04       (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  YES JACK Aug29 Aug12       (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of YES BETH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Aug21 Aug12       (husak j)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
8  MYTURNTODEAL Jul03         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
  (by LUNARPAL out of I'M DEALING by DEVILS PULPIT)
9  AWESOME RUTA Aug12         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME PRAYER by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  WINONESOON Aug29 Aug12 Jul04     (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 12.00    
  (by ATTEMPTED HUMOR out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
11  MAX IS G MONEY Aug12 Jul28 Jul04     (duhon o)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
12  SIXTEEN DEGREES Aug21         (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 30.00    
  (by DAAHER out of NURSE EMMIELLE by PRIVATE VOW)
13  DREAM TIME Aug11         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of TIZ DA BIZ by TIZWAY)
 
LAD-7   09/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDINA DREAMS Jul24 Jun22 May27 May11 Apr29 (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00    
2  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 May15 May06 (gomez a)FUSILIER C 124 6.00    
3  MO TAP Jul31 Sep10 Aug07 Jun25 Jan27 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  OPTIMAL TRIP Aug13 May28 Apr27 Apr15 Feb19 (rossi j)BOREL H 124 15.00    
5  OVERANALYTICAL Jul07 Jun04 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
6  BORDEAUX RED Jul13 May26 Nov10 Sep26 Aug27 (brinkman brett)MELANCON G 124 15.00    
7  PINCH HITTER Aug13 Jul31 Jul01 May06 Nov05 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
8  GOLDBRIDGE Aug13 Jul04 Jun23 May28 May03 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOD'S GOLD Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 (martin james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 25.00    
10  INFINITESIMAL Aug28 Aug05 Jun25 Mar24 Mar09 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 25.00    
11  PARTY LITTLE BOY Aug28 Aug05 Jun29 Jun02 May18 (pennino frank)STOKES J 121 8.00    
12  WIN WORTHY Feb04 Jan08 Oct26 Sep05 May22 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 124 20.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  COCAL Aug29 Jun08 May26 May25 Apr29 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 121 25.00    
SCR  BIGTIME TEGRIDY Jul31 Jun19 May28 May06 Feb17 (jackson rich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
 
LAD-8   09/12/2023 7920ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNT BATTLE Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun19 May28 (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
2  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Sep03 Jul30 Apr05 Feb13 Jan30 (hirdes john)STOKES J 120 15.00    
3  ONE TIME GEM Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 May13 May03 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
4  MORE ICE Jul23 Jun19 May29 Sep27 Aug20 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  EASTER SNAP Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 ★    
6  FABLED RULER Sep04 Jul31 Jun10 May06 Mar24 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00    
7  WHEN'S TEE TIME Aug19 Aug07 Jul14 Jun17 Sep27 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
8  LI MU BAI (IRE) Aug26 Jul31 Jun25 May26 Mar18 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
9  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Sep02 Jul23 Jun19 Jun03 Feb28 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
10  LIARS CLUB Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 Jul06 Jun23 (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 12.00    
11  HALEYS SAILOR Aug19 Jul22 Jun05 Jan28 Dec04 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  VINYL Jul30 Jul02 May29 Sep27 Sep12 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
SCR  EGO Aug12 Jul30 Jun19 Jun03 May21 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.