Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-7   WIN (2/5/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $14.00 $4.00 40%
    EXA (2/5/4/6/9)-(2/5/4/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $82.40 $42.40 106%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY BOULEVARD 6 1 5 6   11 1 (moreno carlos)WALES T 124 2.00 36% 1.80 0.50 W
PODEROSO EQUS 4 2 33 3   4 2 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.20 8.20 P
KICK IT 1 4 22 22   3 3 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 23.00  
LIL LATIGO 3 3 12 12   21 4 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 15.00  
GRAND ROYALE 5 6 4 5   5 510¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 6.60 2.20  
CLIFTON PARK 2 5 65 44   66 621¼ (williams st)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 16.10  
SCR  GIO SAMMY               (chavez veron)MARTIN A 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
ARP-4   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO LUNA 1 3 1½ 1½   1 1 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 2.50 29% 2.40 0.70 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
INCREDIBE MO 5 7 62 43   32 2 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 3.20  
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
LINEARSPEED 7 1 2½ 2½   2 3 (barraza s)WALES T 124 6.00 4.60  
  (by BLAME out of JULIE BE GOOD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
ORO 8 2 31 32   4 411½ (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 44% 1.30 9.10  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
SWAY BACK WHEN 3 5 77 77   5 516 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
  (by MAIMONIDES out of RUNAWAY ZIA by RUNAWAY GROOM)
TIZKANDOIT 6 8 811 8   77 616½ (shipp micha)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
GOSPEL PIPELINER 2 6 4 55   66 721¼ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 56.00  
  (by WICKED B. HAVIOR out of MOLLYISINTHECLOUDS by CLOUD HOPPING)
COMFORT KISS 4 4 52 6   8 826¾ (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00 49.60  
  (by COMFORT out of SOUL KISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 9 9 911¼ 9   910½ 929¼ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 32.80  
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
 
ARP-5   07/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST REMEMBER 3 5 2½ 11   12 1½ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 6.00 4.40  
CALL THE SHOTS 4 3 5 4   22 2½ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 1.20  
LA ROSA DRIVE 1 1 1½ 21   3 3 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 28% 2.50 4.90 S
KALLINIKI 6 2 31 32   4 413¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 3.50 5.40  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 5 6 6 6   6 522¼ (lavanway d)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
OUT OF THE SKY 2 4 42 53   57 628¾ (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 41% 1.40 5.70  
 
ARP-6   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK NAZTY 6 2 3½ 2nk   12 18 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 54% 0.90 0.30 W
WEBCAM 2 6 42 4   4 28 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00 8.90  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 3 2nk 3.2   32 311 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 10% 9.40 10.40 S
CLAIMJUMPER 1 5 610 6   6 411¾ (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 8% 11.90 17.10  
PARABELLUM 4 4 54 5   5 511¾ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 21.00  
RIGHT ON TIME 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 612¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 3.80  
 
ARP-7   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE 5 6 32 3   2½ 1 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00 8% 12.00 6.00 W
JULIARD HONOR 4 2 2½ 1½   1½ 2 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 9% 9.90 5.90 P
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 7 8 810 87   3 3 (stivers j)WALES T 124 8.00 3.20  
DIRT FLIRT 1 7 5 54   5 4 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 10.00 6.00  
PICTORIAL 2 5 43 4   42 5 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.50  
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 3 4 76 7   6 6 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 3.70  
PEGGY B FAST 6 3 6 66   85 78 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16.20  
ALWAYS A TIZ 8 1 1½ 2½   7 814¼ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 7% 12.60 38.20  
SCR  RACHIE RACH               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
ARP-8   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 4 8 914 9   54 1¼ (story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 5.00  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 5 6 66 6   43 2¼ (barraza s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.30  
QUICKTRIP VAN 3 3 2½ 1½   1½ 3¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 58% 0.70 4.00 S
JONO 6 1 3 2½   2½ 4 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
WHEELER DEALER 2 4 54 5   3 5 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 4.50 18.40  
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 9 5 77 7   7 6 (garrett j)JOURNET JARRED 121 6.00 4.40  
KNIGHTED 7 7 810 8   66 77 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
TOO LATE 8 2 4 42   8 826¼ (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 12% 7.50 3.80  
LEFT THE BAR 1 9 1½ 3   910 930 (kenney dan)LULL E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.