Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKARA 3 1 1½ 1   1½ 1 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 65% 0.50 0.10 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 3 32 2   2½ 2 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 12% 7.50 16.70 P
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of ANNIE RUTLEDGE by SILVER TRAIN)
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 2 4 2½ 3   3 312¼ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 10.60  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of IN FASHION by RIVER KEEN (IRE))
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 5 2 4 54   58 425¾ (childs rus)GONZALEZ V 124 12.00 31.10  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 1 5 53 4   4 526 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
  (by REVOLVING out of COVETOUS by STORM DAY)
 
ARP-3   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 3 1 12   1 1 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 W
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
MAYA D 2 4 54 43   2 2 (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 3.10  
  (by CONNECT out of SHAKEN MEMORIES by LEMON DROP KID)
I'M GONE 1 2 2 22   3 3 (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
FLY FREE 4 1 32 32   43 410¾ (triana marti)RAMOS B 117 3.50 22% 3.50 6.10  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
KARMA DE VILLE 5 5 4 58   518 566 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 4.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
 
ARP-4   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT IRENE 2 2 1     16 15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 1.20  
LADY PHYLLIS 5 3 2     26 25 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
MY MEADOW 1 1 3     3 36 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 4.70  
FLAN 3 5 44     4 411½ (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 15% 5.70 10.10  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 4 4 5     510½ 512½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 16.30  
SCR  ELEMENTAL               (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
 
ARP-5   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 1 2 1 1   12 14 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 25% 2.90 0.90 W
FLO TIME 3 4 33 2   22 24 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 4.80  
SUE ETTAS GHOST 2 3 43 46   4 312¼ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
FLIPLIT 4 5 59 512   5 414 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 5.20  
ROCKIN MARIE 5 1 2 33   34 514¾ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 49% 1.00 3.20  
 
ARP-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BIGGIE 4 5 57 47   2½ 1 (ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 W
I'M A COOL CAT 5 2 45 34   1½ 2 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 6.00 1.80  
BIG JACK 6 1 2½ 2   3 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 14% 5.90 4.70 S
GRIFTER 2 6 67 57   45 415½ (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 7.00  
GO LAKER GO 1 3 1½ 1   57 525¾ (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.10 9.50  
DANCING COSSACK 3 4 32 611   622 6118 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 15.40  
 
ARP-7   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAR ME ROAR 4 2 22     2½ 11 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 W
RETRO RITA 6 3 33     31 21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 30% 2.30 3.10 P
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 3 1 12     1½ 3 (ortega joe)LULL E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 5 5 610     43 4 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 19.20  
ABUELA CORI 2 4 55     5 510¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5.80  
YA THINK 1 6 4     65 613¼ (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 12% 7.60 17.90  
SCR  EVIE               (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :461 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS RANSOM 5 1 31 32   3½ 1hd (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.80  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 3 1nk 2½   1nk 2hd (torres-casas alex )LULL E 120 2.00 10% 9.50 2.20 P
CAJUN TRINITY 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.80 S
MANDONA 2 4 53 43   42 4 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 7.40  
MISS IZZY BEE 1 5 4 53   55 513¼ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.00  
SCR  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE               (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.