Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-4 $9.20 $5.20 130%
ARP-3   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $73.60 $49.60 207%
ARP-4   EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $18.20 $6.20 52%
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/6/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1/2-2-1 $286.20 $238.20 496%
ARP-5   TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3-6 $30.80 $18.80 157%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 1 1 11     14 14¾ (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 24% 3.10 1.50 W
4  NORA'S LEGACY 3 3 45½     34½ 24¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90 P
5  LIL MISS DE BUY 4 4 35     46 39¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 4.50 4.60  
3  NIP NAP 2 2 21     24 411¾ (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 2.00  
SCR  SENTIMENTAL CROSS               (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-3   07/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILVER PONZI 2 2 1nk     11 12¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 W
1  OMACHE KID 1 3 42½     21 22¼ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 70% 0.40 5.00 P
4  GRAYDAR'S DREAM 4 1 2nk     32 36¾ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 0.90  
7  RHODIUM RUNNER 7 5 66     64½ 49 (christian billy)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
5  EXPECT ROYAL 5 7 77½     75 59¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 7.90  
6  WILD FIREMAKER 6 4 32     54 610¼ (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.50 4.60  
3  CHERUBIM 3 6 54½     43½ 710¾ (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
 
ARP-4   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS GOTTA CHANCE 1 3 1½ 1½   12 14¼ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 52% 0.90 1.30 W
6  HEADEDTOTHESTARS 6 1 32 31½   22 24¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 18% 4.40 2.60 P
3  EL CHUMELITO 3 5 44 44½   33½ 36¼ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 6.00 2.00  
5  TIGER THE MAN 5 4 55 56½   56 49¾ (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 8.70  
2  CLEARLY MAD 2 2 2½ 2½   44½ 511¾ (rushton stac)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 9.30  
4  MY TRUE REWARD 4 6 611 612½   612 618 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 43.80  
 
ARP-5   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER 5 1 11½ 12½   14 111 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 37% 1.70 0.30 W
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LORELEI'S SONG by AMERI VALAY)
3  STARLET COLE 3 6 42½ 22½   24 211 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 35% 1.90 3.00 P
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WELKEN by SKY CLASSIC)
6  IMA HOT TOTTIE 6 2 21½ 32½   37 320½ (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 117 12.00 6% 15.20 10.10 S
  (by LAUGHING CHARLIE out of LIL MISS HOTTENTOT by PERFECT MANDATE)
4  AUNT CARI 4 3 66½ 69   413 427¼ (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 120 15.00 22.70  
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  CANDIED JOULE 2 4 54½ 57½   514 531 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50 8.90  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of CLEVER CADENCE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
1  GOSPEL GLORY 1 5 32½ 46½   615 635½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 37.10  
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL CHOICE by CRAFTY SONG)
 
ARP-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DIXIEMAGIC 6 1 54½ 42   2½ 12½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
2  BORN TO RACE 2 7 43 31½   31 22½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 9% 10.40 3.00 P
1  EUSEBIO 1 4 11½ 11   1½ 33¼ (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 8.20  
3  GO LAKER GO 3 5 32½ 52½   42½ 47¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 8.00 23% 3.40 2.80  
5  MUCHO GIFTED 5 3 21½ 21   53 511 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 9% 10.50 3.50  
4  BUMPER POOL 4 6 66½ 67½   69 616½ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 63.80  
7  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 7 2 76½ 79½   721 734¼ (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 72.50  
 
ARP-7   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:124     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BULLAWAY 4 3 42½ 43½   2½ 13¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 3.50 63% 0.60 1.30 W
2  NO LIMITATION 1 5 31½ 32   1½ 23¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
8  WILLTOBELUCKY 7 1 56½ 59½   42 33¾ (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 9% 10.70 4.70 S
4  HAWKWOOD 3 4 2nk 2½   31 46¼ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 12.80  
3  GREY ROGUE 2 2 1nk 1½   52½ 510¼ (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
7  FLY BUDDY FLY 6 6 611½ 611   64½ 622½ (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 8.00 33.00  
6  DIVINE TASK 5 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 3.10  
SCR  RED WES               (chavez juan)MARTIN A 121 12.00    
 
ARP-8   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHE'S MY RIDE 2 5 2nk 11   12½ 18¼ (ortega joe)LULL E 124 10.00 9.60  
4  ALL NATIVE 4 6 64½ 64½   33½ 28¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 3.90  
1  DIVA'S DIVA 1 4 3½ 54   44 312¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 8% 11.30 9.40 S
6  AMERICAN REALITY 6 2 42 33   54½ 414¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.90  
3  D'WILD MUFFIN 3 1 1nk 21   22½ 515 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 14% 6.40 2.50  
5  AWESOME SUNSET 5 3 52½ 43½   68½ 620¾ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 3.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.