Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-2   Win (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-3   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-7   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-1   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RONALD Jun19 Apr18 Mar12 Feb20 Jan05 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
GOSPEL BONANZA Jul02 May17 May10 Apr24   (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
I'M A COOL CAT Jul08 Jun24 May06 Apr15 Mar19 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
CENTAURUS Jun19 Mar04 Feb06 Jan03 Aug28 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
KATRAKA Dec19 Dec01 Oct17 Aug24 Jun30 (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Jul09 Jun19 Apr28 Oct01   (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 12.00    
 
ARP-2   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE PRESENT Jul01 May19 May14 Apr02 Mar25 (chavez veronic)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
WEST COAST ANDY Jul01 Jun17 Apr22 Apr12 Apr01 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00    
STOLEN HALO Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Apr25 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
PRECIOUS ONE May05 Apr18 Mar18 Feb20 Jan17 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EXTRA SAUCE Jul01 May05 Apr12 Mar27 Feb25 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
PRAIRIE FIREBALL Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 May14 May05 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50    
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Aug12 Jun26 (ortega joe)LULL E 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
 
ARP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YA THINK Jul08 Jun24 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (triana martin)RAMOS B 117 10.00 22% 3.50    
GOSPEL FAITH Mar06 Dec02 Nov07 Oct12 Sep30 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PASSION RIDE Jul01 Mar28 Jan31     (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
RETRO RITA Jul08 Jun18 May19 May05 Apr23 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
CRIMSON T. Jul01 Jun17 May14 Apr30 Mar26 (young a)TORRES J 124 8.00    
TALLANDLONG Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 May14 Apr30 (burns dale)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50    
 
ARP-4   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPS SUCCESS Jun24 Mar07 Jan11 May16 Apr26 (moreno carl)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Apr22 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00    
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Jul02 Jun18 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
BRON AND THE BROW May06 Mar25 Mar19 Feb18 Jan17 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
ONE STEP AWAY Jul02         (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
HEY NOW Jul02 Apr26 Apr17 Mar18 Aug06 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
ARP-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKEL TE Jul09 Jun18 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 72% 0.40    
HIGH VALUE TARGET Jul02 Apr22 Apr07 Apr01 Mar17 (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KALLINIKI Jul10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Aug28 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
IMA FINAL DE BUY Sep26 Sep12       (loftin linda)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
LA ROSA DRIVE Jul10 Oct03 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 3.50 7% 13.20    
LADY PHYLLIS Jul08 Feb07 Jan24 Nov30 Nov14 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 8.00    
REMARKABLE CHARM Jun24 May19 Apr22 Apr07 Mar24 (roberts m)WALES T 124 2.50    
 
ARP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY Jul03 Jun18 May06 Mar24 Mar11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
FLIPLIT Jul08 Jun19 Apr25 Mar24 Feb24 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 6.00    
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Jul10 Jun18 Apr17 Mar19 Mar01 (stivers j)WALES T 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
SUE ETTAS GHOST Jul08 Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 Jan31 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
ROCKIN MARIE Jul08 Jun17 Apr15 Apr02   (long vaughn)LUARK T 121 15.00 15% 5.70    
FLO TIME Jul08 Mar19 Mar04 Oct02 Aug14 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50    
 
ARP-7   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Front Range Purse ($21.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN Jul01 Apr22 Feb25 Jan28 Dec21 (kenney dan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 6% 14.80    
COLLUSIONIST Jul01 Jun19 Nov04 Oct04 Sep04 (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00    
SWEET MEDICINE May16 May08 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TULSA TIME Jul09 Jun19 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
TRUTH SEEKER Jul01 May06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 67% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.