Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
ARP-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ARP-5   Win (7/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 11.40
ARP-6   Win (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
ARP-7   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
ARP-8   Win (2/9/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $26.00  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST 1 3 2nk 1nk   11 1 (hall monk)RAMOS B 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.10 W
LUNA ROSE 3 1 32 3   3 2 (garrett j)LULL E 124 12.00 7.30  
LOTTA PRADA 2 2 1nk 2nk   21 3 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 1.10  
BRING THE POSSE 4 4 46 4   43 4 (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 115 3.50 19% 4.30 4.00  
SCR  YA THINK               (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
ARP-4   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :452 :582     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 4 2 4 4   32 11 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 2.50 34% 1.90 0.60 W
TOO LATE 2 3 1 12   1½ 21 (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.40 4.10 P
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 1 4 2 22   2½ 3 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60 10.60 S
EUSEBIO 6 1 33 33   42 4 (esquibel mark)LULL E 120 3.50 3.40  
CLAIMJUMPER 3 6 610 5   5 510½ (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 9.40  
ORDER OF THE DAY 5 5 5 610½   6 618 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 43.80  
 
ARP-5   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S BOY 2 4 6 6   6 1½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 20.00 27% 2.70 8.70 W
DIVINE TASK 3 6 5 4   4¾ 2½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 12.00 8% 11.90 1.60 P
MUCHO GIFTED 4 3 2½ 2½   2nk 3 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 3.00  
BIG BIZ 7 1 1½ 1½   1nk 42 (haar j)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 34% 1.90 5.70  
WEBCAM 6 5 32 3   3.2 5 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 2.80  
MCORO 1 2 43 54   5 6 (rust terri)WALES T 124 8.00 7% 12.40 13.90  
POLICY LIMIT 5 7 7 78   710¾ 741¼ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 28.00  
 
ARP-6   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNPLUCKED GEM 6 4 3 1nk   1 12 (rushton stacy)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 0.50 W
HERE AND VOW 2 2 54 53   3 22 (mcdonald j)WALES T 124 2.50 4.20  
STOLEN HALO 7 6 1nk 2nk   2 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 41% 1.40 5.70 S
HEAR ME ROAR 4 3 42 4   46 4 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.20 6.60  
AMBER WAVES 1 5 66 65   6 5 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
CREDIT CARD FRAUD 5 1 2nk 31   57 612 (quezada zachar)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 21.80  
T R'S FIRST 3 8 89 8   89 712¼ (hibdon n)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00 78.40  
CRIMSON T. 8 7 7 76   7 815½ (young a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 24.70  
 
ARP-7   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:141 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE FOR THREE 6 1 34 4 3 1nk 1hd (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
MY MAN BIGGIE 3 3 4 5 5 2nk 2hd (ortega joe)LULL E 120 10.00 25% 3.00 2.20 P
QUICKTRIP VAN 4 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 3.2 3 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50 52% 0.90 0.70 S
GUEST CHECK 2 5 1nk 1½ 2½ 4¼ 4 (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 7.90  
TREASURE COAST 5 6 5 3 4 5 511¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 10.60  
MORE ACTION 1 4 616¼ 620½ 622½ 6100 6100 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 33.80  
SCR  I'M A COOL CAT               (long vaughn)WALES T 121 3.50    
 
ARP-8   08/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:14     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLYN'S WAY 8 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 12.00  
WHAT A WAY TO GO 9 1 5 7   6 2nk (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 17% 5.00 1.90 P
SMART ACT 7 5 3.2 3½   3½ 3¾ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 28.80  
VALDINI 3 7 8 63   5 41 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 6.10  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 5 8 7 41   2nk 5 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 6% 16.80 4.40  
EXODUS AND HOPE 2 6 6 5   7 6 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 45% 1.20 10.00  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 3 2nk 2nk   41 74 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 10.00 3.50  
PASSION RIDE 4 4 4 8   8 813½ (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 33.60  
GOSPEL FAITH 6 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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