Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2-1 $49.00 $37.00 308%
ARP-5   WIN (7/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $19.40 $11.40 143%
    EXA (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-3 $74.60 $50.60 211%
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/2/1)-(7/2/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1/5-4-2 $88.00 $40.00 83%
ARP-6   PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/6/4/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00  4-2-6 $99.20 $3.20 3%
ARP-7   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-3 $39.40 $27.40 228%
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-3-4 $56.20 $44.20 368%
    PK3 (7/2/3/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(4/3/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00  2-6-7 $225.00 $129.00 134%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL TWIST 1 3 2nk 1nk   11 14¼ (hall monk)RAMOS B 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
3  LUNA ROSE 3 1 32 32½   32½ 24¼ (garrett j)LULL E 124 12.00 7.30  
2  LOTTA PRADA 2 2 1nk 2nk   21 35¼ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 1.10  
4  BRING THE POSSE 4 4 46 44½   43 47¼ (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 115 3.50 19% 4.30 4.00  
SCR  YA THINK               (triana jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
ARP-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :452 :582     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 4 2 44½ 44½   32 11 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 1.90 0.60 W
2  TOO LATE 2 3 11½ 12   1½ 21 (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.40 4.10 P
1  BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 1 4 21½ 22   2½ 31¾ (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60 10.60 S
6  EUSEBIO 6 1 33 33   42 44¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 120 3.50 3.40  
3  CLAIMJUMPER 3 6 610 59½   54½ 510½ (mcdonald willia)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 9.40  
5  ORDER OF THE DAY 5 5 58½ 610½   68½ 618 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 43.80  
 
ARP-5   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAYNTER'S BOY 2 4 66½ 66½   62¾ 1½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 20.00 27% 2.70 8.70 W
3  DIVINE TASK 3 6 54½ 43½   4¾ 2½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 12.00 8% 11.90 1.60 P
4  MUCHO GIFTED 4 3 2½ 2½   2nk 31½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 3.00  
7  BIG BIZ 7 1 1½ 1½   1nk 42 (haar robert)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 34% 1.90 5.70  
6  WEBCAM 6 5 32 31½   3.2 52¾ (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 2.80  
1  MCORO 1 2 43 54   51¾ 65½ (rust terri)WALES T 124 8.00 7% 12.40 13.90  
5  POLICY LIMIT 5 7 77½ 78   710¾ 741¼ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 28.00  
 
ARP-6   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNPLUCKED GEM 6 4 31½ 1nk   11½ 12 (rushton sta)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 0.50 W
2  HERE AND VOW 2 2 54 53   33½ 22 (mcdonald j)WALES T 124 2.50 4.20  
7  STOLEN HALO 7 6 1nk 2nk   21½ 32½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 41% 1.40 5.70 S
4  HEAR ME ROAR 4 3 42 42½   46 49¼ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.20 6.60  
1  AMBER WAVES 1 5 66 65   67½ 59¾ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
5  CREDIT CARD FRAUD 5 1 2nk 31   57 612 (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 21.80  
3  T R'S FIRST 3 8 89 87½   89 712¼ (hibdon mark )GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00 78.40  
8  CRIMSON T. 8 7 76½ 76   78½ 815½ (young a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 24.70  
 
ARP-7   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:141 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THREE FOR THREE 6 1 34 42½ 31½ 1nk 1hd (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
3  MY MAN BIGGIE 3 3 44¼ 55½ 52½ 2nk 2hd (ortega joe)LULL E 120 10.00 25% 3.00 2.20 P
4  QUICKTRIP VAN 4 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 3.2 32½ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 52% 0.90 0.70 S
2  GUEST CHECK 2 5 1nk 1½ 2½ 4¼ 47¾ (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 7.90  
6  TREASURE COAST 5 6 54¼ 32½ 41½ 51¼ 511¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 10.60  
1  MORE ACTION 1 4 616¼ 620½ 622½ 6100 6100 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 33.80  
SCR  I'M A COOL CAT               (long vaughn)WALES T 121 3.50    
 
ARP-8   08/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:14     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAROLYN'S WAY 8 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 12.00  
9  WHAT A WAY TO GO 9 1 53¼ 73¼   61¾ 2nk (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 17% 5.00 1.90 P
7  SMART ACT 7 5 3.2 3½   3½ 3¾ (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 28.80  
3  VALDINI 3 7 85¼ 63   51½ 41 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 6.10  
5  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 5 8 74¾ 41   2nk 52½ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 6% 16.80 4.40  
2  EXODUS AND HOPE 2 6 63¼ 52½   71¾ 63¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20 10.00  
1  POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 3 2nk 2nk   41 74 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 10.00 3.50  
4  PASSION RIDE 4 4 42¼ 84¼   89¾ 813½ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 33.60  
6  GOSPEL FAITH 6 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.