Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-3   WIN (9/1/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $20.20 $10.20 102%
    EXA (9/1/7/6/2)-(9/1/7/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-9 $59.40 $19.40 49%
ARP-4   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $26.00 $18.00 225%
ARP-5   EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $43.40 $19.40 81%
    PK3 (9/1/7/6/2)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/1/6/7) 80 $2.00 $160  7-6-ALL $184.00 $24.00 15%
    PK3 (9/1/7/6/2)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/1/6/7) 80 $2.00 $160  7-ALL-1 $184.00 $24.00 15%
    PK3 (9/1/7/6/2)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/1/6/7) 80 $2.00 $160  ALL-6-1 $230.00 $70.00 44%
ARP-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6-2 $30.60 $18.60 155%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   08/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST 1 4 3 21   1½ 1 (hall monk)RAMOS B 124 3.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
  (by VICE LORD out of SPECIAL TASK by WEEKEND GUEST)
JUST A SEC 4 2 1 11   2½ 2 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 35% 1.80 0.60 P
  (by VICE LORD out of JUST NOW by NO STORMS)
LAST AMIGA 3 5 56 56   56 313¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 8.00 19.30  
  (by LIAISON out of REAL AMIGA by EL PRADO (IRE))
PIZZA GIRL 2 3 4 4   4 415¾ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 8.30  
  (by DELHOMME out of PIZZA by BUDDHA)
IMA HAPPY DANCER 5 1 2 3   3 517¼ (vicchrill)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
  (by LAUGHING CHARLIE out of DANCING FOR MORGAN by REAL QUIET)
 
ARP-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDALE ARCH 1 4 1½ 1   11 11 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 6.00 12.60  
EL JEFE COBB 2 5 54 3   21 21 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 11% 8.10 1.20 P
CREDIT RATING 5 6 77 6   46 3 (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 4.50 28% 2.60 15.20 S
DALE'S ADDICTION 4 3 2½ 2   33 413 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 12.00 10% 8.80 2.80  
BIG BLUE OKIE 3 8 8 7   58 516¾ (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 17.60  
MAJOR TIMING 6 1 3 4   69 620½ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 121 3.50 17.40  
FUSAICHI WILDCAT 7 2 4 87   711½ 736½ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 7.00  
BUZZ SHINER 8 7 6 55   812 841¼ (martinez a)LULL E 117 8.00 29% 2.50 5.30  
 
ARP-3   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK SANDY 6 6 23 21   11 1 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 19% 4.20 9.10 W
COWGIRLLOVER 8 2 3 3   3 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 30% 2.40 0.90 P
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 1 4 13 11   21 3 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 24% 3.10 2.60 S
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 4 8 910½ 810   7 4 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 38.70  
HIGH ON LIFE 5 3 5 4   4 5 (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
10  AUNT CARI 9 1 6 5   6 6 (lemburg mark)MARTIN A 120 4.50 12.10  
WHEREDIDITGO 7 7 77 77   54 712¼ (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 115 6.00 9.00  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 2 5 45 67   8 819¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 54.80  
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 3 9 89 911   910½ 923½ (kemper kerry)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00 25.10  
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ 6 2 34 5   42 1½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 41% 1.50 12.00 W
OPTIMAL 1 4 22 2   2½ 2½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 1.80  
THREE BALL 7 3 55 46   5 3 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 20% 4.00 5.10 S
MOST AMUSING 5 1 12 1   1½ 4 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 8% 11.50 4.00  
CHUCK NAZTY 3 7 4 3   31 5 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 2.90  
CREATIVE LETTERS 4 6 7 710½   76 6 (ibanez alb)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
PODEROSO EQUS 2 5 6 6   64 713½ (rushton stacy)LULL E 124 4.50 5.60  
 
ARP-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLING HOME 1 3 1½ 1½   12 1 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14% 6.20 1.90 W
LOTSA LACE 7 1 2½ 2½   22 2 (cuccia susan)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
MISFIRED 4 7 6 43   43 3 (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 7.90  
DREAMER GIRL 5 2 3½ 32   3 4 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 3.90  
UNPLUCKED GEM 6 6 53 6   6 516½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.90 4.40  
TRULY A MESS 3 4 7 7   5 616½ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 2.50 48% 1.10 5.30  
NAUGHTY EVELYN 2 5 41 5   710½ 738 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 9.90  
 
ARP-6   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 1 3 12 12   13 1 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 9% 10.10 3.30 W
RAY AREWETHEREYET 6 1 3 22   23 2 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 61% 0.60 0.40 P
INTO CLASSIC 2 2 22 3   3 3 (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 8% 11.90 9.10 S
MISS IMPORTANT 3 4 6 66   46 411½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 12.60  
DIRT FLIRT 4 5 4 4   56 512 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 6.00 15.20  
RED HOT MOON 5 6 5 5   6 612¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 124 12.00 12.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.