Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.40 $6.40 107%
ARP-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $12.20 $6.20 103%
ARP-4   PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/1/2)-(1/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00  5-1-1/3/6 $119.40 $83.40 232%
ARP-5   PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/2)-(4/2/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00  1-1/3/6-2 $53.20 $5.20 11%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZORINA 5 4 42½ 31   1nk 1nk (moreno ca)MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
  (by ENTICED out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
4  LONG MAY SHE RUN 4 5 1½ 11   2nk 2nk (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50 13.70  
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  MAYA D 6 1 2½ 21   31½ 34¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.30 S
  (by CONNECT out of SHAKEN MEMORIES by LEMON DROP KID)
2  SNUGGLE BUNNY 2 6 612 69¾   610 415¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
1  I'M GONE 1 2 31½ 53¾   45½ 516¾ (triana ma)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50 6.00  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
3  FLY FREE 3 3 54 43½   56 619¼ (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 8.00 20.00  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ARP-3   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ FITZ 1 6 42½ 21   21½ 11¼ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50 9% 9.60 5.10 W
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
5  SHUDDER 5 4 11½ 11   11½ 21¼ (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 1.40  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  TAP TAP HUSTO 6 3 65 44   33½ 32¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.10 S
  (by TAPITURE out of ZENA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  I'M A TRUMPER 2 2 21½ 33   45 410 (triana juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 115 10.00 9% 9.60 19.80  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  PALACE PATCH 4 5 53 54½   56 511¾ (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 117 8.00 10.00  
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
3  CHASING THE KING 3 1 31½ 65   610 627 (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 15.00 16.50  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of CHASING THE QUEEN by POSSE)
 
ARP-4   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMAL 1 4 11 1½   1½ 12½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.10 W
5  SILVER AND ACES 4 1 33 32   31 22½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 17.20  
4  LIL LATIGO 3 2 21 2½   2½ 33¼ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 8.50  
2  THORNISH 2 3 46 48   49 416¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 27% 2.70 9.40  
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE               (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50    
SCR  EXCITING               (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BARTSTER 2 4 2nk 1½   1nk 1nk (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 28% 2.60 2.60 W
4  SWAY BACK WHEN 4 1 32 2½   2nk 2nk (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 34% 2.00 0.80 P
1  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 1 5 1nk 41½   43½ 33½ (christian billy)LULL E 120 8.00 6.60  
6  ENDALE ARCH 6 2 43½ 31½   32 44¼ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 4.50 6.60  
3  BARREL MAN 3 6 710¾ 67½   56½ 58¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 117 10.00 26.10  
5  CORTE 5 7 610½ 710½   611½ 619 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 9% 10.10 10.50  
7  BIG PEN TEN 7 3 55½ 53½   713½ 730½ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 7% 13.10 28.20  
 
ARP-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PARTYOFSIXTEEN 6 3 21 32   1½ 12¼ (barraza s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.60  
1  QUICKTRIP VAN 1 6 11 1½   2½ 22¼ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 4.00 37% 1.70 1.70 P
3  MY MAN BIGGIE 3 7 76 77   43 33¾ (ortega joe)LULL E 120 3.50 19% 4.20 2.10 S
7  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 7 5 31½ 2½   32½ 44¼ (garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00 15.30  
5  THREE FOR THREE 5 1 64½ 55   54 54¾ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00 25.00  
4  GUEST CHECK 4 4 42½ 42   64 611 (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 4.50 7% 12.50 10.20  
2  KNIGHTED 2 8 86½ 87½   76 714½ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00 33.90  
8  PRECEDENT 8 2 54 66   87½ 819¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 15% 5.70 7.30  
 
ARP-7   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Oaks Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:144     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISTY GIRL 4 2 21½ 21   11 11¾ (hall monk)RAMOS B 122 3.50 43% 1.30 0.30 W
  (by VICE LORD out of LAKE CIDE GIRL by KENNEDY FACTOR)
1  BRING THE POSSE 1 6 78 54   21 21¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 122 2.50 20% 4.10 4.20 P
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
8  MS BUMBLEBEE 7 1 32½ 42   41¼ 34¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 13.80  
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
6  JUST A SEC 5 5 43½ 32   52¼ 46½ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 7% 12.90 27.40  
  (by VICE LORD out of JUST NOW by NO STORMS)
3  FLYING LADY 3 3 55 64¼   62¾ 58 (martinez a)WALES T 122 4.50 6.90  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
2  IMA HOT TOTTIE 2 4 11½ 11   31 613¼ (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 122 12.00 17.70  
  (by LAUGHING CHARLIE out of LIL MISS HOTTENTOT by PERFECT MANDATE)
7  YA THINK 6 7 66 76¼   710¾ 727 (triana ju)MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00 9% 10.70 27.70  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MRS. GEHRIG by MR. GEHRIG)
SCR  LAST AMIGA               (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of REAL AMIGA by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
ARP-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:133 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 4 3 34½ 34 31½ 2½ 1nk (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 2.40  
1  CHEF 1 2 2½ 22 1nk 1½ 2nk (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 19.00  
8  JIMBO'S BIZ 7 6 78½ 57½ 42½ 41½ 31¾ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 4.10 1.20 S
2  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 2 1 1½ 12 2nk 3½ 43 (barrio sergio)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 6% 15.20 6.70  
4  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 3 7 56½ 44½ 53 52½ 56¼ (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 17.00  
7  SUEZ 6 5 68 79½ 77½ 68½ 614 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 34% 1.90 8.10  
6  TASHKENT 5 4 45 68 67 79 716½ (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 19% 4.30 7.20  
9  PERVASIVE 8 8 89 810½ 89½ 814 831¼ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 38.30  
SCR  GRAN EDITION               (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00    
SCR  GREY ROGUE               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.
 
 
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