Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-5   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.20 $2.20 28%
ARP-8   EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $27.60 $3.60 15%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
PRINCESS JAYLEEN   (torres-casa)VORRATH VALENTE 120 6.00 14.50  
BAKERSFIELD BABE   (ortega joe)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50 7.60 S
WE ALL AGREE   (barrio sergio)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
MIRACLE OF HOPE   (villamar candelari)LULL E 124 2.50 4.70  
OLIVIAN   (christian billy)WALES T 124 8.00 8% 11.90 4.90  
MILLI STARR   (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 20.00 9.30  
ELEMENTAL   (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 87.50  
 
ARP-4   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($4.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST A SEC   (hall monk)RAMOS B 117 12.00 10% 8.70 0.10 W
DESERT PEPPER   (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 4.50 12% 7.30 12.00 P
HIGH ON LIFE   (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 24.00  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS   (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 5% 18.10 5.70  
DANGERELLA   (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 8.00 26.50  
11  LAST AMIGA   (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 117 15.00 26.30  
WEST'S ON FIRE   (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 34.40  
12  QUIK STORM   (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 20.00 40.20  
SCR  CLASSICALLY WICKED   (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50    
SCR  DESERT SUNSET   (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.00    
SCR  ITHOUGHTIKNEW   (childs russell )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LADY UPSET   (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY   (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 25% 3.10 4.10 W
NEW YEARS LOVE   (jenkins l)WALES T 124 3.50 3.10  
JUST REMEMBER   (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 18% 4.40 1.40 S
DONNAS FINAL WORD   (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 4.00 16.00  
D'WILD MUFFIN   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 13% 6.70 6.30  
LA ROSA DRIVE   (chavez juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 9% 10.70 19.00  
COLD AS YOU   (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 34.50  
PROMPTLY DONE   (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.30  
 
ARP-6   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY LEE   (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 60% 0.70 0.10 W
CHICKEN N BISCUIT   (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 10.90  
POLICY LIMIT   (quezada zachar)LUARK T 124 8.00 15% 5.60 17.30 S
AMERICAN REALITY   (hibdon mar)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
MY TRUE REWARD   (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 81.00  
JU JU GUY   (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 9.00  
SCR  SEGOVIANA   (hibdon n)RAMEY CASH 116 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH   (martinez a)WALES T 121 6.00 31% 2.20 0.40 W
BORN TO REIGN   (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 13% 6.60 1.90 P
LIL MISS DE BUY   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.50 35% 1.80 9.00 S
DIVA'S DIVA   (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 51.80  
BREAKFAST BALL   (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 2.50 18.80  
T R'S FIRST   (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 54.50  
 
ARP-8   09/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($22.25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BIGGIE   (ortega joe)LULL E 122 3.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE   (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.50 8% 11.00 7.70 P
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of LUCY LOVES NANA by INCLUDE)
LOCO LUNA   (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 6.00 1.00  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
WHEELER DEALER   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
TREASURE COAST   (hibdon n)LUARK T 122 20.00 32.60  
  (by WEST COAST out of JANE OF ALL TRADES by ROCK HARD TEN)
YOU'RE MY ROCK   (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00 76.00  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of NORTHERN ROCK (JPN) by NORTHERN TASTE)
CHROMESIDSATION   (garrett j)WALES T 122 2.50 26% 2.80 11.90  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SWING IT DISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  I SEE CLEARLY NOW   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of CHRISTIAN COUNTY by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  RUNNIN BUFFALO   (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 122 12.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of LANA'S LEGACY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
ARP-9   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOYA PARANOYA   (garrett j)LULL E 124 8.00 1.50  
KELLER'S GOLD   (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
KATAR   (kenney dan)WALES T 120 1.00 67% 0.50 1.80 S
QUICKTRIP VAN   (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 4.50 10.20  
REVIVAL   (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 3.50 10.60  
HEY NOW   (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 5.80  
PREACHER   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT   (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 66.20  
EZ GUESS   (quezada zachar)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 58.30  
10  CHERUBIM   (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 30.00 96.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.