Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(8/1/3/2/6)-(2/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ARP-4   WIN (8/1/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6)-(8/1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/2/6)-(2/1/5)-(6/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/3/1)-(2/4/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(2/4/6/9)-(3/8/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (3/8/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT Jun25 Jun19 May07 Mar27 Mar05 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00    
2  CLIFTON PARK Dec13 Nov30 Oct16 Sep25 Sep05 (williams st)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
3  LIL LATIGO Jul02 Jun19 Apr01 Mar27 Mar18 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
4  PODEROSO EQUS Jul02 Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  GRAND ROYALE Mar28 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  VICTORY BOULEVARD Jun18 Apr26 Apr15 Mar27 Feb28 (moreno carlos)WALES T 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GIO SAMMY May19 May06 Apr15 Jan23 Jan03 (chavez veron)MARTIN A 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
ARP-4   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCO LUNA Jun19 Dec10 Nov12 Aug20   (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
2  GOSPEL PIPELINER Jul02 Nov08 Oct20 Aug27   (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED B. HAVIOR out of MOLLYISINTHECLOUDS by CLOUD HOPPING)
3  SWAY BACK WHEN Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Jul18 Jul11 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of RUNAWAY ZIA by RUNAWAY GROOM)
4  COMFORT KISS Apr02 Mar12 Feb07     (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00    
  (by COMFORT out of SOUL KISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  INCREDIBE MO Jun19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Aug29 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
6  TIZKANDOIT May08         (shipp micha)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  LINEARSPEED Jun19         (barraza s)WALES T 124 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of JULIE BE GOOD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  ORO Jun22 Jun01 May25     (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
9  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Jun19 May20 May06 Apr23 Apr14 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
 
ARP-5   07/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA ROSA DRIVE Oct03 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 28% 2.50    
2  OUT OF THE SKY Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 41% 1.40    
3  JUST REMEMBER Sep25 Aug22 Aug01     (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 6.00    
4  CALL THE SHOTS Jun24 May12 Apr30 Mar03 Oct03 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
5  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jul01 Jun18 May13 Apr01 Mar25 (lavanway d)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KALLINIKI Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Aug28 Aug18 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
 
ARP-6   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIMJUMPER Jun24 Sep20 Sep04 Aug29 Aug15 (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 8% 11.90    
2  WEBCAM Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 Aug29 Aug09 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Jun24 Jun17 May05 Mar26 Mar18 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
4  PARABELLUM Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
5  RIGHT ON TIME Jun19 May20 Sep08 Aug03 May07 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
6  CHUCK NAZTY Jan14 Dec13 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 54% 0.90    
 
ARP-7   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRT FLIRT Mar29 Feb22 Jan28 Jan09 Dec14 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 10.00    
2  PICTORIAL Jun17 May13 Apr16 Aug29 Aug15 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Jun17 Sep27 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
4  JULIARD HONOR Jun24 May19 May06 Apr08 Mar11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  RACHIE RACH Jun24 May12 Apr14 Mar31 Feb26 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  WE ALL AGREE May06 Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Mar12 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
7  PEGGY B FAST Jun18 May07 Apr22 Feb21 Nov21 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
8  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Jun18 Apr17 Mar19 Mar01 Nov30 (stivers j)WALES T 124 8.00    
9  ALWAYS A TIZ May29 May19 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 7% 12.60    
 
ARP-8   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFT THE BAR Jun25 Apr22 Apr05 Feb28 Feb07 (kenney dan)LULL E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHEELER DEALER Jun23 Jun03 Oct04 Sep11 Aug28 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 4.50    
3  QUICKTRIP VAN Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
4  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Apr25 Mar28 Mar06 Feb19 Apr20 (story chad)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00    
5  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Jun17 May01 Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 (barraza s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
6  JONO Jun19 May05 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KNIGHTED Jun19 May20 May13 Apr15 Apr01 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TOO LATE Jun24 Jun11 May22 Apr15 Apr01 (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
9  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Feb28 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May02 (garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.