Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/1/4)-(4/2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/2/5/7)-(7/6/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/7)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-5   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-6   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jun04 May02 Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50    
2  FETCHING FURY May17 May02 Dec13 Dec05 Oct24 (williams ste)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  STARLIGHT TWIST May20 May14 Mar24 Oct03 Aug31 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  TALLANDLONG Jul01 Jun17 May14 Apr30 Apr16 (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
5  SNICKEL TE Jun18 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 Aug09 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 74% 0.40    
 
ARP-3   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CREEK FIRE         (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  COWGIRLLOVER Jun17 May19 Apr19 Mar17   (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 4.50    
3  WON SASSY RIDE Jun17 Apr29       (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  DANGERELLA Jun17 Apr29       (whitehouse wilt)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE Jun25 May05 Apr01 Jan11 Nov07 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00    
6  GOSPEL GLORY Mar13 Sep25 Aug27     (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
 
ARP-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD FASHION TIME         (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
2  GUTFIELD Jun19 Jul24       (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
3  YOU'RE MY ROCK Oct01 Sep11 Aug28     (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of NORTHERN ROCK (JPN) by NORTHERN TASTE)
4  SILENCE'S NATION Jun19         (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
5  CAN DANZER         (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT CROONER out of TULSA MOON by NATIONAL SAINT)
6  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Jun19 Apr28 Oct01     (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50    
  (by ELMAZEED out of GARDEN GODDESS by BLAME)
7  PUT PUT PUT         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of LABAR by BIANCONI)
 
ARP-5   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN EDITION Jul02 Oct02 Sep25 Aug01 Jul19 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
2  THE GREATEST EAGLE Jun17 Jun04 May20 Apr22 Apr08 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MORHAWK Jul03 May17 Apr10 Apr03 Mar20 (williams ste)MARTIN A 124 4.50    
4  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Jun25 Jun17 May02 Mar12 Feb04 (perkinson cc)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
5  UNBROKEN SONG Jul03 Nov20 Nov06 Oct02 Sep15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
6  FORT KNOX Jun18 Apr23 Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
7  JUST CALL ME KEN Jun17 May07 Apr23 Mar21 Mar05 (rust terri)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
ARP-6   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEARNEY Jun25 Jun16 May28 May20 May06 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.00    
3  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 10.00    
4  MAIUS Jun18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 9% 9.80    
5  SEEULATERGATOR Apr16 Apr09 Nov30 Nov15 Nov01 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  TULSA TIME Jun19 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50    
7  FIRST CALL Apr22 Mar21 Feb25 May03 Apr01 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.