Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-2   Win (8/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-3   Win (9/1/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-4   Win (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-1   08/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL TWIST         (hall monk)RAMOS B 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
PIZZA GIRL Jul23 May14 Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00    
LAST AMIGA Jul16         (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 8.00    
JUST A SEC Jul29 Jul16       (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
IMA HAPPY DANCER Sep25 Sep13       (vicchrilli )MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDALE ARCH Jul29 Jun19 May21 May06 Apr05 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 6.00    
EL JEFE COBB Jul15 Jul02 Sep27 Sep05 Aug20 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 11% 8.10    
BIG BLUE OKIE Jul15 Jun19 May13     (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
DALE'S ADDICTION Jul15 Jul02 May01 Feb13 Jul16 (kenney dan)WALES T 124 12.00 10% 8.80    
CREDIT RATING Jul15         (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
MAJOR TIMING Jul23 Jun19       (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 3.50    
FUSAICHI WILDCAT Jul02 May21 Apr15 Mar12   (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00    
BUZZ SHINER         (martinez a)LULL E 117 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
ARP-3   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLE IN THE SKY Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 May13   (wheeler travis)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Oct13 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS Jul16 Jul01       (kemper kerry)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00    
ITHOUGHTIKNEW Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Mar19 Mar05 (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00    
HIGH ON LIFE Apr01 Sep26 Mar26 Mar05 Jan02 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK SANDY         (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
WHEREDIDITGO Jul23 Jun25 Mar20 Mar12 Jan21 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 115 6.00    
COWGIRLLOVER Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May19 Apr19 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
10  AUNT CARI Jul17 Jun17 May20 May05 Apr22 (lemburg mark)MARTIN A 120 4.50    
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY Jun24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov08 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAL Jul29 Jul02 Jun25 Apr22 Apr01 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
PODEROSO EQUS Jul23 Jul10 Jul02 Apr22 Mar31 (rushton stacy)LULL E 124 4.50    
CHUCK NAZTY Jul10 Jan14 Dec13 Oct02 Sep18 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50    
CREATIVE LETTERS Jul23 Jul15 Jun03 May20 Apr29 (ibanez alber)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOST AMUSING Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 8% 11.50    
SUEZ Jul29 Jul03 Jun19 May13 May06 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 41% 1.50    
THREE BALL Jul16 Jun17 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
ARP-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLING HOME Jul23 Jun18 Apr17 Mar18 Aug08 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
NAUGHTY EVELYN Jul03 Jun18 Apr24 Apr10 Mar12 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
TRULY A MESS Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 May06 Apr01 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
MISFIRED Jul15 Jun24 Nov22 Sep18 Jul24 (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50    
DREAMER GIRL Jul23 May02 Apr04 Mar11 Feb16 (barraza s)WALES T 124 3.50    
UNPLUCKED GEM Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 Apr08 Mar26 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
LOTSA LACE Jun25 May02 Apr19 Mar28 Feb20 (cuccia susan)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-6   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE Jul15 Jul08 Jun17 Oct04 Sep20 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 3.50 9% 10.10    
INTO CLASSIC Jul15 Jun17 Apr25 Apr11 Feb11 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 8% 11.90    
MISS IMPORTANT Jul15 Jun04 Apr17 Mar08 Feb22 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00    
DIRT FLIRT Jul10 Mar29 Feb22 Jan28 Jan09 (barraza s)TORRES J 124 6.00    
RED HOT MOON Jul15 Jun10 May14 Apr01 Mar05 (triana ma)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
RAY AREWETHEREYET Jul15 Jun24 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.