Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $23.80 $15.80 198%
ARP-4   EXA (4/1/2/7/6)-(4/1/2/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-6 $100.60 $60.60 152%
    PK3 (6/4/5/7)-(1/6)-(4/1/2/7/6) 40 $2.00 $80.00  5-3/5/6-2 $1185 $1105 1381%
    PK4 (2/3/4)-(6/4/5/7)-(1/6)-(4/1/2/7/6) 120 $2.00 $240  1/2-5-3/5/6-2 $847.00 $607.00 253%
ARP-7   TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00  3-7-8 $101.80 $53.80 112%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   07/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:232 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FERRARI RED 1 3 32½     2½ 12¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.20 W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
5  SHUDDER 4 4 1½     1½ 22¼ (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 3.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  WHAT THE HEY 5 2 2½     31 34¾ (triana ju)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 7.20  
  (by FLAT OUT out of HEY BABY by SAVE BIG MONEY)
4  BIG MOONIE 3 5 45½     47 411 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 7% 12.70 1.80  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
3  CHASING THE KING 2 1 56½     512 528¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 15.00 19% 4.20 10.20  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of CHASING THE QUEEN by POSSE)
SCR  TOOMANYNAMES               (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GREATEST SHOW by STORM CAT)
 
ARP-2   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISTY GIRL 5 3 1½ 11   12 19¼ (hall monk)RAMOS B 120 12.00 6% 16.10 10.90 W
  (by VICE LORD out of LAKE CIDE GIRL by KENNEDY FACTOR)
3  FLYING LADY 3 1 3½ 42½   43 29¼ (martinez a)LULL E 120 4.50 3.30  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
7  JUST A SEC 7 4 41½ 31½   22 310½ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 6% 16.10 7.50 S
  (by VICE LORD out of JUST NOW by NO STORMS)
6  MS BUMBLEBEE 6 2 2½ 21   32½ 410½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70 0.90  
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
2  LAST AMIGA 2 7 711 79½   57 522 (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 8.00 28.40  
  (by LIAISON out of REAL AMIGA by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  TUDIE LU 4 6 66 57½   67½ 625¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 23% 3.40 3.60  
  (by OUTLASH out of PROVINCIAL NATIVE by BENCHMARK)
1  SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 1 5 55½ 67½   79 733 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 22.20  
  (by OUTLASH out of MY DADDY'S AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
ARP-3   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROMPTLY DONE 4 1 23 22   2nk 12 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 10.00 19% 4.20 0.80 W
2  GEORGIANO 2 3 33½ 32   3½ 22 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 2.70  
1  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 1 2 13 12   1nk 33¾ (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 2.50 45% 1.20 2.30 S
4  T R'S FIRST 3 4 48½ 48   47½ 413 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 6.10  
SCR  HOT CAVIAR               (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
SCR  HOT LIL MESS               (megariz mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIGRID 2 7 32½ 1½   11½ 11½ (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 5% 17.30 3.00 W
6  CREES VALENTYME 5 3 11 2½   21½ 21½ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40 P
9  SMOKIN AMELIA 8 1 55 56½   44 34½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 2.60  
3  CAROLYN'S WAY 3 6 67 68½   55 46¼ (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 8.00 35.90  
8  CHASING DIVINITY 7 2 21 31½   33 56¼ (parsons riley)TORRES J 121 20.00 13.30  
5  BRING THE POSSE 4 5 78½ 78½   65½ 66½ (triana marti)RAMOS B 117 6.00 6.20  
7  LOTTA PRADA 6 4 44 44½   76 714½ (kemper kerry)LULL E 121 4.50 5% 18.90 4.80  
1  KNIGHT EYES 1 8 823½ 838½   851 8100 (barraza s)WALES T 124 5.00 31% 2.20 2.90  
SCR  GYPSY ROSIE               (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
ARP-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 1 4 56¼ 52¾   2nk 1½ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 6.60  
3  THREE BALL 2 3 34 32½   1nk 2½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 8.50  
7  MOST AMUSING 5 2 1nk 11½   3.2 31¼ (hibdon n)WALES T 124 3.50 11% 8.40 0.50 S
6  JIMBO'S BIZ 4 5 46 42½   4¾ 41¼ (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80 6.30  
4  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 3 6 68¼ 66¾   52¾ 56 (esquibel )MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 10.30  
8  HOT ARTIE 6 1 2nk 21½   63¾ 618½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 34% 2.00 6.50  
SCR  BANJO BILL               (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00    
SCR  PERVASIVE               (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DAHLIA'S DANCER 2 4 11 11½   12 13½ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 5% 17.70 3.60 W
5  HIGH GUNNER 5 8 55 33½   22 23½ (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 72% 0.40 0.70 P
3  AMY D 3 7 21 21½   32 35¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
9  ANGIE'S REVRAC 9 3 97 97½   74¾ 411 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 16.90  
1  TEQUILA RITA 1 9 86½ 65½   53¼ 511 (loftin linda)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 33.40  
6  LUNA ROSE 6 2 33 43½   43 612½ (parsons riley)LULL E 121 6.00 8.60  
7  POPS GIRL ALEXA 7 1 65½ 76½   64¼ 712¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 39.80  
8  EXPECT THE BOSS 8 6 76 87   85¼ 813¼ (haar robe)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14.50  
4  SHASTAWIN 4 5 44 55   911¼ 935¾ (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
 
ARP-7   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRISCO KID 3 6 42½ 32   1½ 15¾ (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.40 1.40 W
7  CASH EXPRESS 7 4 65 55½   41 25¾ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 3.50 54% 0.80 2.40 P
8  FRIENDLY FOE 8 1 2nk 21   2½ 36½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 6% 16.00 10.80 S
1  ABRIERWIN 1 8 1nk 11   3½ 49¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 4.50 14.00  
2  SHADYFIED 2 7 811½ 813½   74½ 514½ (barrio sergio)WALES T 124 10.00 9.50  
5  BULL RING 5 2 75½ 77½   64 615 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16.10  
6  CAPTAIN COMEBACK 6 3 54 66½   85 717 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 7.10  
4  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 5 32 42½   53 818½ (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  BACKSTAGE BUD               (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
SCR  TENACIOUS LION               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.