Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.00  
ARP-3   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-4   Win (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.40  
ARP-5   Win (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-6   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:152     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 1 4 2½ 2½   12 16 (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 0.50  
SNICKEL TE 5 1 32 3   22 26 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50 74% 0.40 2.30 P
TALLANDLONG 4 2 1½ 1½   33 310¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 22.40  
STARLIGHT TWIST 3 5 56 56   4 414¾ (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 5% 19.00 9.20  
FETCHING FURY 2 3 45 45   55 524 (williams steve)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
 
ARP-3   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:013     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON SASSY RIDE 3 5 2 21   21 12 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.50 W
COWGIRLLOVER 2 3 1 11   11 22 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.50 1.90  
DANGERELLA 4 6 6 68   5 37 (whitehouse wilton)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 20.40 S
GOSPEL GLORY 6 2 3 3   3 4 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 28.30  
BIG CREEK FIRE 1 4 43 4   43 510½ (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 18% 4.60 7.80  
MUCH ABOUT ONE 5 1 5 5   6 626 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00 14.10  
 
ARP-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 6 4 3 31   1nk 1½ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 7.70  
GUTFIELD 2 2 11 1½   2nk 2½ (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 4.50 8% 12.30 7.70 P
PUT PUT PUT 7 1 54 42   32 36 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
OLD FASHION TIME 1 6 66 5   5 47 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 6.50  
SILENCE'S NATION 4 3 21 2½   4 515 (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 2.50 63% 0.60 0.60  
CAN DANZER 5 7 78 6   6 615¾ (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 15.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
YOU'RE MY ROCK 3 5 44 7   710¾ 730¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 5.60  
 
ARP-5   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:151 1:29   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN EDITION 1 3 32 1½ 12 13 110½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 10.00 13% 6.90 1.30 W
THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 6 6 6 56 4 210½ (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00 5% 19.00 30.60 P
JUST CALL ME KEN 7 4 5 5 3 23 311 (rust terri)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.20 S
FORT KNOX 6 1 4 4 22 35 414½ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 18% 4.40 1.50  
UNBROKEN SONG 5 2 1nk 2½ 44 57 516¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 13.60  
MORHAWK 3 7 714¾ 712½ 78 611 628¼ (williams steve)MARTIN A 124 4.50 23.30  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 4 5 2nk 31 66 711 729¼ (perkinson cc)RAMOS B 124 8.00 22.80  
 
ARP-6   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CALL 5 3 2½ 1½   1nk 1½ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00 W
MAIUS 2 2 4 31   2nk 2½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 9% 9.80 2.60 P
TULSA TIME 4 1 1½ 2½   3½ 33 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 2.00  
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 1 4 53 5   5 410½ (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 10.00 14.10  
SEEULATERGATOR 3 5 31 4   4 511½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 6.00 22% 3.60 12.20  
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY               (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.00    
SCR  KEARNEY               (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.