Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-3   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-7   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-8   Win (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL RING Jun19 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar12 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
OH SNAP Jun24 May19 May06 Apr28 Apr22 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
FROGGY May09 Apr11 Mar28 Mar06 Dec01 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
SCR  ORDER OF THE DAY Jun24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Oct02 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
MORE ACTION Jun18 May20 Apr08 Mar26 Feb13 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
HOT LIL MESS Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Jan22 (megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 10% 9.30    
 
ARP-3   07/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRON AND THE BROW May06 Mar25 Mar19 Feb18 Jan17 (childs g)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
EXPECT ROYAL Jun16 May29 May12 Apr21 Apr02 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
WILD FIREMAKER Jun03 May20 May06 Nov30 Nov15 (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00    
GETALOADOFTHIS Jun17 May12 Oct01 Jul24 Jul04 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Jun17 Apr29 Apr09 Nov08 Oct18 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
DRYSPELL Jun25 May19 May12 Apr02 Mar19 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
SILVER AND ACES Sep27 Sep19 Jul30 Jul02 Apr09 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
 
ARP-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON BEACON Jun19 May14 Mar12 Dec14 Dec01 (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
BUMPER POOL Oct25 Oct02 Sep20 Aug22 Jul31 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
BORN TO RACE Jun19 Apr16 Mar05 Feb25 Jan01 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
PRINCE OTTO Feb06 Jan24 Jan10 Sep06 Apr25 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 10.00 7% 13.40    
SEAFARING WILDCAT Jun19 May02 Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 8% 10.80    
CASH EXPRESS Apr16 Apr08 Mar26 Aug26 Jul29 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME May02 Jan17 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 (ortega joe)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
 
ARP-5   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERRARI ROAD Jun17 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GEE WHIZ WHO Apr29 Mar11 Oct01 Aug23 Aug01 (rushton templ)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50    
TASHKENT Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 Dec01 Nov18 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 64% 0.60    
MASTERPIECE DAY Jun18 May20 May06 Apr21 Apr07 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
RANCHER Jun18 Apr25 Apr11 Mar04 Feb14 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY DON Jun17 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 (mcdonald j)RAMOS B 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
EL CHUMELITO May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 15.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Apr22 Apr12 Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
BULLAWAY Jun18 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug29 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Jun19 May20 May12 Apr21 Apr02 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
SCR  OREGON COUNTY Jun25 May20 May13 Apr28 Apr15 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) May02 Apr08 Mar26 Feb14 Jan28 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 34% 1.90    
UNPLUCKED GEM Jun18 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Oct03 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 11% 7.90    
NAUGHTY EVELYN Jun18 Apr24 Apr10 Mar12 Jan27 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50    
T R'S FIRST Jun19 Apr29 Apr15 Apr08 Mar12 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
TRULY A MESS Jun18 May06 Apr01 Mar13 Mar01 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
VIRTUALLY Jun18 May06 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
 
ARP-8   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KWIK May17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
SUEZ Jun19 May13 May06 Apr22 Mar18 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
WILLTOBELUCKY Jun17 May05 Apr15 Mar25 Feb27 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 6% 17.00    
MORHAWK May17 Apr10 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (williams steve)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
YHA YHA Jun17 May06 Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 (childs g)RAMOS B 124 3.50 7% 14.20    
UNBROKEN SONG Nov20 Nov06 Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 (haar j)WALES T 124 8.00    
TOMBI Jun19 Mar31 Feb25 Oct02 Sep19 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.