The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
    Exacta (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-3 2 0 $19.00 -4.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 1 $9.00 $9.00 -3.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2-1 3 1 $49.00 $49.00 37.00
ARP-5   Win (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 11.40
    Exacta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-3 2 1 $74.60 $74.60 50.60
    Trifecta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-3-4 3 0 $241.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1/5-4-2 3 1 $88.00 $88.00 40.00
ARP-6   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
    Exacta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-2 2 0 $8.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-2-7 3 0 $30.20 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/4/6/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 4-2-6 3 1 $99.20 $99.20 3.20
ARP-7   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
    Exacta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3 2 1 $39.40 $39.40 27.40
    Trifecta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3-4 3 1 $56.20 $56.20 44.20
    Pick Three (1/2/3/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(3/4/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 2-6-7 3 1 $225.00 $225.00 129.00
ARP-8   Win (1/2/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $26.00 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/5/6/9)-(1/2/5/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 8-9 2 0 $98.80 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6/9)-(1/2/5/6/9)-(1/2/5/6/9) 60 $2.00 $120.00 8-9-7 3 0 $1672.60 -120.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6/7)-(3/4/7)-(1/2/5/6/9) 60 $2.00 $120.00 6-7-8 3 0 $348.40 -120.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:221 :453 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST 1 3 2nk 1nk   11 1(hall monk)RAMOS B 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
LUNA ROSE 3 1 32 3   32(garrett j)LULL E 124 12.00 7.30  
LOTTA PRADA 2 2 1nk 2nk   21 3(kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 1.10  
BRING THE POSSE 4 4 46 4   43 4(triana martin)RAMEY CASH 115 3.50 19% 4.30 4.00  
SCR  YA THINK               (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
ARP-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:22 :452 :582     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 4 2 4 4   32 11 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 1.90 0.60 W
TOO LATE 2 3 1 12   1½ 21 (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.40 4.10 P
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 1 4 2 22   2½ 3(parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60 10.60 S
EUSEBIO 6 1 33 33   42 4(esquibel mark)LULL E 120 3.50 3.40  
CLAIMJUMPER 3 6 610 5   5510½ (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 9.40  
ORDER OF THE DAY 5 5 5 610½   6618 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 43.80  
 
ARP-5   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :462 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S BOY 2 4 6 6   61½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 20.00 27% 2.70 8.70 W
DIVINE TASK 3 6 5 4   4¾ 2½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 12.00 8% 11.90 1.60 P
MUCHO GIFTED 4 3 2½ 2½   2nk 3(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 3.00  
BIG BIZ 7 1 1½ 1½   1nk 42 (haar j)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 34% 1.90 5.70  
WEBCAM 6 5 32 3   3.2 5(rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 2.80  
MCORO 1 2 43 54   56(rust terri)WALES T 124 8.00 7% 12.40 13.90  
POLICY LIMIT 5 7 7 78   710¾ 741¼ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 28.00  
 
ARP-6   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:224 :462 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNPLUCKED GEM 6 4 3 1nk   112 (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 0.50 W
HERE AND VOW 2 2 54 53   322 (mcdonald j)WALES T 124 2.50 4.20  
STOLEN HALO 7 6 1nk 2nk   23(haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 41% 1.40 5.70 S
HEAR ME ROAR 4 3 42 4   46 4(rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.20 6.60  
AMBER WAVES 1 5 66 65   65(chavez juan)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
CREDIT CARD FRAUD 5 1 2nk 31   57 612 (quezada zachar)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 21.80  
T R'S FIRST 3 8 89 8   89 712¼ (hibdon n)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00 78.40  
CRIMSON T. 8 7 7 76   7815½ (young a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 24.70  
 
ARP-7   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:242 :483 1:141 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE FOR THREE 6 1 34 4 3 1nk 1hd (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
MY MAN BIGGIE 3 3 4 5 5 2nk 2hd (ortega joe)LULL E 120 10.00 25% 3.00 2.20 P
QUICKTRIP VAN 4 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 3.2 3(vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50 52% 0.90 0.70 S
GUEST CHECK 2 5 1nk 1½ 2½ 4¼ 4(perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 7.90  
TREASURE COAST 5 6 5 3 4 5511¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 10.60  
MORE ACTION 1 4 616¼ 620½ 622½ 6100 6100 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 33.80  
SCR  I'M A COOL CAT               (long vaughn)WALES T 121 3.50    
 
ARP-8   08/14/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:233 :472 1:14     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLYN'S WAY 8 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 12.00  
WHAT A WAY TO GO 9 1 5 7   62nk (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 17% 5.00 1.90 P
SMART ACT 7 5 3.2 3½   3½ 3¾ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 28.80  
VALDINI 3 7 8 63   541 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 6.10  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 5 8 7 41   2nk 5(lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 6% 16.80 4.40  
EXODUS AND HOPE 2 6 6 5   76(haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20 10.00  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 3 2nk 2nk   41 74 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 10.00 3.50  
PASSION RIDE 4 4 4 8   8813½ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 33.60  
GOSPEL FAITH 6 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.