The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 1 $5.20 $5.20 -6.80
ARP-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $9.80 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.40 -4.00
    Exacta (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3-6 2 0 $10.00 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 3-6-1 3 0 $15.40 0.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(4/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-3-3 3 0 $14.20 -36.00
ARP-5   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $15.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(4/6)-(1/2/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-3-1 3 0 $16.80 -36.00
ARP-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $9.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-6 3 0 $22.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/6)-(1/2/5)-(1/4/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-1-4 3 0 $38.40 -36.00
ARP-7   Win (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
    Exacta (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-7 2 1 $7.20 $7.20 -16.80
    Trifecta (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-7-4 3 1 $42.00 $42.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/5/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 1-4-3/5 3 1 $11.60 $11.60 -60.40
ARP-8   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4 2 0 $28.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 4-3/5-6 3 0 $32.00 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKARA 3 1 1½ 1   1½ 1(barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 65% 0.50 0.10 W
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 3 32 2   2½ 2(lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 12% 7.50 16.70 P
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 2 4 2½ 3   3312¼ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 10.60  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 5 2 4 54   58 425¾ (childs russe)GONZALEZ V 124 12.00 31.10  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 1 5 53 4   4526 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
 
ARP-3   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:50
:231 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 3 1 12   11(villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 W
MAYA D 2 4 54 43   22(martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 3.10  
I'M GONE 1 2 2 22   33(triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
FLY FREE 4 1 32 32   43 410¾ (triana martin)RAMOS B 117 3.50 22% 3.50 6.10  
KARMA DE VILLE 5 5 4 58   518 566 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 4.20  
 
ARP-4   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:231 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT IRENE 2 2 1     16 15 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 1.20  
LADY PHYLLIS 5 3 2     26 25 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
MY MEADOW 1 1 3     336 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 4.70  
FLAN 3 5 44     4411½ (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 15% 5.70 10.10  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 4 4 5     510½ 512½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 16.30  
SCR  ELEMENTAL               (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
 
ARP-5   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:232 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 1 2 1 1   12 14 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 25% 2.90 0.90 W
FLO TIME 3 4 33 2   22 24 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 4.80  
SUE ETTAS GHOST 2 3 43 46   4312¼ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
FLIPLIT 4 5 59 512   5414 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 5.20  
ROCKIN MARIE 5 1 2 33   34 514¾ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 49% 1.00 3.20  
 
ARP-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:234 :474 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BIGGIE 4 5 57 47   2½ 1(ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 W
I'M A COOL CAT 5 2 45 34   1½ 2(long vaughn)WALES T 121 6.00 1.80  
BIG JACK 6 1 2½ 2   33(martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 14% 5.90 4.70 S
GRIFTER 2 6 67 57   45 415½ (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 7.00  
GO LAKER GO 1 3 1½ 1   57 525¾ (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.10 9.50  
DANCING COSSACK 3 4 32 611   622 6118 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 15.40  
 
ARP-7   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:224 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAR ME ROAR 4 2 22     2½ 11 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 W
RETRO RITA 6 3 33     31 21 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 30% 2.30 3.10 P
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 3 1 12     1½ 3(ortega joe)LULL E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 5 5 610     43 4(lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 19.20  
ABUELA CORI 2 4 55     5510¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5.80  
YA THINK 1 6 4     65 613¼ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 12% 7.60 17.90  
SCR  EVIE               (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:221 :461 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS RANSOM 5 1 31 32   3½ 1hd (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 3.80  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 3 1nk 2½   1nk 2hd (torres-casas j)LULL E 120 2.00 10% 9.50 2.20 P
CAJUN TRINITY 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 3(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.80 S
MANDONA 2 4 53 43   42 4(barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 7.40  
MISS IZZY BEE 1 5 4 53   55 513¼ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.00  
SCR  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE               (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.