Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
ARP-2   Win (8/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $27.20  
ARP-3   Win (9/1/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 10.20
ARP-4   Win (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $26.00 $26.00 18.00
ARP-5   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
ARP-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   08/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST 1 4 3 21   1½ 1 (hall monk)RAMOS B 124 3.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
JUST A SEC 4 2 1 11   2½ 2 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 35% 1.80 0.60 P
LAST AMIGA 3 5 56 56   56 313¾ (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 8.00 19.30  
PIZZA GIRL 2 3 4 4   4 415¾ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 8.30  
IMA HAPPY DANCER 5 1 2 3   3 517¼ (vicchrilli )MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
 
ARP-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDALE ARCH 1 4 1½ 1   11 11 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 6.00 12.60  
EL JEFE COBB 2 5 54 3   21 21 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 11% 8.10 1.20 P
CREDIT RATING 5 6 77 6   46 3 (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 4.50 28% 2.60 15.20 S
DALE'S ADDICTION 4 3 2½ 2   33 413 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 12.00 10% 8.80 2.80  
BIG BLUE OKIE 3 8 8 7   58 516¾ (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 17.60  
MAJOR TIMING 6 1 3 4   69 620½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 3.50 17.40  
FUSAICHI WILDCAT 7 2 4 87   711½ 736½ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 7.00  
BUZZ SHINER 8 7 6 55   812 841¼ (martinez a)LULL E 117 8.00 29% 2.50 5.30  
 
ARP-3   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK SANDY 6 6 23 21   11 1 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 19% 4.20 9.10 W
COWGIRLLOVER 8 2 3 3   3 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 30% 2.40 0.90 P
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 1 4 13 11   21 3 (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 24% 3.10 2.60 S
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 4 8 910½ 810   7 4 (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 38.70  
HIGH ON LIFE 5 3 5 4   4 5 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
10  AUNT CARI 9 1 6 5   6 6 (lemburg mark)MARTIN A 120 4.50 12.10  
WHEREDIDITGO 7 7 77 77   54 712¼ (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 115 6.00 9.00  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 2 5 45 67   8 819¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 54.80  
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 3 9 89 911   910½ 923½ (kemper kerry)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00 25.10  
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ 6 2 34 5   42 1½ (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 41% 1.50 12.00 W
OPTIMAL 1 4 22 2   2½ 2½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 1.80  
THREE BALL 7 3 55 46   5 3 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 20% 4.00 5.10 S
MOST AMUSING 5 1 12 1   1½ 4 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 8% 11.50 4.00  
CHUCK NAZTY 3 7 4 3   31 5 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 2.90  
CREATIVE LETTERS 4 6 7 710½   76 6 (ibanez alber)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
PODEROSO EQUS 2 5 6 6   64 713½ (rushton stacy)LULL E 124 4.50 5.60  
 
ARP-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLING HOME 1 3 1½ 1½   12 1 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14% 6.20 1.90 W
LOTSA LACE 7 1 2½ 2½   22 2 (cuccia susan)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
MISFIRED 4 7 6 43   43 3 (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 7.90  
DREAMER GIRL 5 2 3½ 32   3 4 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50 3.90  
UNPLUCKED GEM 6 6 53 6   6 516½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.90 4.40  
TRULY A MESS 3 4 7 7   5 616½ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 2.50 48% 1.10 5.30  
NAUGHTY EVELYN 2 5 41 5   710½ 738 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 9.90  
 
ARP-6   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 1 3 12 12   13 1 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 9% 10.10 3.30 W
RAY AREWETHEREYET 6 1 3 22   23 2 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 61% 0.60 0.40 P
INTO CLASSIC 2 2 22 3   3 3 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 8% 11.90 9.10 S
MISS IMPORTANT 3 4 6 66   46 411½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 12.60  
DIRT FLIRT 4 5 4 4   56 512 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 6.00 15.20  
RED HOT MOON 5 6 5 5   6 612¾ (triana ma)MARTIN A 124 12.00 12.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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