The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6-3 3 0 $73.00 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
    Exacta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-5 2 0 $13.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-5-4 3 0 $32.00 -48.00
ARP-5   Win (1/4/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $17.00 -10.00
    Exacta (1/4/6/7/8)-(1/4/6/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 5-4 2 0 $56.00 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/7/8)-(1/4/6/7/8)-(1/4/6/7/8) 60 $2.00 $120.00 5-4-1 3 0 $338.60 -120.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(3/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7/8) 60 $2.00 $120.00 4-6-5 3 0 $92.40 -120.00
ARP-6   Win (5/6/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $10.80 -10.00
    Exacta (5/6/7/9/10)-(5/6/7/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-5 2 0 $27.60 -40.00
    Trifecta (5/6/7/9/10)-(5/6/7/9/10)-(5/6/7/9/10) 60 $2.00 $120.00 2-5-4 3 0 $389.00 -120.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/9/10) 100 $2.00 $200.00 6-5-2 3 0 $146.40 -200.00
ARP-7   Win (1/4/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -4.60
    Exacta (1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-5 2 0 $33.80 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 1-5-10 3 0 $81.60 0.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 60 $2.00 $120.00 1-5-4 3 0 $110.20 -120.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/9/10)-(1/4/6/8/10) 125 $2.00 $250.00 5-2-1/2 3 0 $261.00 -250.00
ARP-8   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 0 $32.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-5-3 3 0 $125.80 -48.00
    Pick Three (5/6/7/9/10)-(1/4/6/8/10)-(4/6/7/8) 100 $2.00 $200.00 2-1/2-1/4 3 0 $83.60 -200.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :454 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMBI 4 4 44 57   31nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 33% 2.00 2.00 W
GEE WHIZ WHO 6 1 22 25   11 2nk (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 27% 2.60 1.20 P
FERRARI ROAD 3 5 3 36   42 3(muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 16.30  
POLICY LIMIT 1 6 6 610   54 4(lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 13% 6.60 10.90  
FROGGY 5 2 5 4   21 5(williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.80  
WILLIE THE MAN 2 3 12 15   6100 6100 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5.30  
 
ARP-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:224 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAYBRAY 6 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1(martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.80 0.40 W
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2(vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 3.50 8.00  
RIGHT TO SUE 4 2 3 32   34 39 (villamar ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 32% 2.20 4.30 S
TREASURE COAST 1 4 6 6   44(hibdon n)LULL E 120 10.00 7.50  
PICK A LANE FRANK 3 7 7 7   6511½ (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 15.00 9% 10.40 18.80  
BRAVO KOLT 2 5 5 5   5613½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 21.20  
J P'S WEST ACRES 7 6 4 4   7722 (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 20.00 10% 9.50 20.80  
 
ARP-5   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:214 :451 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGER NO MO 5 8 79 68   5¾ 1(deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 8.00 7.50  
A GEM IS A GEM 4 1 3 33   3.2 2(wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 18% 4.50 3.00 P
MORO APPEAL 1 4 56 5   4¼ 34 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 10.00 6% 16.50 3.30 S
PREACHER 8 5 44 4   61 4(hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.70  
ARIMONY 3 7 913 910   72 5(torres-casas alex)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.00  
CREATIVE LETTERS 6 9 811 89   868 (ibanez alberto)TORRES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 39.20  
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 9 2 2½ 21   2nk 7(hibdon mark )GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 21.70  
EZ GUESS 7 3 1½ 11   1nk 811½ (quezada zachar)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.00 11% 8.30 10.40  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 6 6 7   9914 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 10.40  
 
ARP-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:222 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCHESTER'S FINEST 2 1 1 11   13 1(rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 4.40  
EL JEFE COBB 5 5 75 6   23 2(young a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.90 P
BIG BLUE OKIE 4 8 89 813   7311½ (deisley gale)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 46.10  
CREDIT RATING 6 6 6 78   46 412¾ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 6% 15.80 30.90  
BARTSTER 8 3 4 44   5516¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 12.40  
NAPO 1 7 3 21   35 617½ (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00 42.00  
BARREL MAN 3 9 1012¼ 1018   1013 723¼ (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 6.00 13.20  
10  DALE'S ADDICTION 10 2 53 5   67 823¼ (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 39% 1.50 0.80  
BIG PEN TEN 9 10 9 914   913 925½ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 73.60  
ROCKETS AFLEET 7 4 2 3   89 1030 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
 
ARP-7   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Molly Brown Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY AREWETHEREYET 1 3 3 42   2nk 1(rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
CELEE'S LAST TE 4 2 11 1½   1nk 2(vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 20.00 4.40  
10  INTO CLASSIC 9 1 66 5   63 3(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 14% 6.10 6.00 S
JULIARD HONOR 3 5 21 2½   31 3(hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
UNPLUCKED GEM 2 4 43 3   45(rushton stacy)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 22.90  
MISS IMPORTANT 7 8 813½ 912   75 6(christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
MISFIRED 6 7 55 64   57(rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 26.20  
RED HOT MOON 8 6 7 76   86 814½ (triana ma)MARTIN A 124 4.00 11.70  
WE ALL AGREE 5 9 916½ 811   9915 (barrio sergio)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 2.00 4.20  
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-8   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:24 :471 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONAMO 3 5 5 1   12 14 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 8% 10.90 1.10 W
HOLD TIGHT 4 7 7 74   22 24 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 15.00 9.60  
TUFF WILLY TE 2 3 1½ 2   33(parsons riley)LULL E 121 4.50 4.80  
TW SKIPPING STONES 5 1 2½ 3   4411¾ (story chad)WALES T 124 4.00 44% 1.20 3.10  
I SEE CLEARLY NOW 7 4 4 43   65 515¼ (hibdon n)LUARK T 120 3.50 18% 4.70 10.80  
JU JU GUY 1 2 3 5   5616¼ (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 16.20  
SHINING SOURCE 6 6 6 6   7719¾ (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 8% 11.90 8.00  
SCR  BEDROCK               (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.