Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/2/3)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/1/5)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/2/1)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/4/6)-(1/6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   06/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASHWINS ORB Jun09 May19 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABRIERWIN May13 Apr03 Mar12 Feb21 Jan23 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
3  I'M A COOL CAT May06 Apr15 Mar19 Nov21 Oct17 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 3.50    
4  GRIFTER May21 Apr29 Apr09 Mar21 Feb26 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  GUEST CHECK Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
ARP-3   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH SNAP May19 May06 Apr28 Apr22 Apr08 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
2  DIVINE TASK Sep27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug23 Aug02 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Jun17 May05 Mar26 Mar18 Feb02 (torres-casas alex )LULL E 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  NO LIMITATION May20 May06 Apr23 Mar26 Mar10 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  BARLOWS PRIDE Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 (parsons riley)WALES T 124 6.00    
 
ARP-4   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPS SUCCESS Mar07 Jan11 May16 Apr26 Apr11 (moreno ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  ORDER OF THE DAY Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Oct02 Sep19 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
3  KEENEYE GEORGE Apr24 Apr03 Mar25 Feb28 Dec18 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
4  TOO LATE Jun11 May22 Apr15 Apr01 Feb18 (rushton stac)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  CLAIMJUMPER Sep20 Sep04 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACHIE RACH May12 Apr14 Mar31 Feb26 Jan18 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  JULIARD HONOR May19 May06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  RAY AREWETHEREYET May06 Apr22 Apr08 Aug27 Aug20 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
4  RAGING LADY Jun18 May02 Apr22 Apr03 Mar21 (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 2.50    
5  NIP NAP Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan07 Dec14 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEMENTAL Jun18 Apr01 Mar19 Feb07 Dec17 (perkinson cc)TORRES J 124 10.00    
2  SHE'S MY RIDE May07 Apr12 Feb12 Jan26 Jan04 (ortega joe)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
3  REMARKABLE CHARM May19 Apr22 Apr07 Mar24 Feb25 (roberts m)WALES T 124 6.00    
4  CALL THE SHOTS May12 Apr30 Mar03 Oct03 Sep20 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  DIVA'S DIVA May19 Apr30 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  BORN TO REIGN Apr17 Mar04 Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 (martinez a)LULL E 124 2.50 11% 8.20    
 
ARP-7   06/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($21.6K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS Apr24         (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by BOOS out of LET THE GIRL GO by ROCKY BAR)
2  CREES VALENTYME May02 Apr12 Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 (parsons riley)LULL E 122 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RECKLESS BETTY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  MISFIRED Nov22 Sep18 Jul24 Jul10   (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of FILLY ON FIRE by STORMIN FEVER)
4  ISLAND BEAUTY Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov08 Sep02 (ortega joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ISLA by CARNIVALAY)
5  CAJUN TRINITY Jun18 May13 Apr16 Mar25 Mar17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  AMY D Mar06 Feb15 Nov14 Oct04 Aug07 (martinez a)WALES T 122 3.50 7% 13.70    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of I'M THE QUEEN by BOOS)
7  BRING THE POSSE Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07   (triana marti)RAMOS B 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
 
ARP-8   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTTA PRADA Sep26 Sep04       (kemper kerry)LULL E 121 5.00 7% 13.50    
2  YA THINK Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07   (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXPECT THE BOSS May19 Dec28 Nov22 Nov10 Oct11 (haar j)WALES T 124 4.50    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN May01 Apr22 Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00    
5  DAHLIA'S DANCER Feb15 Jan17 Dec26 Dec10 Nov12 (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50    
6  KNIGHT EYES Mar07 Feb14 Jan23     (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.