Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (1/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(6/3/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/3/8/7)-(7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(7/2/3)-(7/4/10/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-5   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(7/4/10/3/5)-(4/1/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ARP-6   WIN (7/4/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/3/5)-(7/4/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/3/5)-(7/4/10/3/5)-(7/4/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10/3/5)-(4/1/3)-(1/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ARP-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   09/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP TAP HUSTO Aug19 Jul29       (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of ZENA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  THUNDER MAN         (chavers how)MORALES ROBERTO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of OUR RITE OF SPRING by STRAVINSKY)
3  MOONSPLASH Aug19         (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 10.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TERRI'S PASS by WAR PASS)
4  PALACE PATCH Aug13 Jul29       (vicchrilli russell)LUARK M 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
5  SHUDDER Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 Apr15   (barraza s)LULL E 120 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  INZAWAY         (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 115 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ONZAWAY by ARCH)
7  CAUTION CARDINAL Aug19         (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
8  LA COQUETA GOGO         (torres-casas a)MCNEIL BRYAN 115 4.50 7% 13.30    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  ROCKIN IN THE USA         (hall monk)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LADYLORE by VIDEO RANGER)
 
ARP-3   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG MAY SHE RUN Aug12 Jul29       (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  I'M A TRUMPER Aug12 Jul29       (triana juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
3  SNUGGLE BUNNY Aug12 Jul29       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  MISS YOU NO MORE         (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 115 12.00 9% 10.50    
5  I'M GONE Aug12 Jul29 Jul08     (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00    
6  FLY FREE Aug12 Jul29 Jul08     (triana marti)RAMOS B 120 4.50    
 
ARP-4   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR TIMING Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun19   (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00    
2  BUZZ SHINER Aug26 Aug06       (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 112 20.00    
3  DALE'S ADDICTION Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 May01 Feb13 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  CORTE Aug20 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 4.50    
5  SWAY BACK WHEN Aug20 Jul29 Jul10 Sep27 Sep13 (martinez a)WALES T 124 8.00    
6  GUTFIELD Aug27 Aug07 Jul30 Jul09 Jun19 (triana marti)RAMOS B 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  SILENCE'S NATION Aug27 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 (barraza rafael)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOOPY DUDE Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 (christian billy)LULL E 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
 
ARP-5   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YA THINK Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Sep25 (triana juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 8.00    
2  LOTTA PRADA Aug14 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Sep26 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 15% 5.50    
3  AMY D Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Mar06 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  BONITA DIXIE Aug21 Sep19 Apr21 Mar31 Mar08 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 6.00    
SCR  POPS GIRL ALEXA Sep04 Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
6  MAKARA Aug21 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 Apr29 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
7  SPECIAL TWIST Aug27 Aug14 Aug06     (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  RETRO RITA Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00    
 
ARP-6   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMFORT KISS Aug19 Jul10 Apr02 Mar12 Feb07 (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00    
  (by COMFORT out of SOUL KISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  TIZKANDOIT Aug19 Jul31 Jul10 May08   (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  JAKE ON DAKAN Aug27 Aug07       (long vaughn)LUARK T 117 10.00 16% 5.20    
  (by FOREST PEACE out of GHOSTRUNNER by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  OLD FASHION TIME Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 Jul09   (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
5  QUEENS EFFORT         (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of QUEEN KATE by IRON CAT)
6  DOMERGOO Aug19 Jul31 Jul02 Apr14 Mar31 (childs russe)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of OVERTHETOP by BROKEN VOW)
7  BIG JUAN Aug20         (chavez juan)LULL E 117 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by EL ROBLAR out of AVENUE MONTAIGNE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
8  EL JEFE COBB Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Sep27 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ROYALE MICHELE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  MY CAIRO KID Jul31         (barraza s)RAMEY CASH 115 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
10  DANZING MINER         (garrett j)WALES T 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
11  SPUD EXPRESS Aug26         (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ROSEHEDGE by HEDGEFUND INVESTOR)
 
ARP-7   09/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbine Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) Aug20 Jul03 May02 Apr08 Mar26 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROYAL BLUE STAR by DALAKHANI (IRE))
2  JEWEL OF DENIAL Aug26 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 (perkinson cc)LUARK M 124 12.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARA MIA by EXPRESSMAN)
3  CELEE'S LAST TE Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jul08 Jun17 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
4  VIRTUALLY Aug20 Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 May06 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
5  RED HOT MOON Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun10 May14 (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RED HOT TOPS by ARCH)
6  BRING THE POSSE Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Oct04 (triana juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
 
ARP-8   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY AREWETHEREYET Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 May06 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  SUE ETTAS GHOST Jul22 Jul08 Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
3  FLO TIME Aug07 Jul22 Jul08 Mar19 Mar04 (martinez a)WALES T 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNPLUCKED GEM Aug14 Aug06 Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIZZEN MILLIONS Jul01 Jun18 Mar26 Feb21 Jan15 (garrett j)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
6  ROCKIN MARIE Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Apr15 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 3.50    
7  ALL NATIVE Aug20 Jul17 Apr25 Feb26 Feb07 (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.