Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-3   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (8/4/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-6   Win (10/5/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-7   Win (6/1/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-8   Win (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ARP-3   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY LIMIT May13 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
2  WILLIE THE MAN Jun17 May27 May20 May05 Apr15 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
3  FERRARI ROAD Jul03 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Apr08 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
4  TOMBI Jul03 Jun19 Mar31 Feb25 Oct02 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 33% 2.00    
5  FROGGY Jul03 May09 Apr11 Mar28 Mar06 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
6  GEE WHIZ WHO Jul03 Apr29 Mar11 Oct01 Aug23 (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 27% 2.60    
 
ARP-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE COAST Jul03 Jun10 May28 Apr30 Apr11 (hibdon n)LULL E 120 10.00    
2  BRAVO KOLT Jul02 May19 Apr08 Feb25 Sep23 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
3  PICK A LANE FRANK Dec13 Nov09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 15.00 9% 10.40    
4  RIGHT TO SUE Jul02 Jun17 May01 Apr17 Mar25 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
5  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Jul02 Oct01 Sep11 Aug15   (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 3.50    
6  BRAYBRAY Jun17 Mar06 Feb14 Jan09 Nov15 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
7  J P'S WEST ACRES Oct01 Aug30       (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 20.00 10% 9.50    
 
ARP-5   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO APPEAL Jun25 May13 Apr16 Apr08 Dec13 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
2  GOOSE DRANK WINE Jun17 May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
3  ARIMONY Jun25 May01 Mar08 Feb20 Feb11 (torres-casas alex)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
4  A GEM IS A GEM Jun17 May13 Apr29 Mar04 Feb19 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  WAGER NO MO Jul01 May06 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
6  CREATIVE LETTERS Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr15 Mar11 (ibanez alberto)TORRES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EZ GUESS Jul01 Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar25 (quezada zachar)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
8  PREACHER Jun25 Jun17 May13 Apr15 Mar18 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
9  JUSTIN SPEIGHT May27 May05 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPO Jun18 May27 Apr02 May06   (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00    
2  ROCHESTER'S FINEST Jun19 May06 Apr16 Feb07 Nov21 (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50    
3  BARREL MAN Jul02         (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 6.00    
4  BIG BLUE OKIE Jun19 May13       (deisley gale)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00    
5  EL JEFE COBB Jul02 Sep27 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 (young a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  CREDIT RATING         (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00 6% 15.80    
7  ROCKETS AFLEET Jun19 May13 Apr23     (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BARTSTER Jun19 Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 Jul24 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00    
9  BIG PEN TEN Jun19 Apr12 Jan28     (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  DALE'S ADDICTION Jul02 May01 Feb13 Jul16 May06 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
ARP-7   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY AREWETHEREYET Jun24 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Aug27 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 Oct27 Oct02 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
3  UNPLUCKED GEM Jul03 Jun18 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 (rushton stacy)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
4  JULIARD HONOR Jul10 Jun24 May19 May06 Apr08 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CELEE'S LAST TE Jul08 Jun17 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 20.00    
6  WE ALL AGREE Jul10 May06 Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 (barrio sergio)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  MISFIRED Jun24 Nov22 Sep18 Jul24 Jul10 (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50    
8  MISS IMPORTANT Jun04 Apr17 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  RED HOT MOON Jun10 May14 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 (triana ma)MARTIN A 124 4.00    
10  INTO CLASSIC Jun17 Apr25 Apr11 Feb11 Nov15 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
ARP-8   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEDROCK (GB) Jun19 Jun03 Apr26 Apr17 Mar27 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
2  JU JU GUY Jul02 Mar04 Oct04 Sep19 Sep04 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
3  TUFF WILLY TE Jun18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 (parsons riley)LULL E 121 4.50    
4  RONAMO Jul02 Jun19 Apr26 Mar14 Feb28 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 8% 10.90    
5  HOLD TIGHT Apr24 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
6  TW SKIPPING STONES Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 May07 (story chad)WALES T 124 4.00 44% 1.20    
7  SHINING SOURCE May20 Apr22 Apr08 Jan31 Aug07 (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 8% 11.90    
8  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Jun18 May28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.