Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-5   EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $57.40 $33.40 139%
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1-2-7 $152.60 $104.60 218%
    SFT (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-2-7-6 $136.80 $112.80 470%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:152     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 1 4 2½ 2½   12 16 (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 0.50  
5  SNICKEL TE 5 1 32 32½   22 26 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 74% 0.40 2.30 P
4  TALLANDLONG 4 2 1½ 1½   33 310¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 22.40  
3  STARLIGHT TWIST 3 5 56 56   44½ 414¾ (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 5% 19.00 9.20  
2  FETCHING FURY 2 3 45 45   55 524 (williams ste)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
 
ARP-3   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:013     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WON SASSY RIDE 3 5 21½ 21   21 12 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.50 W
2  COWGIRLLOVER 2 3 11½ 11   11 22 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.50 1.90  
4  DANGERELLA 4 6 68½ 68   53½ 37 (whitehouse wilt)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 20.40 S
6  GOSPEL GLORY 6 2 32½ 32½   32½ 48¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 28.30  
1  BIG CREEK FIRE 1 4 43 43½   43 510½ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 18% 4.60 7.80  
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE 5 1 55½ 55½   66½ 626 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00 14.10  
 
ARP-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 6 4 32½ 31   1nk 1½ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 7.70  
  (by ELMAZEED out of GARDEN GODDESS by BLAME)
2  GUTFIELD 2 2 11 1½   2nk 2½ (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 4.50 8% 12.30 7.70 P
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
7  PUT PUT PUT 7 1 54 42   32 36 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
  (by ZIP QUIK out of LABAR by BIANCONI)
1  OLD FASHION TIME 1 6 66 52½   52¾ 47 (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 6.50  
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
4  SILENCE'S NATION 4 3 21 2½   42½ 515 (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 2.50 63% 0.60 0.60  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
5  CAN DANZER 5 7 78 64½   64¾ 615¾ (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 15.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
  (by MIDNIGHT CROONER out of TULSA MOON by NATIONAL SAINT)
3  YOU'RE MY ROCK 3 5 44 74½   710¾ 730¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 5.60  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of NORTHERN ROCK (JPN) by NORTHERN TASTE)
 
ARP-5   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:151 1:29   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN EDITION 1 3 32 1½ 12 13 110½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 10.00 13% 6.90 1.30 W
2  THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 6 64¾ 64½ 56 46½ 210½ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00 5% 19.00 30.60 P
7  JUST CALL ME KEN 7 4 54½ 53½ 32½ 23 311 (rust terri)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.20 S
6  FORT KNOX 6 1 42½ 41½ 22 35 414½ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 18% 4.40 1.50  
5  UNBROKEN SONG 5 2 1nk 2½ 44 57 516¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 13.60  
3  MORHAWK 3 7 714¾ 712½ 78 611 628¼ (williams ste)MARTIN A 124 4.50 23.30  
4  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 4 5 2nk 31 66 711 729¼ (perkinson cc)RAMOS B 124 8.00 22.80  
 
ARP-6   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FIRST CALL 5 3 2½ 1½   1nk 1½ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00 W
4  MAIUS 2 2 42½ 31   2nk 2½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 9% 9.80 2.60 P
6  TULSA TIME 4 1 1½ 2½   3½ 33 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 2.00  
3  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 1 4 53 58½   57½ 410½ (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 10.00 14.10  
5  SEEULATERGATOR 3 5 31 42½   44½ 511½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 6.00 22% 3.60 12.20  
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY               (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.00    
SCR  KEARNEY               (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.