Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-3-1 $95.60 $47.60 99%
ARP-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $17.20 $11.20 187%
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $62.00 $50.00 417%
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00  5-4-ALL $90.00 $18.00 25%
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00  5-ALL-5 $120.00 $48.00 67%
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00  ALL-4-5 $90.00 $18.00 25%
ARP-6   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $31.80 $19.80 165%
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5)-(4/5/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00  4-5-2/4 $1014.00 $942.00 1308%
ARP-8   TRI (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00  2-3-5 $73.80 $25.80 54%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FROGGY 3 3 11 1½   11½ 14½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 1.40  
2  OH SNAP 2 5 31½ 42½   32½ 24½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00 P
6  HOT LIL MESS 5 2 21 2½   21½ 36 (megariz mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 10% 9.30 6.80 S
1  BULL RING 1 4 41½ 32   42½ 46 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50 9.10  
5  MORE ACTION 4 1 51¾ 54½   54½ 56¼ (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 10.00 24% 3.10 8.70  
SCR  ORDER OF THE DAY               (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-3   07/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CATS GOTTA CHANCE 4 4 31½     2½ 11 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 8.00 11% 7.80 1.50 W
4  GETALOADOFTHIS 3 1 1½     1½ 21 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30 1.40 P
3  WILD FIREMAKER 2 2 42     42 36 (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 4.90  
2  EXPECT ROYAL 1 3 2½     31½ 46¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 20% 4.00 6.40  
6  DRYSPELL 5 5 56     56 59¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 10.00 17.10  
7  SILVER AND ACES 6 6 612     69 615¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 11.20  
SCR  BRON AND THE BROW               (childs g)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
 
ARP-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCE OTTO 4 4 2½ 2½   11 1½ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 10.00 7% 13.40 3.70 W
3  BORN TO RACE 3 7 65½ 65½   53½ 2½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 P
1  DEACON BEACON 1 3 54 54½   33 34¼ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 3.50 13% 7.00 12.10 S
6  CASH EXPRESS 6 6 76½ 76½   64 44¼ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00 2.00  
2  BUMPER POOL 2 5 42½ 42½   43 54½ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 30.40  
5  SEAFARING WILDCAT 5 1 1½ 1½   21 65¾ (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 8% 10.80 5.40  
7  MYBESTISYETTOCOME 7 2 32 32   75½ 711 (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 20.20  
 
ARP-5   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RANCHER 5 4 43 32   2½ 1½ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60 W
3  TASHKENT 3 1 55 53½   42 2½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 64% 0.60 1.10 P
2  GEE WHIZ WHO 2 2 21½ 2nk   1½ 31½ (rushton tem)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 4.70  
1  FERRARI ROAD 1 5 33 43   52½ 44 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
4  MASTERPIECE DAY 4 3 11½ 1nk   31 57¾ (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 1.60  
 
ARP-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOONLITE GRAHAM 3 2 12 11½   11 1¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.40 W
1  COWBOY DON 1 1 32 32   21 2¾ (mcdonald william )RAMOS B 124 6.00 11% 8.20 3.20 P
5  BULLAWAY 4 4 22 21½   32 34½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 25% 3.00 2.10 S
3  EL CHUMELITO 2 3 44 44   43½ 45¾ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 15.00 5.40  
6  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR 5 5 58 56   55 56½ (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 6.80  
SCR  OREGON COUNTY               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VIRTUALLY 6 3 32½ 31½   11½ 16 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 3.30  
2  UNPLUCKED GEM 2 4 45½ 43½   31½ 26 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 11% 7.90 3.50 P
5  TRULY A MESS 5 2 2nk 1nk   21½ 310¼ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 26% 2.90 7.70 S
1  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 1 6 67¼ 55½   53¾ 417¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 34% 1.90 6.10  
3  NAUGHTY EVELYN 3 1 1nk 2nk   43½ 517¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 1.10  
4  T R'S FIRST 4 5 57 66½   66¼ 619 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 17.10  
 
ARP-8   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUEZ 2 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 63% 0.60 1.90 W
3  WILLTOBELUCKY 3 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 6% 17.00 4.70 P
5  YHA YHA 5 1 31 31½   32 33¾ (childs g)RAMOS B 124 3.50 7% 14.20 3.60 S
1  KWIK 1 5 52¾ 52¾   43½ 46¾ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 2.30  
7  TOMBI 7 2 42½ 42½   54½ 59 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
6  UNBROKEN SONG 6 7 68¾ 68¾   66½ 620½ (haar j)WALES T 124 8.00 7.60  
4  MORHAWK 4 6 710¾ 710¾   78 723 (williams ste)MARTIN A 124 12.00 55.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.