Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-3   Win (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-4   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-8   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   07/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Jun18 Apr23 Apr14 Mar18 Feb18 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jun25 Jun17 May07 Feb16 Jan25 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
NIP NAP Jun24 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan07 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
NORA'S LEGACY Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May21 May05 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
LIL MISS DE BUY Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug28 Aug08 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 4.50    
 
ARP-3   07/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMACHE KID May07 Apr23 Apr09 Mar19 Mar11 (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 70% 0.40    
SILVER PONZI Apr12 Mar28 Feb11 Jan06 Dec13 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHERUBIM May20 May12 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 (roberts brian)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAYDAR'S DREAM Jun25 May12 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
EXPECT ROYAL Jul03 Jun16 May29 May12 Apr21 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50    
WILD FIREMAKER Jul03 Jun03 May20 May06 Nov30 (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.50    
RHODIUM RUNNER Jun25 May01 Apr11 Mar26 Feb24 (christian billy)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-4   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Jul03 Jun17 Apr29 Apr09 Nov08 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
CLEARLY MAD Jun19 Apr29 Mar18 Feb18 Oct02 (rushton stacy)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50    
EL CHUMELITO Jul03 May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 6.00    
MY TRUE REWARD May06 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Oct01 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIGER THE MAN Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 Apr22 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
HEADEDTOTHESTARS Mar20 Dec13 Nov30 Sep05 Mar21 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 18% 4.40    
 
ARP-5   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL GLORY Jul09 Mar13 Sep25 Aug27   (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
CANDIED JOULE May21 May07 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50    
STARLET COLE         (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
AUNT CARI Jun17 May20 May05 Apr22 Apr08 (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 120 15.00    
GRACIE'S A TIGER Mar12 Jan10 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
IMA HOT TOTTIE Sep25 Sep11 Aug21     (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 117 12.00 6% 15.20    
 
ARP-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUSEBIO Jul02 Jun19 Jan08 Dec09   (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50    
BORN TO RACE Jul03 Jun19 Apr16 Mar05 Feb25 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
GO LAKER GO Jul08 Jun17 May01 Apr04 Mar18 (barraza s)WALES T 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
BUMPER POOL Jul03 Oct25 Oct02 Sep20 Aug22 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00    
MUCHO GIFTED Jun25 Jun11 Sep18 Sep06 Aug29 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 9% 10.50    
DIXIEMAGIC Jun17 Mar29 Dec28 Dec03 Oct21 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Jun25 Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED WES Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 121 12.00    
NO LIMITATION Jun24 May20 May06 Apr23 Mar26 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREY ROGUE Jun25 Apr29 Mar25 Feb18 Oct04 (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
HAWKWOOD Jul02 Sep17 Aug14 Jul19 Jun25 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
BULLAWAY Jul03 Jun18 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
DIVINE TASK Jun24 Sep27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug23 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50    
FLY BUDDY FLY Jun17 May02 Apr08 Mar12 Mar06 (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 8.00    
WILLTOBELUCKY Jul03 Jun17 May05 Apr15 Mar25 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 9% 10.70    
 
ARP-8   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA'S DIVA Jun24 May19 Apr30 Oct03 Sep13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
SHE'S MY RIDE Jun24 May07 Apr12 Feb12 Jan26 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 10.00    
D'WILD MUFFIN May29 May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar03 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
ALL NATIVE Apr25 Feb26 Feb07 Jan24 Dec14 (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00    
AWESOME SUNSET Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 Dec05 Oct03 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
AMERICAN REALITY Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 Oct27 Oct02 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.