Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-2   Win (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-3   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (5/2/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-7   Win (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-1   07/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOOMANYNAMES         (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50    
FERRARI RED         (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
CHASING THE KING         (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 15.00 19% 4.20    
BIG MOONIE May06 Apr15       (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
SHUDDER Apr15         (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
WHAT THE HEY Jul04         (triana juan)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
ARP-2   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS Jul01         (kemper kerr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00    
LAST AMIGA         (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 8.00    
FLYING LADY Jun25 Sep11 Aug21     (martinez a)LULL E 120 4.50    
TUDIE LU Jul01 Sep25 Sep11     (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
MISTY GIRL         (hall monk)RAMOS B 120 12.00 6% 16.10    
MS BUMBLEBEE Jul01 Jun17 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
JUST A SEC         (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
ARP-3   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Jun19 Sep04 Aug21 Jul10   (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
GEORGIANO Jun25 May15 Nov26 Oct31 Oct17 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
SCR  HOT LIL MESS Jul03 Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 (megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
T R'S FIRST Jul03 Jun19 Apr29 Apr15 Apr08 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50    
SCR  HOT CAVIAR Jun25 May13 Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
PROMPTLY DONE Jun25 Apr29 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
ARP-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHT EYES Jun24 Mar07 Feb14 Jan23   (barraza s)WALES T 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
SIGRID Jun17 May07       (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 5% 17.30    
CAROLYN'S WAY Jun25 Jun17 May20 Jan30 Nov15 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
SCR  GYPSY ROSIE Jun18 Apr08 Feb26 Jan03 Nov20 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
BRING THE POSSE Jun24 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 (triana martin)RAMOS B 117 6.00    
CREES VALENTYME Jun24 May02 Apr12 Mar27 Mar07 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTA PRADA Jun24 Sep26 Sep04     (kemper kerry)LULL E 121 4.50 5% 18.90    
CHASING DIVINITY Jul01 Sep26 Sep04 Aug01 Jul17 (parsons riley)TORRES J 121 20.00    
SMOKIN AMELIA Jun18 Dec09 Oct28 Sep25 Aug26 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
 
ARP-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jun25 Jun18 May29 May21 May06 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50    
SCR  BANJO BILL Jun25 Jun17 Jun03 Apr29 Apr15 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00    
THREE BALL Jun17 May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jun18 Apr15 Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 (esquibel ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
SCR  PERVASIVE Jun18 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
JIMBO'S BIZ Jul02 Jun18 May06 Apr22 Sep25 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
MOST AMUSING Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May27 May20 (hibdon n)WALES T 124 3.50 11% 8.40    
HOT ARTIE Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 Apr29 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
 
ARP-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA RITA Sep26 Sep13 Aug15 Jul12 Apr11 (loftin linda)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00    
DAHLIA'S DANCER Jun24 Feb15 Jan17 Dec26 Dec10 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 5% 17.70    
AMY D Jun24 Mar06 Feb15 Nov14 Oct04 (martinez a)WALES T 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHASTAWIN Oct04 Sep11 Aug21     (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH GUNNER Jun18 Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 Jan23 (gleason m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 72% 0.40    
LUNA ROSE Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 Jul17 (parsons riley)LULL E 121 6.00    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Jul01 Jun17 May14 May05 Apr23 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
EXPECT THE BOSS Jun24 May19 Dec28 Nov22 Nov10 (haar robert)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Jul01 Jun17 May19 May05 Mar24 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRIERWIN Jun24 May13 Apr03 Mar12 Feb21 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 4.50    
SHADYFIED Jul02 Apr24 Apr03 Mar12 Sep12 (barrio sergio)WALES T 124 10.00    
FRISCO KID Jun25 Jun17 May06 Apr18 Mar15 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
CHICKEN N BISCUIT Apr17 Apr04 Oct02 Sep13 Sep05 (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BULL RING Jul03 Jun19 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
CAPTAIN COMEBACK Jul02 May02 Dec14 Sep05 Jun20 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
CASH EXPRESS Jul03 Apr16 Apr08 Mar26 Aug26 (chavez juan)MARTIN A 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
FRIENDLY FOE Jul02 Jun18 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  BACKSTAGE BUD Oct26 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Jul11 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
SCR  TENACIOUS LION Jul08 Jun11 May27 May06 Mar10 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.