The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $2.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-1 2 0 $5.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-1-6 3 0 $22.40 -48.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $18.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-3 3 0 $31.60 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-4 2 1 $21.60 $21.60 -2.40
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-4-8 3 1 $107.20 $107.20 59.20
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4)-(4/6/7/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 7-4-6 3 0 $83.20 -96.00
ARP-6   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
    Exacta (4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-1 2 0 $5.40 -18.00
    Trifecta (4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 4-1-7 3 0 $18.20 -36.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/5/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 4-6-4 3 1 $114.20 $114.20 42.20
ARP-7   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $29.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/6/7/8)-(4/5/7)-(2/3/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 6-4-4 3 0 $32.80 -72.00
ARP-8   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $25.40 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $146.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2-4 3 0 $1010.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/5/7)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/6) 27 $2.00 $54.00 4-4-ALL 3 0 $5.60 -54.00
    Pick Three (4/5/7)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/6) 27 $2.00 $54.00 4-ALL-1 3 0 $5.60 -54.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:222 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIE'S A TIGER 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 0.30  
HIGH GUNNER 1 3 34 34   42 2(gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 59% 0.70 3.20 P
BAKERSFIELD BABE 6 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3(ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 5% 19.00 12.60 S
LOTTA PRADA 3 7 5 45   345 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 121 10.00 23.70  
MAKARA 4 5 4 56   54 510¼ (barraza s)TORRES J 124 4.50 9% 10.80 9.00  
WON SASSY RIDE 2 6 79 610   6618¾ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
NOBLE PRESENT 5 4 6 710¼   7720¼ (chavez veronic)MARTIN A 124 20.00 45.00  
 
ARP-4   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:21 :453 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE 4 2 2½ 11   13 1(barrio sergio)LULL E 124 10.00 16% 5.10 2.90 W
BORN TO REIGN 5 3 68 56   32(martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 1.90  
JULIARD HONOR 3 1 1½ 21   23 312½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 3.70  
QUEENS RANSOM 6 4 43 45   4412½ (perkinson cc)RAMOS B 124 4.50 7.50  
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 1 6 57 611   512½ 520 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 16% 5.40 7.60  
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 2 5 33 35   615½ 648¼ (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70 4.20  
 
ARP-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:231 :473 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA SAUCE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 6% 15.80 5.60 W
AMY D 4 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 2(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 50% 1.00 0.60 P
ANGIE'S REVRAC 8 3 64 5   63(muckey john)MARTIN A 124 4.50 13% 6.70 11.10 S
TEQUILA RITA 2 7 75 63   346 (loftin linda)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 10.20  
RETRO RITA 7 2 3 3½   43 510 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 9% 10.40 4.90  
PASSION RIDE 1 6 5 42   5610¾ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 13.50  
GOSPEL FAITH 3 8 88 8   7715¾ (williams steve)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 17.20  
WEST COAST ANDY 5 5 43 74   8822 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 15.00 41.10  
 
ARP-6   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:234 :474 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY ROSIE 4 4 1nk 1½   13 16 (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 71% 0.40 0.40 W
CREATING MEMORIES 1 6 54 42   23 26 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 3.30  
SMOKIN AMELIA 7 1 4 5   45 314¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70 S
CHASING DIVINITY 6 2 2nk 2½   34 415¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 20.30  
CREES VALENTYME 3 3 32 3½   55 515¾ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 8.30  
TALLANDLONG 5 5 66 7   7633½ (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 37.40  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 2 7 78 6   69 742¼ (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 24.60  
 
ARP-7   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:241 :48 1:134     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD TIGHT 4 4 3 3   3.2 1¼ (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 2.50 2.10  
TUFF WILLY TE 1 2 2 21   2nk 2¼ (parsons riley)LULL E 121 6.00 3.30  
TW SKIPPING STONES 3 1 1 11   1nk 32 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 34% 1.90 12.10 S
TRICKY LEE 5 3 45 4   445 (martinez a)WALES T 124 8.00 23% 3.40 2.50  
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 2 5 5 5   55(story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 11% 8.00 2.00  
 
ARP-8   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:241 :474 1:14     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN CANNON 1 3 41 3   2nk 1(williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 11.70  
EL CHUMELITO 2 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2(wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 2.30  
ARIMONY 4 1 2½ 2½   3.2 33 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 5% 19.00 17.80 S
TIGER THE MAN 6 4 3½ 42   44(young a)RAMOS B 124 15.00 25% 3.00 9.40  
VICTORY BOULEVARD 5 6 6 67   55(long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 45% 1.20 0.70  
RANCHER 3 5 5 55   6611¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 5.70  
SCR  GRAN EDITION               (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.