Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $22.60 $16.60 277%
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $77.00 $65.00 542%
ARP-4   PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4/6)-(4/3/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00  5-6-3 $109.60 $55.60 103%
ARP-7   WIN (4/6/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $11.60 $1.60 16%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:131     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY PAL 5 1 21½ 31½   11 13¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 12.00 10% 9.30 0.90 W
1  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 1 4 11½ 11   21 23¾ (barraza s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 6.90 2.90 P
6  CAPTAIN COMEBACK 6 2 32 21   31½ 37¾ (williams st)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 13.70  
2  SHADYFIED 2 5 55½ 43½   43 49¾ (barrio sergio)RAMOS B 124 4.50 5.00  
3  FRIENDLY FOE 3 3 44 53½   53½ 510¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 4.20  
4  RI' PIN SNAP 4 6 610½ 68½   67½ 619¼ (diaz luis)MARTIN A 124 20.00 20.20  
 
ARP-3   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:144     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOSPEL BONANZA 6 1 3.2 2½   13 18½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ABBYBOO by UNKNOWN)
2  IZZY IN A TIZZY 2 3 1nk 1½   23 28½ (young a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 39% 1.60 2.60 P
  (by TIZNOW out of SONG COLLECTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  DOMERGOO 5 4 42¾ 43   35½ 317¾ (childs russe)MARTIN A 124 12.00 18.40  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of OVERTHETOP by BROKEN VOW)
4  BRIGHT MIND 4 6 54¼ 32½   47½ 430 (story chad)RAMEY CASH 115 2.50 30% 2.40 2.70  
  (by TAPIZAR out of STARLET O'HARA by SILENT SCREEN)
3  CORTE 3 2 2nk 56   515½ 541¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 6.10  
  (by COURT VISION out of TRIMMED by GAFF)
1  THE O G 1 5 619¼ 631   6100 6100 (ortega joe)WALES T 120 8.00 1.40  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRYPHENA by BERTRANDO)
 
ARP-4   07/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRECEDENT 3 1 32 32½   2nk 11¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 28% 2.60 1.20 W
4  RIGHT TO SUE 4 2 2nk 2½   3.2 21¼ (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.50 2.70 P
1  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 1 4 53½ 54   4¼ 32¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 10.00 5.50  
5  DRISKILL 5 3 1nk 1½   1nk 47½ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 15% 5.70 3.90  
2  BRAVO KOLT 2 5 42½ 43½   51¾ 59½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 5.00  
 
ARP-5   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEW YEARS LOVE 2 3 32 21   1nk 11¾ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 4.50 2.00  
1  MILLI STARR 1 1 11½ 11   2nk 21¾ (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 8.00 14.10  
4  DOZO 4 4 21½ 32   34 37¾ (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 56% 0.80 2.40 S
3  RIVER LIBERTY 3 6 611½ 56½   46 49 (williams st)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 12.00  
5  SWEET TATUM 5 2 45½ 45   56½ 514¼ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 15% 5.90 1.50  
6  HIGH VALUE TARGET 6 5 59½ 67   68 617½ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
 
ARP-6   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OPTIMAL 3 2 11½ 11½   11 13¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.30 W
5  JIMBO'S BIZ 4 3 21½ 21½   21 23¼ (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.40 P
8  GRAN EDITION 7 1 43½ 54   43 38¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 20.00 6.40  
2  PODEROSO EQUS 2 5 55 33½   33 411 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 10% 9.40 7.20  
1  RANDOM AFFAIR 1 6 76½ 64¼   53½ 513¾ (burns dale)WALES T 124 15.00 8.70  
6  THORNISH 5 4 32 44   65½ 617¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
7  LIL LATIGO 6 7 65 74¾   76 718 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 8.00 20.10  
SCR  RUN FOR MATTY               (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   07/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KELLER'S GOLD 10 1 1nk 1nk   13 11½ (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 12% 7.30 4.80 W
7  HEY NOW 7 6 53¾ 54   33½ 21½ (kenney dan)TORRES J 124 3.00 4.20  
6  RONAMO 6 10 65¾ 66   54½ 36 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 19% 4.40 2.60 S
1  TRICKY LEE 1 9 76¾ 76½   74¾ 46½ (martinez a)WALES T 124 5.00 16% 5.40 4.50  
5  ONE STEP AWAY 5 7 41¾ 32   23 58¼ (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 8% 11.00 17.90  
2  THIRD WHEEL 2 8 1010¼ 89½   85¼ 68½ (story chad)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 4.50  
4  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 4 4 31½ 43½   64½ 711¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 24% 3.20 14.00  
8  LAUNCHED 8 5 2nk 2nk   44 818¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 14.00  
3  JU JU GUY 3 3 88¼ 910   910¼ 918¼ (childs russe)MARTIN A 124 20.00 42.20  
9  HAWKWOOD 9 2 99¼ 1010½   1014¼ 1026¼ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 36.20  
 
ARP-8   07/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EUSEBIO 2 3 13 14   1½ 12 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 6% 15.40 1.90 W
8  DALE'S ADDICTION 8 1 23 24   2½ 22 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.70 P
5  GOSPEL PIPELINER 5 8 57½ 47   31½ 33 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 19.70  
3  EL JEFE COBB 3 5 68½ 610½   43 43 (young a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6% 17.20 7.60  
1  RUNNIN BUFFALO 1 4 34 37   53 54 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 28.10  
4  FUSAICHI WILDCAT 4 6 46 58½   67 615½ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 3.30  
7  BARREL MAN 7 7 79½ 712½   78½ 717 (triana juan)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 22% 3.50 11.40  
6  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 6 2 810 813   810 821 (christian bi)MARTIN A 120 15.00 33.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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