Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(9/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/8/5)-(9/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/5)-(11/3/8/10)-(2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (11/3/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/8/10)-(11/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/8/10)-(11/3/8/10)-(11/3/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/3/8/10)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/3/8/10)-(2/6/1)-(11/3/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(11/3/2/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(11/3/2/7/9)-(7/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-5   WIN (11/3/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/2/7/9)-(11/3/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/2/7/9)-(11/3/2/7/9)-(11/3/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/2/7/9)-(7/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/3/2/7/9)-(7/2/4/8)-(4/3/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/8)-(4/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABER RUN Aug05 Jul01 May30 May06 Jan13 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
2  I'M D'CAT Aug11 Jul06 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.50    
3  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Aug13 Jul22 May27 Apr14 Mar22 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 12% 7.00    
4  WAR COUNT Aug05 Jun17 May08 Mar24 Feb21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  MR. FOUR SEVENS Aug14 Jul01 May30 Mar16 Mar03 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  MR. TIN MAN Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 Nov26 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00    
 
LAD-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Jul29 Jun18 May27 Mar23 Mar08 (villafranco mart)MELANCON G 120 10.00    
2  MULETRAIN Jul29 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Apr13 (bernard john)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.00    
3  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Jul29 Jun26 Jun18 May07 Apr22 (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
4  BROOK IS GOLDEN Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 Sep13 Aug28 (singh darla )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
5  SKIPPA Aug13 Jul22 Jun30 May27 Apr08 (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 3.50 7% 13.70    
6  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Aug13 Jul17 Jul06 Jun15 May27 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
7  CUSTOM CRESCENT Aug13 May14 Jan12 Nov30   (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 120 8.00    
8  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Aug11 Jul22 Jul06 Jun24 May22 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
9  FLASH FREDDIE Aug13 Jul02 May06 Feb28   (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
LAD-3   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE JONY Jul31 Jun19 Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
2  PRINCE OF GLORY Aug10 Jul28 Mar04 Feb12 Feb03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 7.00    
3  THUNDER ROAD Aug27 Jul31 Jun12 May06 Mar24 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Jun18 May27 May11 Apr30 Apr08 (turn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
5  POINT BLANK Jul08 Apr28 Apr16 Mar23 Mar03 (fires william)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May07 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
7  FETCHS BRAHM Jul22 Jun24 May06 Mar31 Mar09 (fires h)BOREL H 124 5.00    
8  WESTERN STAR Jul22 Jul10 Jun25 Jun17 May20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  HEY JACKSON Aug05 Jul08 May26 Feb23 Feb05 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
10  BIG STORY Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun16 May29 (tuley rhonda)STOKES J 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
11  FABLED RULER Jul31 Jun10 May06 Mar24 Feb24 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 34% 2.00    
12  NINEJUANJUAN CALL Aug27 Jul22 Jun26 Dec02 Nov19 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM GUITAR Aug21 Jul27 Jun30 Jun12 May08 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Jul27 May08 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Aug05 Jul15 Jun29 May27 May03 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 5.00    
4  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Aug07 Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 Mar28 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50    
5  CAJUN ACES Aug20 Jul17 Jun10 May20 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00    
6  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 May27 Mar11 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  THE MISSING PIECE Aug07 May29 May06 Mar23 Feb26 (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 4.00    
 
LAD-5   09/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIBERIANA Jul24 May30       (venzor ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of TOWANDA by DYNAFORMER)
2  LET'S TALK DIRTY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 2.50 15% 5.80    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
3  TAPS MISTRESS Jul02         (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  CORA'S LEGACY Aug14 Jul08       (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  KATIES FACTOR Jul22         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  GIGI'S LUV Aug26 Aug06       (duhon o)BOREL H 116 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVENING MUSE by INVASOR (ARG))
7  STORM GHOST Aug14         (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MAREN'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  SAUCY SIX         (arey anthony)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 3.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHAMPAGNE GAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  TIZ MEDAGLIA Jul04         (coats t)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of CHRISTINELISA by TIZNOW)
10  FRONT AND SILVER         (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 116 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILVER BAY by CURRENCY SWAP)
11  EMILYHASHERTURN Jul14 Jun16       (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 116 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by DAAHER out of DEVERELL by ARCH)
12  KOLLYNS JULIE Aug18 Jun22 Jun04 May20   (mendoza edg)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
LAD-6   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jul02 Jun17 May12 Apr22 Apr13 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.00    
2  PARLAY PETE May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  BAYOU BEAUX Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 Jun05 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
4  BIBLEMAN Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 Apr15 Feb04 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 116 10.00 15% 5.80    
5  HULEN Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 May13 Apr30 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
6  OJITOS Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 May20 May05 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
7  D TWO Jul31 Jun17 May14 Mar03 Dec31 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  WONDER RUN Jun18 May14 Feb25 Feb02 Jan04 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  GRAND PRADO Aug04 Jul14 May26 Apr15 Feb16 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 4.50    
 
LAD-7   09/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNA COLORS Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr07 Feb24 (nelson r)VARGAS P 124 6.00    
2  LOANA Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May12 (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 120 5.00 7% 13.70    
3  ABSOLUTELY Jul08 Jun10 May20 Apr26 Apr07 (landry ray)STOKES J 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Aug12 Jul08 May20 Dec30   (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  TELLING THYME Aug06 Jul09 Jun02 Apr30 Mar18 (hatcher nath)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00    
6  SALOMEINTHEHOOP Aug13 Jul02       (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50    
7  SWIZZLECITY Jul02 Jun17 Apr26 Jan29 Dec03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50    
8  PAINTBRUSH Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 Apr23 Apr01 (garza joaqu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DREWSILLA Jul04 Jun04 May13 Mar12 Feb12 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.