Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/4)-(5/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/1/2)-(4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-7   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Jun25 Jun04 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REVOLVING out of COVETOUS by STORM DAY)
2  SPARKLE IN THE SKY Jun25 May13       (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of IN FASHION by RIVER KEEN (IRE))
3  MAKARA Jun17 Apr29 Apr19 Mar27 Nov13 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
4  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Jun25 Jun17 May21 May13 Apr01 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of ANNIE RUTLEDGE by SILVER TRAIN)
5  ITHOUGHTIKNEW Jun17 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Sep19 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
 
ARP-3   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M GONE         (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
2  MAYA D         (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SHAKEN MEMORIES by LEMON DROP KID)
3  ACES OVER DEUCES May06 Apr15       (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
4  FLY FREE         (triana marti)RAMOS B 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  KARMA DE VILLE         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
 
ARP-4   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MEADOW Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50    
SCR  ELEMENTAL Jun24 Jun18 Apr01 Mar19 Feb07 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
3  AUNT IRENE Jun18 May20 May14 Apr30 Apr14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50    
4  FLAN Jun18 May19 Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 15% 5.70    
5  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Jun17 Jun04 May29 Sep12 Aug23 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00    
6  LADY PHYLLIS Feb07 Jan24 Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
ARP-5   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LAST TE Jun17 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
2  SUE ETTAS GHOST Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLO TIME Mar19 Mar04 Oct02 Aug14 Jul17 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00    
4  FLIPLIT Jun19 Apr25 Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50    
5  ROCKIN MARIE Jun17 Apr15 Apr02     (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
ARP-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO LAKER GO Jun17 May01 Apr04 Mar18 Mar06 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  GRIFTER Jun24 May21 Apr29 Apr09 Mar21 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
3  DANCING COSSACK Jun16 Jun03 Jun11 May08 Apr07 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
4  MY MAN BIGGIE Jun17 May06 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 (ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  I'M A COOL CAT Jun24 May06 Apr15 Mar19 Nov21 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 6.00    
6  BIG JACK Jun17 May02 Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
ARP-7   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YA THINK Jun24 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 12% 7.60    
2  ABUELA CORI Sep27 Sep12 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
SCR  EVIE Jun18 Jun09 Jun04 May19 May05 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
4  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Apr02 Mar05 Aug12 Jun26 May28 (ortega joe)LULL E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEAR ME ROAR Apr30 Oct24 Aug26 Aug14 May01 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Jul01 Jun17 May14 May05 Mar24 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
7  RETRO RITA Jun18 May19 May05 Apr23 Apr07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
ARP-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS IZZY BEE Jun19 Oct03 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  MANDONA Jun19 Apr08 Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
SCR  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Jun19 May06 Apr09 Mar12 Feb05 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jun24 May01 Apr22 Mar27 Mar12 (torres-casas alex )LULL E 120 2.00 10% 9.50    
5  CAJUN TRINITY Jun24 Jun18 May13 Apr16 Mar25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  QUEENS RANSOM Jun17 May06 Apr19 Mar25 Mar14 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.