Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
ARP-3   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
ARP-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.60  
ARP-5   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
ARP-6   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40
ARP-7   Win (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $94.20  
ARP-8   Win (1/4/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME BID 1 2 1½     11 1¾ (barraza rami)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 2.70 W
A GEM IS A GEM 3 4 5     43 2¾ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50 2.20  
LAUNCHED 6 3 2½     21 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 7.90  
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 2 1 31     33 4 (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
SEEULATERGATOR 5 5 4     54 5 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 17% 4.70 1.30  
CREATIVE LETTERS 4 6 6     65 6 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 22.20  
 
ARP-3   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :592     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY MISSION 4 2 2nk 1   15 110¾ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 115 6.00 24% 3.10 3.30 W
SILENCE'S NATION 5 1 1nk 2   25 210¾ (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 4.50 14% 6.20 3.70 P
RUNNIN BUFFALO 2 4 5 58   410½ 320 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 33% 2.00 4.50 S
MAJOR TIMING 1 3 4 47   310 421¾ (parsons riley)WALES T 124 3.50 6.20  
WALKIN TALKIN BOB 3 5 3 3   511 540¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 1.10  
 
ARP-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLI STARR 2 3 11 1   12 1¾ (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 4.00 5.30  
DOZO 6 1 3 2   22 2¾ (christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50 40% 1.50 5.20 P
NEW YEARS LOVE 5 2 21 3   4 3 (jenkins l)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.50 1.20 S
AUNT IRENE 3 5 64 6   54 4 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 8.80  
SWEET TATUM 1 4 4 42   3 5 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 14% 6.20 4.50  
RAGING LADY 4 6 53 5   68 615¾ (torres-casa)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.10  
 
ARP-5   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL SLIPPERS 4 2 11 1½   1nk 1¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
TRULY A MESS 1 4 3 4   31 2¾ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.50 10.90  
DREAMER GIRL 5 1 21 2½   2nk 3¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
WHISTLING HOME 3 3 5 5   4 42 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 31% 2.30 1.40  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 2 5 42 3   5 511½ (torres-casa)MEDINA ANGEL 120 15.00 10.00  
 
ARP-6   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:132     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PODEROSO EQUS 6 2 1½ 1½   14 1 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.70 7.20 W
RANCHER 1 7 78 5   35 2 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 10.20  
TOMBI 4 5 4 32   4 311½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.90 S
GOLD NOTE 3 4 5 7   5 411¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.70  
MASTERPIECE DAY 7 1 2½ 2½   24 513¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 4.40  
KICK IT 5 6 32 4   68 617¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00 26.90  
ARIMONY 2 3 66 6   78 720¾ (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 4.50 28% 2.60 1.70  
SCR  ONOMATOPOEIA               (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME SPACE 1 5 42 5   1 1 (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 46.10  
KEENEYE GEORGE 3 2 2nk 2nk   43 2 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 17% 5.00 2.80 P
PRINCE OTTO 6 7 5 32   2 310¼ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 30% 2.30 4.40 S
OH SNAP 5 6 8 8   7 410½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 13.50  
MY PAL 8 1 6 7   33 511¼ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 19% 4.20 0.80  
PARABELLUM 2 4 1nk 1nk   54 613¾ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 14.60  
CLAIMJUMPER 7 8 7 4   65 718¾ (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 13.40  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 4 3 3 6   8 824 (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 15.00 7% 13.70 32.40  
 
ARP-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 6 34 34   2nk 1 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 12% 7.40 2.20 W
COWGIRLLOVER 1 5 12 12   1nk 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 55% 0.80 1.30 P
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 9 3 22 22   3.2 34 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 10.20  
WHEREDIDITGO 6 8 6 57   4 4 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 115 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 8 9 1013¼ 1012½   8 513¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 47.20  
10  BIG CREEK FIRE 10 4 55 47   5 614¾ (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 17.30  
PIZZA GIRL 3 1 44 7   6 714¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ V 117 15.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 2 10 8 69   7 819 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 5 7 7 912   1010¼ 920¼ (childs russell)MARTIN A 124 20.00 35.70  
DANGERELLA 7 2 9 811½   9 1020½ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 10.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.