Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOMBI 4 4 44 57   31½ 1nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 33% 2.00 2.00 W
6  GEE WHIZ WHO 6 1 22 25   11 2nk (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 27% 2.60 1.20 P
3  FERRARI ROAD 3 5 32½ 36   42 35½ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 16.30  
1  POLICY LIMIT 1 6 68½ 610   54 45¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 13% 6.60 10.90  
5  FROGGY 5 2 54½ 46½   21 56½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.80  
2  WILLIE THE MAN 2 3 12 15   6100 6100 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5.30  
 
ARP-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRAYBRAY 6 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 11¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.80 0.40 W
5  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 21¼ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 3.50 8.00  
4  RIGHT TO SUE 4 2 31½ 32   34 39 (villamar )MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 32% 2.20 4.30 S
1  TREASURE COAST 1 4 63¾ 63¾   44¼ 49½ (hibdon n)LULL E 120 10.00 7.50  
3  PICK A LANE FRANK 3 7 79¾ 76¼   66¼ 511½ (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 15.00 9% 10.40 18.80  
2  BRAVO KOLT 2 5 53½ 53¾   56¼ 613½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 21.20  
7  J P'S WEST ACRES 7 6 42½ 42¼   78¼ 722 (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 20.00 10% 9.50 20.80  
 
ARP-5   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:214 :451 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WAGER NO MO 5 8 79 68   5¾ 12¾ (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 8.00 7.50  
4  A GEM IS A GEM 4 1 33½ 33   3.2 22¾ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 18% 4.50 3.00 P
1  MORO APPEAL 1 4 56 56½   4¼ 34 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 10.00 6% 16.50 3.30 S
8  PREACHER 8 5 44 43½   61 45½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.70  
3  ARIMONY 3 7 913 910   72 55½ (torres-casas al)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.00  
6  CREATIVE LETTERS 6 9 811 89   82½ 68 (ibanez alberto)TORRES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 39.20  
9  JUSTIN SPEIGHT 9 2 2½ 21   2nk 79¾ (hibdon mar)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 21.70  
7  EZ GUESS 7 3 1½ 11   1nk 811½ (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.00 11% 8.30 10.40  
2  GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 6 67½ 78½   96½ 914 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 10.40  
 
ARP-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROCHESTER'S FINEST 2 1 11½ 11   13 14¾ (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 4.40  
5  EL JEFE COBB 5 5 75 66½   23 24¾ (young a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 30% 2.40 2.90 P
4  BIG BLUE OKIE 4 8 89 813   77½ 311½ (deisley ga)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 46.10  
6  CREDIT RATING 6 6 63½ 78   46 412¾ (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 6% 15.80 30.90  
8  BARTSTER 8 3 42½ 44   56½ 516¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 12.40  
1  NAPO 1 7 31½ 21   35 617½ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00 42.00  
3  BARREL MAN 3 9 1012¼ 1018   1013 723¼ (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 6.00 13.20  
10  DALE'S ADDICTION 10 2 53 54½   67 823¼ (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 39% 1.50 0.80  
9  BIG PEN TEN 9 10 99¼ 914   913 925½ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 73.60  
7  ROCKETS AFLEET 7 4 21½ 32½   89 1030 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
 
ARP-7   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY AREWETHEREYET 1 3 31½ 42   2nk 13¾ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BERNIE'S GOLD by HUNTING HARD)
5  CELEE'S LAST TE 4 2 11 1½   1nk 23¾ (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 20.00 4.40  
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
10  INTO CLASSIC 9 1 66 53½   63 37¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 14% 6.10 6.00 S
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISCHIEVOUS MISTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  JULIARD HONOR 3 5 21 2½   31 37¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  UNPLUCKED GEM 2 4 43 31½   41½ 57¼ (rushton stac)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 22.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MINNIE APPLE IS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MISS IMPORTANT 7 8 813½ 912   75 69¼ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUDDEN GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  MISFIRED 6 7 55 64   52½ 79¾ (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 26.20  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of FILLY ON FIRE by STORMIN FEVER)
9  RED HOT MOON 8 6 77½ 76   86 814½ (triana juan )MARTIN A 124 4.00 11.70  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RED HOT TOPS by ARCH)
6  WE ALL AGREE 5 9 916½ 811   96½ 915 (barrio sergio)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 2.00 4.20  
  (by UNIFIED out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of DARING REALITY by INCLUDE)
 
ARP-8   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RONAMO 3 5 51¾ 11½   12 14 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 8% 10.90 1.10 W
5  HOLD TIGHT 4 7 74¾ 74   22 24 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 15.00 9.60  
3  TUFF WILLY TE 2 3 1½ 21½   33½ 39¾ (parsons riley)LULL E 121 4.50 4.80  
6  TW SKIPPING STONES 5 1 2½ 32½   43½ 411¾ (story chad)WALES T 124 4.00 44% 1.20 3.10  
8  I SEE CLEARLY NOW 7 4 41½ 43   65 515¼ (hibdon n)LUARK T 120 3.50 18% 4.70 10.80  
2  JU JU GUY 1 2 31½ 53½   54½ 616¼ (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 16.20  
7  SHINING SOURCE 6 6 62¾ 63½   76½ 719¾ (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 8% 11.90 8.00  
SCR  BEDROCK (GB)               (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.