The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 1 $13.00 $13.00 1.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4-1 3 1 $22.40 $22.40 10.40
ARP-2   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-5 2 1 $12.40 $12.40 -11.60
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 3-5-4 3 1 $45.20 $45.20 -2.80
ARP-3   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $20.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $46.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4-1 3 0 $154.40 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 -5.60
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5-1 3 0 $19.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4)-(3/5/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 3-5-6 3 0 $114.00 -72.00
ARP-5   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
    Exacta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-6 2 0 $42.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-6-7 3 0 $68.00 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/3/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 5-6-5 3 0 $138.00 -72.00
ARP-6   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $37.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4-5 3 0 $1325.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/3/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 6-5-1 3 1 $23.20 $23.20 -48.80
ARP-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $2.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $3.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 5-1-2 3 0 $28.40 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:233 :471 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A COOL CAT 3 1 31 3.2   1111½ (long vaughn)WALES T 121 2.50 18% 4.60 0.80 W
CENTAURUS 4 6 52 4   2211½ (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.00 28% 2.50 4.40 P
THE RONALD 1 4 1nk 1nk   3314½ (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 26% 2.90 2.60 S
GOSPEL BONANZA 2 3 2nk 2nk   4419¼ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 6.10  
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 6 5 6 6   57 527¼ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 12.00 18.20  
KATRAKA 5 2 4 5   612 644¼ (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 22.80  
 
ARP-2   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:222 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN HALO 3 5 24     2½ 14 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 14% 6.10 1.40 W
EXTRA SAUCE 5 4 36     31 24 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 51% 0.90 2.80 P
PRECIOUS ONE 4 1 5     43 34 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 7 2 14     1½ 4(ortega joe)LULL E 121 3.50 12% 7.30 2.40  
NOBLE PRESENT 1 3 48     54 57 (chavez veronic)MARTIN A 124 15.00 34.10  
WEST COAST ANDY 2 7 610     66 69 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00 32.30  
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 6 6 712     7710¼ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 22.40  
 
ARP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:23 :47 1:003     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON T. 5 4 43 43   32 1nk (young a)TORRES J 124 8.00 9.00  
RETRO RITA 4 2 1 12   12nk (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 48% 1.10 0.80 P
YA THINK 1 3 2 22   23(triana martin)RAMOS B 117 10.00 22% 3.50 9.90 S
PASSION RIDE 3 5 55 55   44 4(young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 16.70  
TALLANDLONG 6 1 32 3   55 5(burns dale)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 7.70  
GOSPEL FAITH 2 6 630 635   640 681½ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 2.10  
 
ARP-4   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:222 :453 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY NOW 6 3 3.2 3.2   11 1(kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 21% 3.80 0.50 W
ONE STEP AWAY 5 2 2nk 1nk   21 2(kemper kerry)LULL E 124 3.50 41% 1.40 3.00 P
CHAMPS SUCCESS 1 5 4 4   43 3(moreno carl)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 9.30  
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 3 1 1nk 2nk   34(rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 15% 5.70 5.10  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 6 6 6   57 513 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 22.70  
BRON AND THE BROW 4 4 5 5   611 624½ (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 19.30  
 
ARP-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:231 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA ROSA DRIVE 5 1 2nk 1nk   11 1(chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 7% 13.20 1.10 W
LADY PHYLLIS 6 2 3 3.2   21 2(torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 8.00 11.80  
REMARKABLE CHARM 7 3 6 6   33(roberts m)WALES T 124 2.50 1.50  
IMA FINAL DE BUY 4 4 1nk 2nk   44(loftin linda)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 24.60  
SNICKEL TE 1 6 7 7   65 5(vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 72% 0.40 6.30  
HIGH VALUE TARGET 2 7 42 4   5613¼ (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
KALLINIKI 3 5 5 5   77 720¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 
ARP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:233 :462 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY 1 4 11 11   12 111½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 22% 3.60 0.50 W
SUE ETTAS GHOST 4 1 43 4   33 211½ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 31.20  
ROCKIN MARIE 5 2 21 21   22 312¾ (long vaughn)LUARK T 121 15.00 15% 5.70 12.40 S
FLIPLIT 2 5 65 610   66 417½ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 6.00 42.40  
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 3 6 5 54   4518½ (stivers j)WALES T 124 4.50 36% 1.80 4.30  
FLO TIME 6 3 31 3   5620½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 2.80  
 
ARP-7   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Front Range Purse ($21.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:232 :463 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 2 2 32 3   1½ 1(martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 0.40  
TRUTH SEEKER 5 3 58 57   32(barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 67% 0.50 2.10 P
TULSA TIME 4 1 1 11   2½ 3(vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 11.60  
SWEET MEDICINE 3 4 44 44   4414½ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
RAMBLIN' MAN 1 5 2 21   5519¼ (kenney dan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 6% 14.80 8.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.