Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-4   Win (8/1/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ARP-5   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.80  
ARP-6   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
ARP-7   Win (2/5/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 4.00
ARP-8   Win (3/8/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $12.00  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY BOULEVARD 6 1 5 6   11 1 (moreno carlos)WALES T 124 2.00 36% 1.80 0.50 W
PODEROSO EQUS 4 2 33 3   4 2 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.20 8.20 P
KICK IT 1 4 22 22   3 3 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 23.00  
LIL LATIGO 3 3 12 12   21 4 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 15.00  
GRAND ROYALE 5 6 4 5   5 510¼ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 6.60 2.20  
CLIFTON PARK 2 5 65 44   66 621¼ (williams stev)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 16.10  
SCR  GIO SAMMY               (chavez veronic)MARTIN A 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
ARP-4   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO LUNA 1 3 1½ 1½   1 1 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 2.50 29% 2.40 0.70 W
INCREDIBE MO 5 7 62 43   32 2 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.50 3.20  
LINEARSPEED 7 1 2½ 2½   2 3 (barraza s)WALES T 124 6.00 4.60  
ORO 8 2 31 32   4 411½ (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 44% 1.30 9.10  
SWAY BACK WHEN 3 5 77 77   5 516 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
TIZKANDOIT 6 8 811 8   77 616½ (shipp michael)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
GOSPEL PIPELINER 2 6 4 55   66 721¼ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 56.00  
COMFORT KISS 4 4 52 6   8 826¾ (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00 49.60  
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 9 9 911¼ 9   910½ 929¼ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 32.80  
 
ARP-5   07/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST REMEMBER 3 5 2½ 11   12 1½ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 6.00 4.40  
CALL THE SHOTS 4 3 5 4   22 2½ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 1.20  
LA ROSA DRIVE 1 1 1½ 21   3 3 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 28% 2.50 4.90 S
KALLINIKI 6 2 31 32   4 413¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 3.50 5.40  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 5 6 6 6   6 522¼ (lavanway day)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
OUT OF THE SKY 2 4 42 53   57 628¾ (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 41% 1.40 5.70  
 
ARP-6   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK NAZTY 6 2 3½ 2nk   12 18 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 54% 0.90 0.30 W
WEBCAM 2 6 42 4   4 28 (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00 8.90  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 3 2nk 3.2   32 311 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 10% 9.40 10.40 S
CLAIMJUMPER 1 5 610 6   6 411¾ (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 8% 11.90 17.10  
PARABELLUM 4 4 54 5   5 511¾ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 21.00  
RIGHT ON TIME 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 612¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 3.80  
 
ARP-7   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE 5 6 32 3   2½ 1 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00 8% 12.00 6.00 W
JULIARD HONOR 4 2 2½ 1½   1½ 2 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 9% 9.90 5.90 P
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 7 8 810 87   3 3 (stivers j)WALES T 124 8.00 3.20  
DIRT FLIRT 1 7 5 54   5 4 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 10.00 6.00  
PICTORIAL 2 5 43 4   42 5 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.50  
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 3 4 76 7   6 6 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 3.70  
PEGGY B FAST 6 3 6 66   85 78 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16.20  
ALWAYS A TIZ 8 1 1½ 2½   7 814¼ (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 7% 12.60 38.20  
SCR  RACHIE RACH               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
ARP-8   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 4 8 914 9   54 1¼ (story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 5.00  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 5 6 66 6   43 2¼ (barraza sos)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.30  
QUICKTRIP VAN 3 3 2½ 1½   1½ 3¾ (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 3.50 58% 0.70 4.00 S
JONO 6 1 3 2½   2½ 4 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
WHEELER DEALER 2 4 54 5   3 5 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 4.50 18.40  
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 9 5 77 7   7 6 (garrett j)JOURNET JARRED 121 6.00 4.40  
KNIGHTED 7 7 810 8   66 77 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
TOO LATE 8 2 4 42   8 826¼ (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 12% 7.50 3.80  
LEFT THE BAR 1 9 1½ 3   910 930 (kenney dan)LULL E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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