Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-2   WIN (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $27.60 $15.60 130%
    DD (5/4/3)-(9/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $26.60 $14.60 122%
LAD-3   EXA (11/3/8/10)-(11/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-11 $56.00 $44.00 367%
    DD (9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-3 $28.20 $12.20 76%
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-6-3 $41.60 $17.60 73%
LAD-4   PK3 (9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10)-(2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-3-2 $26.25 $2.25 9%
LAD-7   EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $19.30 $7.30 61%
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-3-4 $22.60 $10.60 88%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR COUNT   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 17% 5.00 2.10 W
SABER RUN   (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 5.10  
I'M D'CAT   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.50 10.50  
GUITARTUITION PLZZ   (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 12% 7.00 2.00  
MR. TIN MAN   (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 6.90  
MR. FOUR SEVENS   (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 25% 3.00 4.30  
 
LAD-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE   (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 12% 7.30 4.80 W
SKIPPA   (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 3.50 7% 13.70 5.20 P
BROOK IS GOLDEN   (singh darla )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 17.80  
FLASH FREDDIE   (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 3.00 44% 1.30 10.20  
CUSTOM CRESCENT   (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 120 8.00 29.90  
MULETRAIN   (bernard john)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.00 42.00  
DIAL UNCLE JOEY   (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 11% 8.20 0.80  
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE   (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 12.90  
LIFEASWEKNOWIT   (villafranco mart)MELANCON G 120 10.00 15.60  
 
LAD-3   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER ROAD   (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 17% 4.80 3.10 W
11  FABLED RULER   (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 34% 2.00 14.40 P
12  NINEJUANJUAN CALL   (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00 10.10  
10  BIG STORY   (tuley rhonda)STOKES J 124 10.00 10% 9.40 4.90  
PRINCE OF GLORY   (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 7.00 2.30  
FETCHS BRAHM   (fires h)BOREL H 124 5.00 7.40  
LITTLE JONY   (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 9.20  
WESTERN STAR   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.00 10% 9.10 14.70  
POINT BLANK   (fires william)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 14.70  
SCR  HEY JACKSON   (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
SCR  MALORIE'S BIG BOY   (turn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN   (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
 
LAD-4   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 W
CAJUN ACES   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 4.40  
SARA'S SAPPHIRE   (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50 7.60  
MISS CHARLIE GRAS   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 3.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE   (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 5.00 7.50  
CUSTOM GUITAR   (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 5% 19.00 26.80  
THE MISSING PIECE   (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 4.00 22.30  
 
LAD-5   09/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIES FACTOR   (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 4.50 19.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TAPS MISTRESS   (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 24% 3.20 2.20 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
STORM GHOST   (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MAREN'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CORA'S LEGACY   (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00 4.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
LET'S TALK DIRTY   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 2.50 15% 5.80 8.80  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
10  FRONT AND SILVER   (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 116 5.00 9.00  
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILVER BAY by CURRENCY SWAP)
11  EMILYHASHERTURN   (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 116 3.50 35% 1.80 5.40  
  (by DAAHER out of DEVERELL by ARCH)
SAUCY SIX   (arey anthony)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 3.00 30.80  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHAMPAGNE GAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
TIZ MEDAGLIA   (coats t)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 5% 19.00 53.80  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of CHRISTINELISA by TIZNOW)
12  KOLLYNS JULIE   (mendoza edg)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 4.00 30.70  
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
GIGI'S LUV   (duhon o)BOREL H 116 10.00 27.00  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVENING MUSE by INVASOR (ARG))
SIBERIANA   (venzor ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 6.00 44.20  
  (by CODE WEST out of TOWANDA by DYNAFORMER)
 
LAD-6   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULEN   (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 6.20  
D TWO   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.30 P
BAYOU BEAUX   (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 13.10  
BIBLEMAN   (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 116 10.00 15% 5.80 3.30  
PARLAY PETE   (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.50 15% 5.60 6.20  
OJITOS   (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 10.10  
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.00 14.50  
WONDER RUN   (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 12.00 13% 6.80 23.10  
SCR  GRAND PRADO   (landry ray)STOKES J 121 4.50    
 
LAD-7   09/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOANA   (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 120 5.00 7% 13.70 2.60 W
ABSOLUTELY   (landry ray)STOKES J 124 2.00 24% 3.20 6.80 P
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE   (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 43% 1.30 1.20 S
MAGNA COLORS   (nelson r)VARGAS P 124 6.00 12.20  
SWIZZLECITY   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 8.20  
DREWSILLA   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 14.10  
PAINTBRUSH   (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
TELLING THYME   (hatcher nath)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00 28.10  
SALOMEINTHEHOOP   (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 23.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.