Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
ARP-3   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ARP-4   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.40  
ARP-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
ARP-6   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-7   Win (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ARP-8   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.60  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKARA 3 1 1½ 1   1½ 1 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 65% 0.50 0.10 W
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 3 32 2   2½ 2 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 12% 7.50 16.70 P
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 2 4 2½ 3   3 312¼ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 10.60  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 5 2 4 54   58 425¾ (childs russe)GONZALEZ V 124 12.00 31.10  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 1 5 53 4   4 526 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
 
ARP-3   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 3 1 12   1 1 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 W
MAYA D 2 4 54 43   2 2 (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 3.10  
I'M GONE 1 2 2 22   3 3 (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
FLY FREE 4 1 32 32   43 410¾ (triana martin)RAMOS B 117 3.50 22% 3.50 6.10  
KARMA DE VILLE 5 5 4 58   518 566 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 4.20  
 
ARP-4   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT IRENE 2 2 1     16 15 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 1.20  
LADY PHYLLIS 5 3 2     26 25 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
MY MEADOW 1 1 3     3 36 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 4.70  
FLAN 3 5 44     4 411½ (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 15% 5.70 10.10  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 4 4 5     510½ 512½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 16.30  
SCR  ELEMENTAL               (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
 
ARP-5   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 1 2 1 1   12 14 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 25% 2.90 0.90 W
FLO TIME 3 4 33 2   22 24 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 4.80  
SUE ETTAS GHOST 2 3 43 46   4 312¼ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
FLIPLIT 4 5 59 512   5 414 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 5.20  
ROCKIN MARIE 5 1 2 33   34 514¾ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 49% 1.00 3.20  
 
ARP-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BIGGIE 4 5 57 47   2½ 1 (ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 W
I'M A COOL CAT 5 2 45 34   1½ 2 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 6.00 1.80  
BIG JACK 6 1 2½ 2   3 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 14% 5.90 4.70 S
GRIFTER 2 6 67 57   45 415½ (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 7.00  
GO LAKER GO 1 3 1½ 1   57 525¾ (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.10 9.50  
DANCING COSSACK 3 4 32 611   622 6118 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 15.40  
 
ARP-7   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAR ME ROAR 4 2 22     2½ 11 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 W
RETRO RITA 6 3 33     31 21 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 30% 2.30 3.10 P
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 3 1 12     1½ 3 (ortega joe)LULL E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 5 5 610     43 4 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 19.20  
ABUELA CORI 2 4 55     5 510¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5.80  
YA THINK 1 6 4     65 613¼ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 12% 7.60 17.90  
SCR  EVIE               (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :461 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS RANSOM 5 1 31 32   3½ 1hd (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.80  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 3 1nk 2½   1nk 2hd (torres-casas j)LULL E 120 2.00 10% 9.50 2.20 P
CAJUN TRINITY 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.80 S
MANDONA 2 4 53 43   42 4 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 7.40  
MISS IZZY BEE 1 5 4 53   55 513¼ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.00  
SCR  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE               (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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