The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 6.40
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $103.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4-6 3 0 $143.20 -12.00
ARP-3   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $38.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5-6 3 0 $76.00 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-5 2 0 $11.20 -4.00
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00 5-1-1/3/6 3 1 $119.40 $119.40 83.40
ARP-5   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
    Exacta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-4 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 -10.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-4-1 3 0 $38.80 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/2)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-1/3/6-2 3 1 $53.20 $53.20 5.20
ARP-6   Win (1/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.20 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-1 2 0 $26.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-1-3 3 0 $52.40 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2)-(2/4/5/7)-(1/3/4/8) 32 $2.00 $64.00 1/3/6-2-6 3 0 $47.40 -64.00
ARP-7   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
    Exacta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-1 2 1 $7.20 $7.20 -16.80
    Trifecta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-1-8 3 0 $35.80 -48.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/7)-(1/3/4/8)-(1/4/6/7) 64 $2.00 $128.00 2-6-4/5 3 0 $59.00 -128.00
ARP-8   Win (2/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $6.80 -8.00
    Exacta (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-1 2 0 $133.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-1-8 3 0 $265.80 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4/8)-(1/4/6/7)-(2/6/7/8) 64 $2.00 $128.00 6-4/5-5 3 0 $45.40 -128.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:25
:224 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZORINA 5 4 4 31   1nk 1nk (moreno carl)MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
LONG MAY SHE RUN 4 5 1½ 11   2nk 2nk (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50 13.70  
MAYA D 6 1 2½ 21   33(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.30 S
SNUGGLE BUNNY 2 6 612 6   610 415¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
I'M GONE 1 2 3 5   4516¾ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50 6.00  
FLY FREE 3 3 54 4   56 619¼ (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 8.00 20.00  
 
ARP-3   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:231 :472       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ FITZ 1 6 4 21   21(parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50 9% 9.60 5.10 W
SHUDDER 5 4 1 11   12(barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 1.40  
TAP TAP HUSTO 6 3 65 44   33(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.10 S
I'M A TRUMPER 2 2 2 33   45 410 (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 115 10.00 9% 9.60 19.80  
PALACE PATCH 4 5 53 5   56 511¾ (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 117 8.00 10.00  
CHASING THE KING 3 1 3 65   610 627 (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 15.00 16.50  
 
ARP-4   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAL 1 4 11 1½   1½ 1(rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.10 W
SILVER AND ACES 4 1 33 32   31 2(williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 17.20  
LIL LATIGO 3 2 21 2½   2½ 3(lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 8.50  
THORNISH 2 3 46 48   49 416¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 27% 2.70 9.40  
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE               (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50    
SCR  EXCITING               (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:23 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARTSTER 2 4 2nk 1½   1nk 1nk (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 28% 2.60 2.60 W
SWAY BACK WHEN 4 1 32 2½   2nk 2nk (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 34% 2.00 0.80 P
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 1 5 1nk 4   43(christian billy)LULL E 120 8.00 6.60  
ENDALE ARCH 6 2 4 3   32 4(lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 4.50 6.60  
BARREL MAN 3 6 710¾ 6   55(triana ma)MARTIN A 117 10.00 26.10  
CORTE 5 7 610½ 710½   611½ 619 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 9% 10.10 10.50  
BIG PEN TEN 7 3 5 5   713½ 730½ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 7% 13.10 28.20  
 
ARP-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:234 :47 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 6 3 21 32   1½ 1(barraza sos)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.60  
QUICKTRIP VAN 1 6 11 1½   2½ 2(vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 4.00 37% 1.70 1.70 P
MY MAN BIGGIE 3 7 76 77   43 3(ortega joe)LULL E 120 3.50 19% 4.20 2.10 S
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 7 5 3 2½   34(garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00 15.30  
THREE FOR THREE 5 1 6 55   54 5(parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00 25.00  
GUEST CHECK 4 4 4 42   64 611 (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 4.50 7% 12.50 10.20  
KNIGHTED 2 8 8 8   76 714½ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00 33.90  
PRECEDENT 8 2 54 66   8819¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 15% 5.70 7.30  
 
ARP-7   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST CTBA Oaks Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:30
:233 :474 1:144     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTY GIRL 4 2 2 21   11 1(hall monk)RAMOS B 122 3.50 43% 1.30 0.30 W
BRING THE POSSE 1 6 78 54   21 2(triana ma)MARTIN A 122 2.50 20% 4.10 4.20 P
MS BUMBLEBEE 7 1 3 42   43(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 13.80  
JUST A SEC 5 5 4 32   54(hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 7% 12.90 27.40  
FLYING LADY 3 3 55 6   658 (martinez a)WALES T 122 4.50 6.90  
IMA HOT TOTTIE 2 4 1 11   31 613¼ (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 122 12.00 17.70  
YA THINK 6 7 66 7   710¾ 727 (triana juan)MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00 9% 10.70 27.70  
SCR  LAST AMIGA               (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00    
 
ARP-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:25 :483 1:133 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST 4 3 3 34 3 2½ 1nk (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50 2.40  
CHEF 1 2 2½ 22 1nk 1½ 2nk (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 19.00  
JIMBO'S BIZ 7 6 7 5 4 43(rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 4.10 1.20 S
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 2 1 1½ 12 2nk 3½ 43 (barrio sergio)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 6% 15.20 6.70  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 3 7 5 4 53 55(esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 17.00  
SUEZ 6 5 68 7 7 6614 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 34% 1.90 8.10  
TASHKENT 5 4 45 68 67 79 716½ (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 19% 4.30 7.20  
PERVASIVE 8 8 89 810½ 8 814 831¼ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 38.30  
SCR  GRAN EDITION               (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00    
SCR  GREY ROGUE               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.