Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.60 $2.60 43%
ARP-3   EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $12.80 $0.80 7%
ARP-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-4 $15.40 $3.40 28%
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/2/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00  5-4-1 $127.20 $73.20 136%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:25 :48 1:142 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUEST CHECK 4 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 1nk (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 46% 1.20 3.30 W
I'M A COOL CAT 2 2 33 21 2nk 2nk 2nk (long vaughn)WALES T 121 3.50 0.50  
GRIFTER 3 3 2 32 3 33 36 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70 2.50 S
ABRIERWIN 1 4 43 42 42 47 419¼ (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 20.00 12.70  
SCR  ASHWINS ORB               (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-3   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO LIMITATION 4 2 32 2½   1nk 1¾ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 W
DIVINE TASK 2 1 12 1½   2nk 2¾ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 8.00 17% 4.90 1.80 P
OH SNAP 1 5 5 511   57 310 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 8.90  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 4 22 3   4 413¼ (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 17% 5.00 4.60  
BARLOWS PRIDE 5 3 4 45   36 514¼ (parsons riley)WALES T 124 6.00 5.70  
 
ARP-4   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :45 :573     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPS SUCCESS 1 3 22 26   23 11 (moreno ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 30% 2.40 5.20 W
TOO LATE 4 1 12 16   13 21 (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 43% 1.30 0.30 P
KEENEYE GEORGE 3 2 3 37   38 36 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 5.10  
ORDER OF THE DAY 2 4 4 512½   412 414¾ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 19.90  
CLAIMJUMPER 5 5 5 412   512 516¼ (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
 
ARP-5   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY AREWETHEREYET 3 2 4 4   3.2 11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 63% 0.60 0.20 W
JULIARD HONOR 2 3 32 22   1nk 21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.70 7.20 P
RACHIE RACH 1 4 2½ 32   2nk 3 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
NIP NAP 5 1 1½ 12   4¼ 4 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 12.00 18.50  
RAGING LADY 4 5 5 54   5 515½ (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 2.50 4.60  
 
ARP-6   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN TO REIGN 6 2 2 2   11 1 (martinez a)LULL E 124 2.50 11% 8.20 1.10 W
REMARKABLE CHARM 3 4 3 4   31 2 (roberts m)WALES T 124 6.00 4.40  
CALL THE SHOTS 4 1 44 33   21 3 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 28% 2.50 2.00 S
SHE'S MY RIDE 2 6 68 5   54 49 (ortega joe)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6.80  
ELEMENTAL 1 3 1 1   4 514½ (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 10.00 27.10  
DIVA'S DIVA 5 5 58 610   66 618½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 30% 2.40 8.90  
 
ARP-7   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($21.6K) 3 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL SLIPPERS 1 4 1 1nk   11 1 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.20 W
  (by BOOS out of LET THE GIRL GO by ROCKY BAR)
MISFIRED 3 7 5 32   3 2 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 16.30  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of FILLY ON FIRE by STORMIN FEVER)
CAJUN TRINITY 5 1 2 2nk   21 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 5% 17.30 8.70 S
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CREES VALENTYME 2 6 45 5   5 412¾ (parsons riley)LULL E 122 12.00 29.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RECKLESS BETTY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
BRING THE POSSE 7 5 6 6   6 515¼ (triana marti)RAMOS B 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
AMY D 6 2 3 4   4 618¼ (martinez a)WALES T 122 3.50 7% 13.70 6.10  
  (by ROCKY BAR out of I'M THE QUEEN by BOOS)
ISLAND BEAUTY 4 3 7 721½   7100 7100 (ortega joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 60.90  
  (by HONOR CODE out of ISLA by CARNIVALAY)
 
ARP-8   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 4 6 43 2   1nk 1 (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00 9.40  
DAHLIA'S DANCER 5 1 12 1   2nk 2 (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 7.40  
LOTTA PRADA 1 4 32 43   4 3 (kemper kerry)LULL E 121 5.00 7% 13.50 2.00 S
KNIGHT EYES 6 2 22 3   34 4 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 66% 0.50 1.20  
EXPECT THE BOSS 3 5 6 55   5 5 (haar j)WALES T 124 4.50 4.70  
YA THINK 2 3 54 6   610¾ 626¾ (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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