Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (4/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-7   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-8   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER Jul16 Jun18 Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 59% 0.70    
WON SASSY RIDE Jul09 Jun17 Apr29     (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTA PRADA Jul16 Jun24 Sep26 Sep04   (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 121 10.00    
MAKARA Jul08 Jun17 Apr29 Apr19 Mar27 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 4.50 9% 10.80    
NOBLE PRESENT Jul22 Jul01 May19 May14 Apr02 (chavez veronic)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
BAKERSFIELD BABE Jul16 Apr22 Apr01 Mar27 Mar12 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
GRACIE'S A TIGER Jul17 Mar12 Jan10 Dec10 Nov12 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50    
 
ARP-4   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Apr08 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec19 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jul17 Jun25 Jun17 May07 Feb16 (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
JULIARD HONOR Jul15 Jul10 Jun24 May19 May06 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50    
WE ALL AGREE Jul15 Jul10 May06 Apr24 Apr10 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
BORN TO REIGN Jun24 Apr17 Mar04 Jan25 Jan09 (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00    
QUEENS RANSOM Jul08 Jun17 May06 Apr19 Mar25 (perkinson cc)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSION RIDE Jul22 Jul01 Mar28 Jan31   (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00    
TEQUILA RITA Jul16 Sep26 Sep13 Aug15 Jul12 (loftin linda)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00    
GOSPEL FAITH Jul22 Mar06 Dec02 Nov07 Oct12 (williams steve)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
AMY D Jul16 Jun24 Mar06 Feb15 Nov14 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
WEST COAST ANDY Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Apr22 Apr12 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 15.00    
EXTRA SAUCE Jul22 Jul01 May05 Apr12 Mar27 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
RETRO RITA Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May19 May05 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May19 May05 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
 
ARP-6   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATING MEMORIES Jul01 Jun17 May05 Apr09 Apr01 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May21 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
CREES VALENTYME Jul16 Jun24 May02 Apr12 Mar27 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50    
GYPSY ROSIE Jun18 Apr08 Feb26 Jan03 Nov20 (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 71% 0.40    
TALLANDLONG Jul22 Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 May14 (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Jul16 Jul01 Sep26 Sep04 Aug01 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
SMOKIN AMELIA Jul16 Jun18 Dec09 Oct28 Sep25 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF WILLY TE Jul15 Jun18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 (parsons riley)LULL E 121 6.00    
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Jul10 Apr25 Mar28 Mar06 Feb19 (story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 11% 8.00    
TW SKIPPING STONES Jul15 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 34% 1.90    
HOLD TIGHT Jul15 Apr24 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
TRICKY LEE Jul02 Apr17 Jan25 Oct03 Sep18 (martinez a)WALES T 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
ARP-8   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN CANNON May16 Apr12 Mar14 Mar04 Feb19 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
EL CHUMELITO Jul17 Jul03 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
RANCHER Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Apr25 Apr11 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50    
ARIMONY Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 May01 Mar08 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
VICTORY BOULEVARD Jul10 Jun18 Apr26 Apr15 Mar27 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
TIGER THE MAN Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 (young a)RAMOS B 124 15.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GRAN EDITION Jul09 Jul02 Oct02 Sep25 Aug01 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.