Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ARP-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-4   Win (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ARP-5   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-6   Win (7/4/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 8.00
ARP-7   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
ARP-8   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   09/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :462       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP TAP HUSTO 1 2 1½ 2½   11 1 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 64% 0.60 0.70 W
SHUDDER 5 1 2½ 1½   21 2 (barraza s)LULL E 120 5.00 4.40  
CAUTION CARDINAL 7 4 4 3   34 3 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 9.90  
ROCKIN IN THE USA 9 5 6 57   512 412½ (hall monk)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 6.70  
PALACE PATCH 4 9 3 4   47 512¾ (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 117 3.50 5% 19.00 6.00  
INZAWAY 6 6 811 610   817½ 619¼ (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 115 8.00 35.90  
MOONSPLASH 3 3 5 714   613½ 722½ (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 10.00 56.50  
THUNDER MAN 2 8 710½ 817   715½ 823 (chavers howie)MORALES ROBERTO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 37.90  
LA COQUETA GOGO 8 7 921 9100   9100 9100 (torres-casas ale)MCNEIL BRYAN 115 4.50 7% 13.30 27.20  
 
ARP-3   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG MAY SHE RUN 1 6 11 1½   1½ 1½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 48% 1.10 0.50 W
MISS YOU NO MORE 4 3 3 2½   2½ 2½ (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 115 12.00 9% 10.50 18.30 P
SNUGGLE BUNNY 3 5 4 3   3 3 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60 S
FLY FREE 6 1 53 42   4 415½ (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 4.50 10.40  
I'M A TRUMPER 2 4 21 54   516½ 530½ (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00 19.00  
I'M GONE 5 2 64 612   634½ 655¼ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 53.20  
 
ARP-4   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUTFIELD 6 1 11 1½   11 1½ (triana martin)RAMOS B 117 2.50 48% 1.10 0.60 W
LOOPY DUDE 8 3 3 3   32 2½ (christian billy)LULL E 120 10.00 10% 9.10 2.80 P
SILENCE'S NATION 7 2 21 2½   21 3 (barraza s)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00 16.70 S
SWAY BACK WHEN 5 5 54 54   44 45 (martinez a)WALES T 124 8.00 8.30  
CORTE 4 8 77 710   610 510¼ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 4.50 19.80  
MAJOR TIMING 1 7 8 812   815 618¼ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00 36.10  
DALE'S ADDICTION 3 4 4 4   56 719½ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 16% 5.20 8.70  
BUZZ SHINER 2 6 6 67   713 819½ (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 112 20.00 81.70  
 
ARP-5   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST 6 1 41 3.2   1½ 1 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 3.50 48% 1.10 1.30 W
LOTTA PRADA 2 5 6 6   5 2 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 15% 5.50 3.50 P
BONITA DIXIE 4 3 3½ 2nk   2½ 3 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 6.00 12.20  
AMY D 3 2 2½ 1nk   31 48 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 13% 6.90 3.10  
MAKARA 5 6 5 4¾   44 5 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 3.40  
YA THINK 1 4 1½ 5   6 612½ (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 8.00 17.50  
SCR  POPS GIRL ALEXA               (hibdon n)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
SCR  RETRO RITA               (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00    
 
ARP-6   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DANZING MINER 10 1 31 2nk   1 18 (garrett j)WALES T 120 6.00 17% 4.90 8.00 W
OLD FASHION TIME 4 4 5 4¾   2 28 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.50 21% 3.90 1.00 P
DOMERGOO 6 8 7 7   4 313¼ (childs russell)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 59.30  
TIZKANDOIT 2 10 10 8   6 414½ (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 12.00 5.10  
MY CAIRO KID 9 6 6 5   5 517¾ (barraza s)RAMEY CASH 115 15.00 6.70  
BIG JUAN 7 3 2½ 3.2   32 625½ (chavez juan)LULL E 117 3.50 26% 2.90 15.60  
EL JEFE COBB 8 5 4 6   8 725½ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 5.20  
COMFORT KISS 1 11 11 11   911½ 826¼ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00 98.80  
11  SPUD EXPRESS 11 7 9 9   1016½ 928½ (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 39.80  
JAKE ON DAKAN 3 2 1½ 1nk   79 1034¾ (long vaughn)LUARK T 117 10.00 16% 5.20 21.60  
QUEENS EFFORT 5 9 8 10   1118 1135½ (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
 
ARP-7   09/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbine Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:124 1:413   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY 4 1 22 23 1½ 112 123 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.10 W
JEWEL OF DENIAL 2 3 410½ 415 413½ 212 223 (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 12.00 42.00  
CELEE'S LAST TE 3 2 12 13 2½ 312½ 327¼ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 7% 12.50 5.80 S
RED HOT MOON 5 6 511 516½ 521½ 422½ 436 (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 13.50  
BRING THE POSSE 6 5 614 618 629½ 537½ 557¼ (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 43.00  
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 1 4 39 313 3 641½ 670 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 3.90 12.00  
 
ARP-8   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY AREWETHEREYET 1 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 13 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50 70% 0.40 0.30 W
UNPLUCKED GEM 3 4 44 32   33 23 (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
ROCKIN MARIE 5 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 3.50 8.50  
MIZZEN MILLIONS 4 5 5 4   45 44 (garrett j)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 27.00  
FLO TIME 2 2 3 54   5 5 (martinez a)WALES T 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
ALL NATIVE 6 6 6 68   613½ 620 (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 48.30  
SCR  SUE ETTAS GHOST               (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.