The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 0 $37.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-5-3 3 0 $199.60 -48.00
ARP-4   Win (5/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Exacta (5/10/8)-(5/10/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 10-5 2 1 $10.20 $10.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (5/10/8)-(5/10/8)-(5/10/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 10-5-3 3 0 $52.40 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
    Exacta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-2 2 0 $49.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-2-3 3 0 $110.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (4/3/8/1)-(5/10/8)-(1/3/6/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 4-1/2/6/9/10-1 3 1 $25.40 $25.40 -70.60
ARP-6   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Exacta (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $11.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1-6 3 0 $67.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (5/10/8)-(1/3/6/7)-(7/6/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 1/2/6/9/10-1-5/7 3 1 $19.80 $19.80 -52.20
ARP-7   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
    Exacta (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 1 $3.60 $3.60 -8.40
    Trifecta (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1-6 3 1 $7.80 $7.80 -4.20
    Pick Three (1/3/6/7)-(7/6/4)-(6/2/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00 1-5/7-2 3 1 $24.80 $24.80 -47.20
ARP-8   Win (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-2 2 1 $27.60 $27.60 3.60
    Trifecta (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-2-9 3 0 $57.60 -48.00
ARP-9   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $5.00 -6.00
    Exacta (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/9/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 9-6 2 0 $44.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/9/2)-(4/6/3/9/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00 9-6-4 3 0 $159.00 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/11/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:222 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR 4 4 33     2½ 11 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 5 7 67     621 (torres-casas )VORRATH VALENTE 120 6.00 14.50  
BAKERSFIELD BABE 3 2 4     43 3(ortega joe)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50 7.60 S
WE ALL AGREE 1 6 7     54(barrio sergio)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
MIRACLE OF HOPE 2 1 2     35(villamar candelario)LULL E 124 2.50 4.70  
OLIVIAN 8 3 1     1½ 66 (christian billy)WALES T 124 8.00 8% 11.90 4.90  
MILLI STARR 7 5 5     710½ 7(roberts m)RAMOS B 124 20.00 9.30  
ELEMENTAL 6 8 811½     818½ 820¼ (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 87.50  
 
ARP-4   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($4.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:232 :48 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST A SEC 6 2 1½ 12   12 1(hall monk)RAMOS B 117 12.00 10% 8.70 0.10 W
DESERT PEPPER 3 4 2½ 22   22 2(marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 4.50 12% 7.30 12.00 P
HIGH ON LIFE 1 7 7 611½   48 3(young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 24.00  
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 8 6 34   34 4(hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 5% 18.10 5.70  
DANGERELLA 4 3 3 48   510 514¼ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 8.00 26.50  
11  LAST AMIGA 7 5 5 511   612½ 614¾ (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 117 15.00 26.30  
WEST'S ON FIRE 2 6 8 815   715½ 719½ (martinez a)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 34.40  
12  QUIK STORM 8 1 42 713   823½ 837 (chavez juan)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 20.00 40.20  
SCR  CLASSICALLY WICKED               (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50    
SCR  DESERT SUNSET               (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.00    
SCR  ITHOUGHTIKNEW               (childs g)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LADY UPSET               (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:221 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 1 8 7 54   23 1¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 25% 3.10 4.10 W
NEW YEARS LOVE 2 3 2½ 1½   13 2¾ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 3.50 3.10  
JUST REMEMBER 3 4 31 3   46 310½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 18% 4.40 1.40 S
DONNAS FINAL WORD 5 5 4 43   3412 (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 121 4.00 16.00  
D'WILD MUFFIN 6 2 54 6   58 515½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 13% 6.70 6.30  
LA ROSA DRIVE 7 1 1½ 2½   68 618½ (chavez juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 9% 10.70 19.00  
COLD AS YOU 8 6 6 7   712 722 (hibdon n)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 34.50  
PROMPTLY DONE 4 7 811½ 827½   8100 8100 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.30  
 
ARP-6   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:253 :474 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY LEE 6 4 4 3   13 114¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 60% 0.70 0.10 W
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 1 5 53 5   35 214¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 10.90  
POLICY LIMIT 5 3 31 2½   23 316½ (quezada zachary)LUARK T 124 8.00 15% 5.60 17.30 S
AMERICAN REALITY 4 1 2½ 4   49 423¾ (hibdon mark )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
MY TRUE REWARD 3 2 1½ 1½   512 529 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 81.00  
JU JU GUY 2 6 66 6   614 629 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 9.00  
SCR  SEGOVIANA               (hibdon n)RAMEY CASH 116 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:23 :48 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 2 1 1 1½   1½ 1(martinez a)WALES T 121 6.00 31% 2.20 0.40 W
BORN TO REIGN 1 5 2 2½   2½ 2(martinez a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 13% 6.60 1.90 P
LIL MISS DE BUY 6 2 4 46   3311¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.50 35% 1.80 9.00 S
DIVA'S DIVA 5 3 510½ 510   4420½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 51.80  
BREAKFAST BALL 3 4 3 33   510 523 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 2.50 18.80  
T R'S FIRST 4 6 611½ 612   611 624 (hibdon n)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 54.50  
 
ARP-8   09/11/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($22.25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
:24 :483 1:15 1:431   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BIGGIE 1 6 67 6 31 2½ 1¾ (ortega joe)LULL E 122 3.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 2¾ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.50 8% 11.00 7.70 P
LOCO LUNA 7 3 54 54 5 33(kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 6.00 1.00  
WHEELER DEALER 5 1 2½ 2½ 21 4415¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
TREASURE COAST 6 4 42 32 4 513½ 535½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 122 20.00 32.60  
YOU'RE MY ROCK 3 5 32 4 6 623½ 644¾ (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00 76.00  
CHROMESIDSATION 4 7 715 712½ 715¾ 743½ 781 (garrett j)WALES T 122 2.50 26% 2.80 11.90  
SCR  I SEE CLEARLY NOW               (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNNIN BUFFALO               (rushton temple)JOURNET JARRED 122 12.00    
 
ARP-9   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:222 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOYA PARANOYA 9 3 31 31   11(garrett j)LULL E 124 8.00 1.50  
KELLER'S GOLD 6 2 2½ 2½   22(moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
KATAR 4 1 1½ 1½   33 3(kenney dan)WALES T 120 1.00 67% 0.50 1.80 S
QUICKTRIP VAN 2 7 79 6   46 47 (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 121 4.50 10.20  
REVIVAL 8 8 8 76   55(kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 3.50 10.60  
HEY NOW 1 10 1011 9   69 6(kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 5.80  
PREACHER 3 5 57 54   710½ 710¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 5 9 910 1010   812 812¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 66.20  
EZ GUESS 7 6 44 4   913½ 914¾ (quezada zachary)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 58.30  
10  CHERUBIM 10 4 6 87   1016½ 1023½ (roberts brian)VORRATH VALENTE 124 30.00 96.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.