Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-5   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.20 $2.20 28%
ARP-8   EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $27.60 $3.60 15%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JULIARD HONOR 4 4 33     2½ 11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
5  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 5 7 67     67½ 21 (torres-casa)VORRATH VALENTE 120 6.00 14.50  
3  BAKERSFIELD BABE 3 2 43½     43 31¾ (ortega joe)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50 7.60 S
1  WE ALL AGREE 1 6 77½     55½ 43¾ (barrio sergio)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
2  MIRACLE OF HOPE 2 1 22½     32½ 53¾ (villamar candelari)LULL E 124 2.50 4.70  
8  OLIVIAN 8 3 12½     1½ 66 (christian billy)WALES T 124 8.00 8% 11.90 4.90  
7  MILLI STARR 7 5 56½     710½ 76½ (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 20.00 9.30  
6  ELEMENTAL 6 8 811½     818½ 820¼ (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 87.50  
 
ARP-4   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($4.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST A SEC 6 2 1½ 12   12 11¾ (hall monk)RAMOS B 117 12.00 10% 8.70 0.10 W
5  DESERT PEPPER 3 4 2½ 22   22 21¾ (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 4.50 12% 7.30 12.00 P
3  HIGH ON LIFE 1 7 77½ 611½   48 32½ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 24.00  
8  ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 8 65½ 34   34 43¾ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 10.00 5% 18.10 5.70  
7  DANGERELLA 4 3 31½ 48   510 514¼ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 8.00 26.50  
11  LAST AMIGA 7 5 52½ 511   612½ 614¾ (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 117 15.00 26.30  
4  WEST'S ON FIRE 2 6 88½ 815   715½ 719½ (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00 34.40  
12  QUIK STORM 8 1 42 713   823½ 837 (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 20.00 40.20  
SCR  CLASSICALLY WICKED               (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50    
SCR  DESERT SUNSET               (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.00    
SCR  ITHOUGHTIKNEW               (childs russell )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LADY UPSET               (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 112 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 1 8 75½ 54   23 1¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 25% 3.10 4.10 W
2  NEW YEARS LOVE 2 3 2½ 1½   13 2¾ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 3.50 3.10  
3  JUST REMEMBER 3 4 31 32½   46 310½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 18% 4.40 1.40 S
5  DONNAS FINAL WORD 5 5 41½ 43   35½ 412 (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 4.00 16.00  
6  D'WILD MUFFIN 6 2 54 65½   58 515½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 13% 6.70 6.30  
7  LA ROSA DRIVE 7 1 1½ 2½   68 618½ (chavez juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 9% 10.70 19.00  
8  COLD AS YOU 8 6 64½ 77½   712 722 (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 34.50  
4  PROMPTLY DONE 4 7 811½ 827½   8100 8100 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.30  
 
ARP-6   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:253 :474 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRICKY LEE 6 4 41½ 32½   13 114¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 60% 0.70 0.10 W
1  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 1 5 53 56½   35 214¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 3.50 10.90  
6  POLICY LIMIT 5 3 31 2½   23 316½ (quezada zachar)LUARK T 124 8.00 15% 5.60 17.30 S
4  AMERICAN REALITY 4 1 2½ 43½   49 423¾ (hibdon mar)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
3  MY TRUE REWARD 3 2 1½ 1½   512 529 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 81.00  
2  JU JU GUY 2 6 66 69½   614 629 (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 9.00  
SCR  SEGOVIANA               (hibdon n)RAMEY CASH 116 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 2 1 12½ 1½   1½ 12½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 6.00 31% 2.20 0.40 W
1  BORN TO REIGN 1 5 22½ 2½   2½ 22½ (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 13% 6.60 1.90 P
6  LIL MISS DE BUY 6 2 49½ 46   34½ 311¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.50 35% 1.80 9.00 S
5  DIVA'S DIVA 5 3 510½ 510   48½ 420½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 51.80  
3  BREAKFAST BALL 3 4 33½ 33   510 523 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 2.50 18.80  
4  T R'S FIRST 4 6 611½ 612   611 624 (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 54.50  
 
ARP-8   09/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($22.25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:15 1:431   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN BIGGIE 1 6 67 64½ 31 2½ 1¾ (ortega joe)LULL E 122 3.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
2  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 2¾ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.50 8% 11.00 7.70 P
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of LUCY LOVES NANA by INCLUDE)
9  LOCO LUNA 7 3 54 54 51¾ 33½ 39¾ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 6.00 1.00  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6  WHEELER DEALER 5 1 2½ 2½ 21 47½ 415¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
7  TREASURE COAST 6 4 42 32 41½ 513½ 535½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 122 20.00 32.60  
  (by WEST COAST out of JANE OF ALL TRADES by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  YOU'RE MY ROCK 3 5 32 43½ 66¾ 623½ 644¾ (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00 76.00  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of NORTHERN ROCK (JPN) by NORTHERN TASTE)
5  CHROMESIDSATION 4 7 715 712½ 715¾ 743½ 781 (garrett j)WALES T 122 2.50 26% 2.80 11.90  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SWING IT DISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  I SEE CLEARLY NOW               (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of CHRISTIAN COUNTY by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  RUNNIN BUFFALO               (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 122 12.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of LANA'S LEGACY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
ARP-9   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HOYA PARANOYA 9 3 31 31   11½ 14¼ (garrett j)LULL E 124 8.00 ★ 1.50  
6  KELLER'S GOLD 6 2 2½ 2½   21½ 24¼ (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
4  KATAR 4 1 1½ 1½   33 36¼ (kenney dan)WALES T 120 1.00 67% 0.50 1.80 S
2  QUICKTRIP VAN 2 7 79 65½   46 47 (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 4.50 ★ 10.20  
8  REVIVAL 8 8 89½ 76   57½ 58¼ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 3.50 10.60  
1  HEY NOW 1 10 1011 98½   69 69¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 5.80  
3  PREACHER 3 5 57 54   710½ 710¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
5  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 5 9 910 1010   812 812¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 66.20  
7  EZ GUESS 7 6 44 42½   913½ 914¾ (quezada zachar)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 58.30  
10  CHERUBIM 10 4 68½ 87   1016½ 1023½ (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 30.00 96.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.