The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $19.20 -12.00
ARP-2   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $23.80 $23.80 15.80
    Exacta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-3 2 0 $111.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-3-7 3 0 $957.00 -48.00
ARP-3   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -0.40
    Exacta (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-2 2 0 $6.60 -4.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-6 2 1 $100.60 $100.60 76.60
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-6-9 3 0 $340.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6/7)-(1/6)-(1/2/6/7) 32 $2.00 $64.00 5-3/5/6-2 3 1 $1185.00 $1185.00 1121.00
ARP-5   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.20 -6.00
    Exacta (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $158.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3-7 3 0 $461.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/6)-(1/2/6/7)-(6/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 3/5/6-2-1 3 0 $309.60 -48.00
ARP-6   Win (2/3/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 -0.80
    Exacta (2/3/4/5/7)-(2/3/4/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-5 2 1 $14.20 $14.20 -25.80
    Trifecta (2/3/4/5/7)-(2/3/4/5/7)-(2/3/4/5/7) 60 $2.00 $120.00 2-5-3 3 1 $66.60 $66.60 -53.40
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7)-(6/7/8)-(2/3/4/5/7) 60 $2.00 $120.00 2-1-2 3 0 $502.40 -120.00
ARP-7   Win (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-7 2 1 $12.80 $12.80 -11.20
    Trifecta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 3-7-8 3 1 $101.80 $101.80 53.80
    Pick Three (6/7/8)-(2/3/4/5/7)-(3/4/7/8) 60 $2.00 $120.00 1-2-3/9/10 3 0 $269.40 -120.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   07/16/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
:232 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERRARI RED 1 3 3     2½ 1(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.20 W
SHUDDER 4 4 1½     1½ 2(barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 3.20  
WHAT THE HEY 5 2 2½     31 3(triana juan)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 7.20  
BIG MOONIE 3 5 4     47 411 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 7% 12.70 1.80  
CHASING THE KING 2 1 5     512 528¾ (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 15.00 19% 4.20 10.20  
SCR  TOOMANYNAMES               (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50    
 
ARP-2   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:223 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTY GIRL 5 3 1½ 11   12 1(hall monk)RAMOS B 120 12.00 6% 16.10 10.90 W
FLYING LADY 3 1 3½ 4   43 2(martinez a)LULL E 120 4.50 3.30  
JUST A SEC 7 4 4 3   22 310½ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 6% 16.10 7.50 S
MS BUMBLEBEE 6 2 2½ 21   3410½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70 0.90  
LAST AMIGA 2 7 711 7   57 522 (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 8.00 28.40  
TUDIE LU 4 6 66 5   6625¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 23% 3.40 3.60  
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 1 5 5 6   79 733 (kemper kerr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 22.20  
 
ARP-3   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:223 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMPTLY DONE 4 1 23 22   2nk 12 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 10.00 19% 4.20 0.80 W
GEORGIANO 2 3 3 32   3½ 22 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 2.70  
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 1 2 13 12   1nk 3(gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 2.50 45% 1.20 2.30 S
T R'S FIRST 3 4 4 48   4413 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 6.10  
SCR  HOT CAVIAR               (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
SCR  HOT LIL MESS               (megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:223 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGRID 2 7 3 1½   11(rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 5% 17.30 3.00 W
CREES VALENTYME 5 3 11 2½   22(parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40 P
SMOKIN AMELIA 8 1 55 5   44 3(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 2.60  
CAROLYN'S WAY 3 6 67 6   55 4(lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 8.00 35.90  
CHASING DIVINITY 7 2 21 3   33 5(parsons riley)TORRES J 121 20.00 13.30  
BRING THE POSSE 4 5 7 7   66(triana martin)RAMOS B 117 6.00 6.20  
LOTTA PRADA 6 4 44 4   76 714½ (kemper kerry)LULL E 121 4.50 5% 18.90 4.80  
KNIGHT EYES 1 8 823½ 838½   851 8100 (barraza s)WALES T 124 5.00 31% 2.20 2.90  
SCR  GYPSY ROSIE               (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
ARP-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST 1 4 5 5   2nk 1½ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 6.60  
THREE BALL 2 3 34 3   1nk 2½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 8.50  
MOST AMUSING 5 2 1nk 1   3.2 3(hibdon n)WALES T 124 3.50 11% 8.40 0.50 S
JIMBO'S BIZ 4 5 46 4   4¾ 4(rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80 6.30  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 3 6 6 6   556 (esquibel ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 10.30  
HOT ARTIE 6 1 2nk 2   6618½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 34% 2.00 6.50  
SCR  BANJO BILL               (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00    
SCR  PERVASIVE               (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAHLIA'S DANCER 2 4 11 1   12 1(barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 5% 17.70 3.60 W
HIGH GUNNER 5 8 55 3   22 2(gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 72% 0.40 0.70 P
AMY D 3 7 21 2   32 3(martinez a)WALES T 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
ANGIE'S REVRAC 9 3 97 9   7411 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 16.90  
TEQUILA RITA 1 9 8 6   5511 (loftin linda)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 33.40  
LUNA ROSE 6 2 33 4   43 612½ (parsons riley)LULL E 121 6.00 8.60  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 7 1 6 7   6712¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 39.80  
EXPECT THE BOSS 8 6 76 87   8813¼ (haar robert)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14.50  
SHASTAWIN 4 5 44 55   911¼ 935¾ (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
 
ARP-7   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:234 :471 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO KID 3 6 4 32   1½ 1(villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.40 1.40 W
CASH EXPRESS 7 4 65 5   41 2(chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 3.50 54% 0.80 2.40 P
FRIENDLY FOE 8 1 2nk 21   2½ 3(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 6% 16.00 10.80 S
ABRIERWIN 1 8 1nk 11   3½ 4(lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 4.50 14.00  
SHADYFIED 2 7 811½ 813½   7514½ (barrio sergio)WALES T 124 10.00 9.50  
BULL RING 5 2 7 7   64 615 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16.10  
CAPTAIN COMEBACK 6 3 54 6   85 717 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 7.10  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 5 32 4   53 818½ (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  BACKSTAGE BUD               (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
SCR  TENACIOUS LION               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.