Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOMBI   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 33% 2.00 2.00 W
6  GEE WHIZ WHO   (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 27% 2.60 1.20 P
3  FERRARI ROAD   (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 16.30  
1  POLICY LIMIT   (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 13% 6.60 10.90  
5  FROGGY   (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.80  
2  WILLIE THE MAN   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5.30  
 
ARP-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRAYBRAY   (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.80 0.40 W
5  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE   (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 3.50 8.00  
4  RIGHT TO SUE   (villamar )MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 32% 2.20 4.30 S
1  TREASURE COAST   (hibdon n)LULL E 120 10.00 7.50  
3  PICK A LANE FRANK   (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 15.00 9% 10.40 18.80  
2  BRAVO KOLT   (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 21.20  
7  J P'S WEST ACRES   (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 20.00 10% 9.50 20.80  
 
ARP-5   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WAGER NO MO   (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 8.00 7.50  
4  A GEM IS A GEM   (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 18% 4.50 3.00 P
1  MORO APPEAL   (long vaughn)WALES T 124 10.00 6% 16.50 3.30 S
8  PREACHER   (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.70  
3  ARIMONY   (torres-casas al)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.00  
6  CREATIVE LETTERS   (ibanez alberto)TORRES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 39.20  
9  JUSTIN SPEIGHT   (hibdon mar)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 21.70  
7  EZ GUESS   (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.00 11% 8.30 10.40  
2  GOOSE DRANK WINE   (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 10.40  
 
ARP-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROCHESTER'S FINEST   (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 4.40  
5  EL JEFE COBB   (young a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.90 P
4  BIG BLUE OKIE   (deisley ga)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 46.10  
6  CREDIT RATING   (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 6% 15.80 30.90  
8  BARTSTER   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 12.40  
1  NAPO   (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00 42.00  
3  BARREL MAN   (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 6.00 13.20  
10  DALE'S ADDICTION   (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 39% 1.50 0.80  
9  BIG PEN TEN   (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 73.60  
7  ROCKETS AFLEET   (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
 
ARP-7   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY AREWETHEREYET   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BERNIE'S GOLD by HUNTING HARD)
5  CELEE'S LAST TE   (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 20.00 4.40  
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
10  INTO CLASSIC   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 14% 6.10 6.00 S
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISCHIEVOUS MISTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  JULIARD HONOR   (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  UNPLUCKED GEM   (rushton stac)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 22.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MINNIE APPLE IS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MISS IMPORTANT   (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUDDEN GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  MISFIRED   (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 26.20  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of FILLY ON FIRE by STORMIN FEVER)
9  RED HOT MOON   (triana juan )MARTIN A 124 4.00 11.70  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RED HOT TOPS by ARCH)
6  WE ALL AGREE   (barrio sergio)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 2.00 4.20  
  (by UNIFIED out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY   (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of DARING REALITY by INCLUDE)
 
ARP-8   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RONAMO   (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 8% 10.90 1.10 W
5  HOLD TIGHT   (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 15.00 9.60  
3  TUFF WILLY TE   (parsons riley)LULL E 121 4.50 4.80  
6  TW SKIPPING STONES   (story chad)WALES T 124 4.00 44% 1.20 3.10  
8  I SEE CLEARLY NOW   (hibdon n)LUARK T 120 3.50 18% 4.70 10.80  
2  JU JU GUY   (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 16.20  
7  SHINING SOURCE   (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 8% 11.90 8.00  
SCR  BEDROCK (GB)   (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.