Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
ARP-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $30.40 $18.40 153%
ARP-6   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $16.40 $8.40 105%
ARP-7   PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/3/4/6)-(6/8/3/4) 48 $2.00 $96.00  4-6-ALL $296.00 $200.00 208%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME BID 1 2 1½     11 1¾ (barraza ra)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80 2.70 W
3  A GEM IS A GEM 3 4 53½     43 2¾ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 3.50 2.20  
6  LAUNCHED 6 3 2½     21 34¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 7.90  
2  JUSTIN SPEIGHT 2 1 31     33 44¼ (hibdon mar)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
5  SEEULATERGATOR 5 5 42½     54 54½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 17% 4.70 1.30  
4  CREATIVE LETTERS 4 6 67½     65 65¼ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 22.20  
 
ARP-3   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :592     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOLY MISSION 4 2 2nk 12½   15 110¾ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 115 6.00 24% 3.10 3.30 W
  (by VICE LORD out of ON MY MISSION by NO STORMS)
5  SILENCE'S NATION 5 1 1nk 22½   25 210¾ (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 4.50 14% 6.20 3.70 P
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
2  RUNNIN BUFFALO 2 4 53¾ 58   410½ 320 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 33% 2.00 4.50 S
  (by ELMAZEED out of LANA'S LEGACY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  MAJOR TIMING 1 3 43½ 47   310 421¾ (parsons riley)WALES T 124 3.50 6.20  
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of PERFECT FINESSE by PERFECT MANDATE)
3  WALKIN TALKIN BOB 3 5 31½ 36½   511 540¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 1.10  
  (by GRAND MINSTREL out of CAPTIVATING CATHY by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
ARP-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MILLI STARR 2 3 11 11½   12 1¾ (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 4.00 5.30  
6  DOZO 6 1 31½ 21½   22 2¾ (christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50 40% 1.50 5.20 P
5  NEW YEARS LOVE 5 2 21 31½   42½ 31¼ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.50 1.20 S
3  AUNT IRENE 3 5 64 63¾   54 42¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 8.80  
1  SWEET TATUM 1 4 41½ 42   32½ 54¾ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 14% 6.20 4.50  
4  RAGING LADY 4 6 53 53½   68 615¾ (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.10  
 
ARP-5   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS 4 2 11 1½   1nk 1¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
1  TRULY A MESS 1 4 31½ 41½   31 2¾ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 10.90  
5  DREAMER GIRL 5 1 21 2½   2nk 3¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
3  WHISTLING HOME 3 3 52½ 51¾   41½ 42 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 31% 2.30 1.40  
2  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 2 5 42 31½   53½ 511½ (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 120 15.00 10.00  
 
ARP-6   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:132     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PODEROSO EQUS 6 2 1½ 1½   14 19¾ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.70 7.20 W
1  RANCHER 1 7 78 53½   35 29¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 10.20  
4  TOMBI 4 5 42½ 32   45½ 311½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.90 S
3  GOLD NOTE 3 4 54½ 74½   56½ 411¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.70  
8  MASTERPIECE DAY 7 1 2½ 2½   24 513¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 4.40  
5  KICK IT 5 6 32 42½   68 617¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00 26.90  
2  ARIMONY 2 3 66 64½   78 720¾ (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 4.50 28% 2.60 1.70  
SCR  ONOMATOPOEIA               (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMME SPACE 1 5 42 52¾   12½ 17½ (childs g)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 46.10  
3  KEENEYE GEORGE 3 2 2nk 2nk   43 27½ (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 4.50 17% 5.00 2.80 P
6  PRINCE OTTO 6 7 52¼ 32   22½ 310¼ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 30% 2.30 4.40 S
5  OH SNAP 5 6 87¼ 89¼   75½ 410½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 13.50  
8  MY PAL 8 1 64¼ 76¼   33 511¼ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 19% 4.20 0.80  
2  PARABELLUM 2 4 1nk 1nk   54 613¾ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 14.60  
7  CLAIMJUMPER 7 8 74¾ 42½   65 718¾ (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 13.40  
4  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 4 3 31½ 64¼   87½ 824 (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 15.00 7% 13.70 32.40  
 
ARP-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 6 34 34   2nk 12½ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 12% 7.40 2.20 W
1  COWGIRLLOVER 1 5 12 12   1nk 22½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 55% 0.80 1.30 P
9  SPARKLE IN THE SKY 9 3 22 22   3.2 34 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 10.20  
6  WHEREDIDITGO 6 8 65¼ 57   43¼ 47½ (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 115 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
8  KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 8 9 1013¼ 1012½   88¼ 513¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 47.20  
10  BIG CREEK FIRE 10 4 55 47   55¼ 614¾ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 17.30  
3  PIZZA GIRL 3 1 44 79½   67¼ 714¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ V 117 15.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
2  ATHENIAN PRINCESS 2 10 87¼ 69   77¾ 819 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
5  ITHOUGHTIKNEW 5 7 75¾ 912   1010¼ 920¼ (childs russe)MARTIN A 124 20.00 35.70  
7  DANGERELLA 7 2 99¼ 811½   99¼ 1020½ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 10.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.